Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FB: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Sep. 15, 2016

Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jan. 3, 2014 - Wed. Jun. 8, 2022)

()
FB latest price $128.3500 (0.45%) ($127.6700 - $129.1000) on Thu. Sep. 15, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.11% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $128.3500(0.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FB declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FB advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(49%)    IBUY(44%)    XHB(43%)    KWEB(14%)    MCHI(13%)
Factors Impacting FB price   FB will decline at least -0.555% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-11%)    XLU(-8%)    BND(-8%)    EMHY(-6%)    XLRE(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.555% (StdDev 1.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $127.82(0.41%)
10 Day Moving Average   $128.29(0.05%)
20 Day Moving Average   $126.6(1.38%)
To recent high   -2.1%
To recent low   17.8%
Market Cap   $365.798b

Facebook, Inc. engages in the development of social media applications for people to connect through mobile devices, personal computers, and other surfaces. It enables users to share opinions, ideas, photos, videos, and other activities online. Its products include Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, WhatsApp, and Oculus. The company was founded by Mark Elliot Zuckerberg, Dustin Moskovitz, Chris R. Hughes, Andrew McCollum, and Eduardo P. Saverin on February 4, 2004 and is headquartered in Menlo Park, CA.

$. FB price fluctuates within 1.77% (three month std-dev: 1.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 0.41%(17%) Average negative next day return: -0.64%(83%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 1.61%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.91%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 1.88%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.31%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161015

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_15_2016	120.28	126.6	128.29	127.82	127.68	127.93	128.35(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	10	9	48	15.11	66%	0.17	40.1	1.11%	0	0.8	65	INF
2	Sep_14_2016	120.08	126.4	128.09	128.21	127.73	127.58	127.77(0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	-20	-22	57	15.72	66%	0.17	44.6	1.11%	0	0.6	65	INF
3	Sep_13_2016	119.88	126.18	127.92	128.86	128.46	127.43	127.21(-1.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-19	-70	-48	69	18.02	61%	0.14	48.1	1.12%	0	0.4	60	INF
4	Sep_12_2016	119.71	126.02	127.88	129.37	129.26	127.88	128.69(1.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-32	-80	-70	81	21.25	64%	0.15	51.1	1.15%	0	1.1	66	INF
5	Sep_9_2016	119.53	125.82	127.52	128.93	129.49	129.49	127.1(-2.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-3	10	-35	92	27.1	58%	0.12	48	1.16%	0	0.6	64	INF

6	Sep_8_2016	119.39	125.71	127.24	128.75	129.01	130.64	130.27(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	106	90	93	145	15.68	64%	0.16	47.2	1.11%	0	2	76	INF
7	Sep_7_2016	119.2	125.41	126.56	127.92	127.93	129.48	131.05(1.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	143	90	143	144	27.99	64%	0.16	47.8	1.11%	0	2.9	77	INF
8	Sep_6_2016	119.01	125.08	125.85	126.87	126.68	127.38	129.73(2.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2	76	30	69	96	26.28	64%	0.24	51.3	1.11%	0	3.2	77	INF
9	Sep_2_2016	118.72	124.83	125.26	126.24	126.14	126.38	126.51(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	41	10	31	70	12.12	60%	0.13	64.1	1.06%	0	1.7	64	INF
10	Sep_1_2016	118.56	124.75	124.97	125.93	125.87	125.98	126.17(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	0	22	54	13.54	60%	0.13	66.7	1.06%	0	1.6	55	INF

11	Aug_31_2016	118.41	124.65	124.74	125.47	125.46	125.9	126.12(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	32	20	29	42	14.2	60%	0.14	47.4	1.06%	0	1.5	55	INF
12	Aug_30_2016	118.25	124.48	124.55	124.94	124.92	125.77	125.84(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	51	50	55	38	17.8	60%	0.14	28	1.07%	0	1.5	54	INF
13	Aug_29_2016	118.08	124.34	124.29	124.65	124.39	125.01	126.54(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	50	30	58	24	15.93	60%	0.14	29.6	1.07%	0	2.5	56	INF
14	Aug_26_2016	117.92	124.21	124	124.17	124.16	124.07	124.96(0.86%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	16	-10	23	-7	17.5	57%	0.1	36.2	1.06%	0	1	46	INF
15	Aug_25_2016	117.8	124.16	123.97	124.17	123.99	123.78	123.89(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-25	-10	-22	-34	10.73	57%	0.08	42.4	1.07%	0	-0.4	39	INF

16	Aug_24_2016	117.7	124.16	124.07	123.89	123.99	124.24	123.48(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-7	20	-1	-24	12.24	60%	0.09	70	1.07%	0	-1	45	INF
17	Aug_23_2016	117.59	124.21	124.21	124.07	124	124.21	124.37(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	10	29	2	13.31	60%	0.1	65.4	1.08%	0	0.2	65	INF
18	Aug_22_2016	117.47	124.07	124.26	123.86	123.82	123.75	124.15(0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	0	-0	2	-6	14.39	60%	0.07	55.1	1.09%	0	0.1	58	INF
19	Aug_19_2016	117.39	123.96	124.37	123.81	123.7	123.8	123.56(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-12	0	-13	-10	11.69	60%	0.09	55.9	1.09%	0	-0.3	47	INF
20	Aug_18_2016	117.29	123.85	124.53	124.07	123.88	123.89	123.91(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	6	-0	5	9	12.4	60%	0.08	68.7	1.09%	0	0	51	INF

21	Aug_17_2016	117.2	123.7	124.58	124.27	124.06	123.6	124.37(0.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-16	-30	-22	1	13.79	60%	0.07	80.8	1.09%	0	0.5	46	INF
22	Aug_16_2016	117.12	123.58	124.42	124.37	124.37	123.87	123.3(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-37	-30	-46	-10	14.22	60%	0.09	92.2	1.1%	0	-0.2	52	INF
23	Aug_15_2016	117.02	123.46	124.43	124.72	124.77	124.52	123.9(-0.78%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-16	-10	-26	15	19.3	60%	0.06	95.2	1.1%	0	0.2	64	INF
24	Aug_12_2016	116.95	123.25	124.48	125	125	124.87	124.88(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-10	-11	39	12.16	60%	0.1	84.1	1.1%	0	0.7	66	INF
25	Aug_11_2016	116.83	122.88	124.38	125.05	125.11	125.03	124.9(0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	12	-0	-3	56	11.73	60%		76.7	1.1%	0	0.8	68	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.