Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 15, 2016

Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jan. 3, 2014 - Wed. Jun. 8, 2022)

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FB latest price $123.9000 (-0.78%) ($123.7000 - $124.9200) on Mon. Aug. 15, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.1% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $123.9000(-0.78%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FB declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FB advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(49%)    IBUY(44%)    XHB(43%)    KWEB(14%)    MCHI(13%)
Factors Impacting FB price   FB will decline at least -0.55% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-11%)    XLU(-8%)    BND(-8%)    EMHY(-6%)    XLRE(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.55% (StdDev 1.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $124.72(-0.66%)
10 Day Moving Average   $124.43(-0.43%)
20 Day Moving Average   $123.46(0.36%)
To recent high   -1.1%
To recent low   13.7%
Market Cap   $353.115b

Facebook, Inc. engages in the development of social media applications for people to connect through mobile devices, personal computers, and other surfaces. It enables users to share opinions, ideas, photos, videos, and other activities online. Its products include Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, WhatsApp, and Oculus. The company was founded by Mark Elliot Zuckerberg, Dustin Moskovitz, Chris R. Hughes, Andrew McCollum, and Eduardo P. Saverin on February 4, 2004 and is headquartered in Menlo Park, CA.

$. FB price fluctuates within 1.46% (three month std-dev: 1.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.79%(67%) Average negative next day return: -0.06%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 1.62%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -1.43%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 0.58%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.92%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160915

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_15_2016	117.02	123.46	124.43	124.72	124.77	124.52	123.9(-0.78%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-16	-10	-26	15	19.3	60%	0.06	95.2	1.1%	0	0.2	64	INF
2	Aug_12_2016	116.95	123.25	124.48	125	125	124.87	124.88(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-10	-11	39	12.16	60%	0.1	84.1	1.1%	0	0.7	66	INF
3	Aug_11_2016	116.83	122.88	124.48	125.05	125.11	125.03	124.9(0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	12	-0	-3	56	11.73	60%	0.11	76.7	1.1%	0	0.8	68	INF
4	Aug_10_2016	116.7	122.51	124.38	124.94	125.13	125.12	124.88(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	29	0	13	78	10.67	60%	0.11	72.7	1.11%	0	0.9	69	INF
5	Aug_9_2016	116.57	122.12	124.23	124.47	124.79	125.19	125.06(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	37	30	23	77	19.62	60%	0.11	67	1.11%	0	1.1	62	INF

6	Aug_8_2016	116.44	121.77	123.86	124.07	124.22	125.14	125.26(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	56	60	47	82	15.23	60%	0.12	69.7	1.11%	0	1.3	67	INF
7	Aug_5_2016	116.3	121.4	123.5	123.88	123.81	124.4	125.15(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	68	30	60	91	20.18	60%	0.13	74.7	1.13%	0	1.3	70	INF
8	Aug_4_2016	116.15	121	123.09	123.64	123.5	123.3	124.36(1.51%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	16	-10	-5	78	21.07	60%	0.1	76.5	1.13%	0	1.2	74	INF
9	Aug_3_2016	116.03	120.58	122.73	123.77	123.72	123.23	122.51(-0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-13	-30	-45	82	18.53	57%	0.1	82.1	1.11%	0	0.7	69	INF
10	Aug_2_2016	115.91	120.3	122.68	123.94	124.52	123.7	123.09(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	19	-30	-15	121	23.97	57%	0.12	83.9	1.12%	0	0.9	73	INF

11	Aug_1_2016	115.77	119.86	122.44	123.56	124.41	124.22	124.31(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	11	10	-26	123	25.01	57%	0.13	89.4	1.11%	0	1.5	71	INF
12	Jul_29_2016	115.62	119.35	121.95	123.03	123.81	125.33	123.94(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	90	100	68	155	35.06	57%	0.15	87.6	1.12%	0	1.5	70	INF
13	Jul_28_2016	115.45	118.87	121.27	122.44	122.84	124.59	125(1.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	160	110	154	176	78.96	68%	0.16	82.5	1.12%	0	2	76	INF
14	Jul_27_2016	115.27	118.31	120.49	121.56	121.39	122.29	123.34(1.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	67	50	55	101	52.65	66%	0.16	81.3	1.42%	0	1.8	77	INF
15	Jul_26_2016	115.09	117.78	119.83	121.28	121.39	121.09	121.22(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	39	0	23	86	17.61	64%	0.13	77	1.41%	0	1.2	68	INF

16	Jul_25_2016	114.94	117.19	119.51	121.15	120.92	120.48	121.63(0.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	22	-30	0	89	18.49	64%	0.12	60.3	1.42%	0	1.4	76	INF
17	Jul_22_2016	114.8	116.71	119.12	120.7	120.7	120.76	121(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	0	-0	94	18.42	64%	0.1	55.8	1.42%	0	1.3	74	INF
18	Jul_21_2016	114.69	116.4	118.74	119.87	120.19	121.35	120.61(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	66	80	52	107	17.8	64%	0.1	52.5	1.46%	0	1.4	73	INF
19	Jul_20_2016	114.58	116.05	118.26	119.21	119.23	120.63	121.92(1.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	96	80	89	117	20.05	64%	0.11	48	1.45%	0	2	79	INF
20	Jul_19_2016	114.45	115.65	117.71	118.18	118.18	119.04	120.61(1.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	69	50	59	99	21.54	64%	0.12	42.3	1.45%	0	1.9	80	INF

21	Jul_18_2016	114.31	115.27	117.05	117.65	117.63	117.83	119.37(2.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	39	10	21	91	20.87	64%	0.1	39.8	1.46%	0	1.7	84	INF
22	Jul_15_2016	114.2	114.94	116.53	117.35	117.61	117.32	116.86(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	16	-10	-7	85	16.65	61%	0.08	31.8	1.43%	0	0.9	65	INF
23	Jul_14_2016	114.11	114.8	116.29	117.42	117.75	117.42	117.29(0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	14	-10	-10	84	14.58	61%	0.1	24.9	1.44%	0	1.1	55	INF
24	Jul_13_2016	114	114.65	115.98	117.13	117.62	117.89	116.78(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	22	30	1	86	16.21	61%	0.11	14.4	1.44%	0	1	57	INF
25	Jul_12_2016	113.88	114.55	115.6	117.12	117.28	118.08	117.93(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	65	50	52	103	15.22	61%		8.5	1.43%	0	1.7	58	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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