Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FB: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Sep. 2, 2016

Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jan. 3, 2014 - Wed. Jun. 8, 2022)

()
FB latest price $126.5100 (0.27%) ($126.0000 - $126.8600) on Fri. Sep. 2, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.06% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $126.5100(0.27%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FB advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FB advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(49%)    IBUY(44%)    XHB(43%)    KWEB(14%)    MCHI(13%)
Factors Impacting FB price   FB will decline at least -0.53% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-11%)    XLU(-8%)    BND(-8%)    EMHY(-6%)    XLRE(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.53% (StdDev 1.06%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $126.24(0.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $125.26(1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $124.83(1.35%)
To recent high   -0%
To recent low   16.1%
Market Cap   $360.554b

Facebook, Inc. engages in the development of social media applications for people to connect through mobile devices, personal computers, and other surfaces. It enables users to share opinions, ideas, photos, videos, and other activities online. Its products include Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, WhatsApp, and Oculus. The company was founded by Mark Elliot Zuckerberg, Dustin Moskovitz, Chris R. Hughes, Andrew McCollum, and Eduardo P. Saverin on February 4, 2004 and is headquartered in Menlo Park, CA.

$. FB price fluctuates within 0.78% (three month std-dev: 1.06%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.51%(60%) Average negative next day return: -0.11%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 1.1%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -0.31%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 1.16%(20%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.32%(80%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161002

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_2_2016	118.72	124.83	125.26	126.24	126.14	126.38	126.51(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	41	10	31	70	12.12	60%	0.13	64.1	1.06%	0	1.7	64	INF
2	Sep_1_2016	118.56	124.75	124.97	125.93	125.87	125.98	126.17(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	0	22	54	13.54	60%	0.13	66.7	1.06%	0	1.6	55	INF
3	Aug_31_2016	118.41	124.65	124.74	125.47	125.46	125.9	126.12(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	32	20	29	42	14.2	60%	0.14	47.4	1.06%	0	1.5	55	INF
4	Aug_30_2016	118.25	124.48	124.55	124.94	124.92	125.77	125.84(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	51	50	55	38	17.8	60%	0.14	28	1.07%	0	1.5	54	INF
5	Aug_29_2016	118.08	124.34	124.29	124.65	124.39	125.01	126.54(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	50	30	58	24	15.93	60%	0.14	29.6	1.07%	0	2.5	56	INF

6	Aug_26_2016	117.92	124.21	124	124.17	124.16	124.07	124.96(0.86%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	16	-10	23	-7	17.5	57%	0.1	36.2	1.06%	0	1	46	INF
7	Aug_25_2016	117.8	124.16	123.97	124.17	123.99	123.78	123.89(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-25	-10	-22	-34	10.73	57%	0.08	42.4	1.07%	0	-0.4	39	INF
8	Aug_24_2016	117.7	124.16	124.07	123.89	123.99	124.24	123.48(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-7	20	-1	-24	12.24	60%	0.09	70	1.07%	0	-1	45	INF
9	Aug_23_2016	117.59	124.21	124.21	124.07	124	124.21	124.37(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	10	29	2	13.31	60%	0.1	65.4	1.08%	0	0.2	65	INF
10	Aug_22_2016	117.47	124.07	124.26	123.86	123.82	123.75	124.15(0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	0	-0	2	-6	14.39	60%	0.07	55.1	1.09%	0	0.1	58	INF

11	Aug_19_2016	117.39	123.96	124.37	123.81	123.7	123.8	123.56(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-12	0	-13	-10	11.69	60%	0.09	55.9	1.09%	0	-0.3	47	INF
12	Aug_18_2016	117.29	123.85	124.53	124.07	123.88	123.89	123.91(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	6	-0	5	9	12.4	60%	0.08	68.7	1.09%	0	0	51	INF
13	Aug_17_2016	117.2	123.7	124.58	124.27	124.06	123.6	124.37(0.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-16	-30	-22	1	13.79	60%	0.07	80.8	1.09%	0	0.5	46	INF
14	Aug_16_2016	117.12	123.58	124.42	124.37	124.37	123.87	123.3(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-37	-30	-46	-10	14.22	60%	0.09	92.2	1.1%	0	-0.2	52	INF
15	Aug_15_2016	117.02	123.46	124.43	124.72	124.77	124.52	123.9(-0.78%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-16	-10	-26	15	19.3	60%	0.06	95.2	1.1%	0	0.2	64	INF

16	Aug_12_2016	116.95	123.25	124.48	125	125	124.87	124.88(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-10	-11	39	12.16	60%	0.1	84.1	1.1%	0	0.7	66	INF
17	Aug_11_2016	116.83	122.88	124.48	125.05	125.11	125.03	124.9(0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	12	-0	-3	56	11.73	60%	0.11	76.7	1.1%	0	0.8	68	INF
18	Aug_10_2016	116.7	122.51	124.38	124.94	125.13	125.12	124.88(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	29	0	13	78	10.67	60%	0.11	72.7	1.11%	0	0.9	69	INF
19	Aug_9_2016	116.57	122.12	124.23	124.47	124.79	125.19	125.06(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	37	30	23	77	19.62	60%	0.11	67	1.11%	0	1.1	62	INF
20	Aug_8_2016	116.44	121.77	123.86	124.07	124.22	125.14	125.26(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	56	60	47	82	15.23	60%	0.12	69.7	1.11%	0	1.3	67	INF

21	Aug_5_2016	116.3	121.4	123.5	123.88	123.81	124.4	125.15(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	68	30	60	91	20.18	60%	0.13	74.7	1.13%	0	1.3	70	INF
22	Aug_4_2016	116.15	121	123.09	123.64	123.5	123.3	124.36(1.51%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	16	-10	-5	78	21.07	60%	0.1	76.5	1.13%	0	1.2	74	INF
23	Aug_3_2016	116.03	120.58	122.73	123.77	123.72	123.23	122.51(-0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-13	-30	-45	82	18.53	57%	0.1	82.1	1.11%	0	0.7	69	INF
24	Aug_2_2016	115.91	120.3	122.68	123.94	124.52	123.7	123.09(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	19	-30	-15	121	23.97	57%	0.12	83.9	1.12%	0	0.9	73	INF
25	Aug_1_2016	115.77	119.86	122.44	123.56	124.41	124.22	124.31(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	11	10	-26	123	25.01	57%		89.4	1.11%	0	1.5	71	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.