Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Oct. 25, 2016

Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jan. 3, 2014 - Wed. Jun. 8, 2022)

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FB latest price $132.2900 (-0.74%) ($132.2200 - $133.5000) on Tue. Oct. 25, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.85% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $132.2900(-0.74%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FB advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FB advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(49%)    XHB(43%)    IBUY(16%)    KWEB(14%)    QQQ(13%)
Factors Impacting FB price   FB will decline at least -0.425% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-12%)    BND(-9%)    XLU(-8%)    EMHY(-6%)    XLRE(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.425% (StdDev 0.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $131.55(0.56%)
10 Day Moving Average   $129.97(1.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $129.38(2.25%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   9.1%
Market Cap   $377.027b

Facebook, Inc. engages in the development of social media applications for people to connect through mobile devices, personal computers, and other surfaces. It enables users to share opinions, ideas, photos, videos, and other activities online. Its products include Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, WhatsApp, and Oculus. The company was founded by Mark Elliot Zuckerberg, Dustin Moskovitz, Chris R. Hughes, Andrew McCollum, and Eduardo P. Saverin on February 4, 2004 and is headquartered in Menlo Park, CA.

$. FB price fluctuates within 1.17% (three month std-dev: 0.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 26 Average positive next day return: 0.77%(42%) Average negative next day return: -0.65%(58%) Sample size 26 Average positive next three day return: 0.66%(62%) Average negative next three day return: -1.27%(38%) Sample size 26 Average positive next weekly return: 1.34%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.85%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_25_2016	123.3	129.38	129.97	131.55	131.69	132.88	132.29(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	105	70	101	116	13.34	68%	0.11	50.4	0.85%	0	1.9	66	0
2	Oct_24_2016	123.17	129.19	129.61	130.81	130.84	131.9	133.28(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	134	60	141	114	17.47	68%	0.12	40.4	0.85%	0	2.9	71	0
3	Oct_21_2016	123.02	128.88	129.25	129.66	129.78	130.49	132.07(1.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	80	40	85	65	19.09	67%	0.11	18.1	0.84%	0	3	64	0
4	Oct_20_2016	122.88	128.66	128.91	128.82	129.02	129.77	130(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.4	59	50	67	35	13.17	64%	0.09	-10.8	0.83%	0	1.6	59	0
5	Oct_19_2016	122.77	128.65	128.77	128.38	128.56	129.07	130.11(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	57	30	67	25	16.75	64%	0.09	-16.9	0.84%	0	1.8	61	0

6	Oct_18_2016	122.66	128.62	128.6	128.17	128.13	128.27	128.57(0.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	4	10	8	-8	13.5	66%	0.05	-13.3	0.84%	0	-0.1	46	0
7	Oct_17_2016	122.6	128.63	128.56	128.23	128.23	128.05	127.54(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-20	-10	-20	-20	11.35	66%	0.07	-3.3	0.87%	0	-1.4	44	0
8	Oct_14_2016	122.51	128.69	128.7	128.77	128.63	127.99	127.88(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-34	-40	-43	-6	13.35	66%	0.07	17.5	0.87%	0	-1.1	55	0
9	Oct_13_2016	122.43	128.75	128.75	129	129.06	128.4	127.82(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-49	-30	-63	-6	17.14	66%	0.08	40	0.87%	0	-1.3	51	0
10	Oct_12_2016	122.33	128.79	128.79	129.18	129.35	129.27	129.05(0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-13	-0	-20	8	11.07	69%	0.1	33.9	0.87%	0	0.4	44	0

11	Oct_11_2016	122.21	128.73	128.8	129.06	129.23	129.73	128.88(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	28	30	30	22	17.54	69%	0.11	9.8	0.87%	0	0.2	44	0
12	Oct_10_2016	122.08	128.65	128.79	128.93	128.94	129.43	130.24(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	51	30	58	29	15.14	73%	0.11	-9.8	0.86%	0	2	56	0
13	Oct_7_2016	121.95	128.56	128.49	128.63	128.59	128.74	128.99(0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	16	10	22	-1	12.8	71%	0.11	-8.5	0.87%	0	0.6	52	0
14	Oct_6_2016	121.82	128.47	128.38	128.49	128.49	128.46	128.74(0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	2	-0	8	-16	11.68	75%	0.09	-7.7	0.87%	0	0.3	48	0
15	Oct_5_2016	121.71	128.54	128.5	128.36	128.37	128.44	128.47(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-12	0	-9	-19	12.39	75%	0.09	9	0.92%	0	-0.1	51	0

16	Oct_4_2016	121.6	128.65	128.63	128.51	128.42	128.53	128.19(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	6	0	7	2	14.31	75%	0.08	35.4	0.92%	0	-0.5	53	0
17	Oct_3_2016	121.5	128.73	128.68	128.61	128.55	128.3	128.77(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	8	-20	7	11	13.16	75%	0.07	51.9	0.92%	0	0	59	0
18	Sep_30_2016	121.41	128.63	128.67	128.32	128.47	128.31	128.27(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-17	-10	-20	-8	18.4	75%	0.07	46.1	0.92%	0	-0.3	48	0
19	Sep_29_2016	121.33	128.54	128.75	128.26	128.3	128.8	128.09(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	9	30	8	11	14.53	75%	0.07	49.5	0.92%	0	-0.4	55	0
20	Sep_28_2016	121.24	128.45	128.79	128.65	128.13	128.63	129.23(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	20	33	24	12.05	78%	0.07	62.6	0.92%	0	0.6	45	0

21	Sep_27_2016	121.15	128.29	128.65	128.8	128.42	127.8	128.69(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-0	-40	0	-1	15.64	70%	0.08	67	1%	0	0.3	41	0
22	Sep_26_2016	121.05	128.19	128.51	128.79	128.71	127.63	127.31(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-69	-60	-78	-42	15.06	69%	0.07	72.9	1.07%	0	-0.6	43	0
23	Sep_23_2016	120.97	128.1	128.66	129.05	129.02	129.04	127.96(-1.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-38	0	-46	-14	28.33	62%	0.08	76	1.12%	0	-0.1	56	0
24	Sep_22_2016	120.87	127.91	128.6	129.28	129.35	129.79	130.08(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	48	30	52	34	15.54	66%	0.1	70.7	1.1%	0	1.2	63	0
25	Sep_21_2016	120.75	127.59	128.58	128.93	128.96	128.99	129.94(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	0	17	28	14.07	66%		59.1	1.1%	0	1.2	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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