Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FB: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Aug. 30, 2016

Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jan. 3, 2014 - Wed. Jun. 8, 2022)

()
FB latest price $125.8400 (-0.55%) ($125.1500 - $126.6000) on Tue. Aug. 30, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.07% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $125.8400(-0.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FB advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FB advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(49%)    IBUY(44%)    XHB(43%)    KWEB(14%)    MCHI(13%)
Factors Impacting FB price   FB will decline at least -0.535% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-11%)    XLU(-8%)    BND(-8%)    EMHY(-6%)    XLRE(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.535% (StdDev 1.07%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $124.94(0.72%)
10 Day Moving Average   $124.55(1.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $124.48(1.09%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   15.5%
Market Cap   $358.644b

Facebook, Inc. engages in the development of social media applications for people to connect through mobile devices, personal computers, and other surfaces. It enables users to share opinions, ideas, photos, videos, and other activities online. Its products include Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, WhatsApp, and Oculus. The company was founded by Mark Elliot Zuckerberg, Dustin Moskovitz, Chris R. Hughes, Andrew McCollum, and Eduardo P. Saverin on February 4, 2004 and is headquartered in Menlo Park, CA.

$. FB price fluctuates within 0.75% (three month std-dev: 1.07%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.35%(33%) Average negative next day return: -1.1%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0.64%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 1.45%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160930

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_30_2016	118.25	124.48	124.55	124.94	124.92	125.77	125.84(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	51	50	55	38	17.8	60%	0.14	28	1.07%	0	1.5	54	0
2	Aug_29_2016	118.08	124.34	124.29	124.65	124.39	125.01	126.54(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	50	30	58	24	15.93	60%	0.14	29.6	1.07%	0	2.5	56	0
3	Aug_26_2016	117.92	124.21	124	124.17	124.16	124.07	124.96(0.86%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	16	-10	23	-7	17.5	57%	0.1	36.2	1.06%	0	1	46	0
4	Aug_25_2016	117.8	124.16	123.97	124.17	123.99	123.78	123.89(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-25	-10	-22	-34	10.73	57%	0.08	42.4	1.07%	0	-0.4	39	0
5	Aug_24_2016	117.7	124.16	124.07	123.89	123.99	124.24	123.48(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-7	20	-1	-24	12.24	60%	0.09	70	1.07%	0	-1	45	0

6	Aug_23_2016	117.59	124.21	124.21	124.07	124	124.21	124.37(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	10	29	2	13.31	60%	0.1	65.4	1.08%	0	0.2	65	0
7	Aug_22_2016	117.47	124.07	124.26	123.86	123.82	123.75	124.15(0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	0	-0	2	-6	14.39	60%	0.07	55.1	1.09%	0	0.1	58	0
8	Aug_19_2016	117.39	123.96	124.37	123.81	123.7	123.8	123.56(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-12	0	-13	-10	11.69	60%	0.09	55.9	1.09%	0	-0.3	47	0
9	Aug_18_2016	117.29	123.85	124.53	124.07	123.88	123.89	123.91(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	6	-0	5	9	12.4	60%	0.08	68.7	1.09%	0	0	51	0
10	Aug_17_2016	117.2	123.7	124.58	124.27	124.06	123.6	124.37(0.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-16	-30	-22	1	13.79	60%	0.07	80.8	1.09%	0	0.5	46	0

11	Aug_16_2016	117.12	123.58	124.42	124.37	124.37	123.87	123.3(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-37	-30	-46	-10	14.22	60%	0.09	92.2	1.1%	0	-0.2	52	0
12	Aug_15_2016	117.02	123.46	124.43	124.72	124.77	124.52	123.9(-0.78%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-16	-10	-26	15	19.3	60%	0.06	95.2	1.1%	0	0.2	64	0
13	Aug_12_2016	116.95	123.25	124.48	125	125	124.87	124.88(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-10	-11	39	12.16	60%	0.1	84.1	1.1%	0	0.7	66	0
14	Aug_11_2016	116.83	122.88	124.48	125.05	125.11	125.03	124.9(0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	12	-0	-3	56	11.73	60%	0.11	76.7	1.1%	0	0.8	68	0
15	Aug_10_2016	116.7	122.51	124.38	124.94	125.13	125.12	124.88(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	29	0	13	78	10.67	60%	0.11	72.7	1.11%	0	0.9	69	0

16	Aug_9_2016	116.57	122.12	124.23	124.47	124.79	125.19	125.06(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	37	30	23	77	19.62	60%	0.11	67	1.11%	0	1.1	62	0
17	Aug_8_2016	116.44	121.77	123.86	124.07	124.22	125.14	125.26(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	56	60	47	82	15.23	60%	0.12	69.7	1.11%	0	1.3	67	0
18	Aug_5_2016	116.3	121.4	123.5	123.88	123.81	124.4	125.15(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	68	30	60	91	20.18	60%	0.13	74.7	1.13%	0	1.3	70	0
19	Aug_4_2016	116.15	121	123.09	123.64	123.5	123.3	124.36(1.51%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	16	-10	-5	78	21.07	60%	0.1	76.5	1.13%	0	1.2	74	0
20	Aug_3_2016	116.03	120.58	122.73	123.77	123.72	123.23	122.51(-0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-13	-30	-45	82	18.53	57%	0.1	82.1	1.11%	0	0.7	69	0

21	Aug_2_2016	115.91	120.3	122.68	123.94	124.52	123.7	123.09(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	19	-30	-15	121	23.97	57%	0.12	83.9	1.12%	0	0.9	73	0
22	Aug_1_2016	115.77	119.86	122.44	123.56	124.41	124.22	124.31(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	11	10	-26	123	25.01	57%	0.13	89.4	1.11%	0	1.5	71	0
23	Jul_29_2016	115.62	119.35	121.95	123.03	123.81	125.33	123.94(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	90	100	68	155	35.06	57%	0.15	87.6	1.12%	0	1.5	70	0
24	Jul_28_2016	115.45	118.87	121.27	122.44	122.84	124.59	125(1.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	160	110	154	176	78.96	68%	0.16	82.5	1.12%	0	2	76	0
25	Jul_27_2016	115.27	118.31	120.49	121.56	121.39	122.29	123.34(1.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	67	50	55	101	52.65	66%		81.3	1.42%	0	1.8	77	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.