Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 25, 2016

Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jan. 3, 2014 - Wed. Jun. 8, 2022)

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FB latest price $121.6300 (0.52%) ($117.7800 - $121.8500) on Mon. Jul. 25, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.42% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $121.6300(0.52%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FB advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FB advances 2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(49%)    XHB(43%)    KWEB(14%)    MCHI(13%)    QQQ(13%)
Factors Impacting FB price   FB will decline at least -0.71% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-11%)    XLU(-8%)    BND(-8%)    EMHY(-6%)    XLRE(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.71% (StdDev 1.42%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $121.15(0.4%)
10 Day Moving Average   $119.51(1.77%)
20 Day Moving Average   $117.19(3.79%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   11.8%
Market Cap   $346.646b

Facebook, Inc. engages in the development of social media applications for people to connect through mobile devices, personal computers, and other surfaces. It enables users to share opinions, ideas, photos, videos, and other activities online. Its products include Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, WhatsApp, and Oculus. The company was founded by Mark Elliot Zuckerberg, Dustin Moskovitz, Chris R. Hughes, Andrew McCollum, and Eduardo P. Saverin on February 4, 2004 and is headquartered in Menlo Park, CA.

$. FB price fluctuates within 2.77% (three month std-dev: 1.42%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 13 Average positive next day return: 1.19%(31%) Average negative next day return: -0.91%(69%) Sample size 13 Average positive next three day return: 1.16%(38%) Average negative next three day return: -1.49%(62%) Sample size 13 Average positive next weekly return: 1.67%(46%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.03%(54%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160825

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_25_2016	114.94	117.19	119.51	121.15	120.92	120.48	121.63(0.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	22	-30	0	89	18.49	64%	0.12	60.3	1.42%	0	1.4	76	0
2	Jul_22_2016	114.8	116.71	119.12	120.7	120.7	120.76	121(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	0	-0	94	18.42	64%	0.1	55.8	1.42%	0	1.3	74	0
3	Jul_21_2016	114.69	116.4	118.74	119.87	120.19	121.35	120.61(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	66	80	52	107	17.8	64%	0.1	52.5	1.46%	0	1.4	73	0
4	Jul_20_2016	114.58	116.05	118.26	119.21	119.23	120.63	121.92(1.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	96	80	89	117	20.05	64%	0.11	48	1.45%	0	2	79	0
5	Jul_19_2016	114.45	115.65	117.71	118.18	118.18	119.04	120.61(1.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	69	50	59	99	21.54	64%	0.12	42.3	1.45%	0	1.9	80	0

6	Jul_18_2016	114.31	115.27	117.05	117.65	117.63	117.83	119.37(2.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	39	10	21	91	20.87	64%	0.1	39.8	1.46%	0	1.7	84	0
7	Jul_15_2016	114.2	114.94	116.53	117.35	117.61	117.32	116.86(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	16	-10	-7	85	16.65	61%	0.08	31.8	1.43%	0	0.9	65	0
8	Jul_14_2016	114.11	114.8	116.29	117.42	117.75	117.42	117.29(0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	14	-10	-10	84	14.58	61%	0.1	24.9	1.44%	0	1.1	55	0
9	Jul_13_2016	114	114.65	115.98	117.13	117.62	117.89	116.78(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	22	30	1	86	16.21	61%	0.11	14.4	1.44%	0	1	57	0
10	Jul_12_2016	113.88	114.55	115.6	117.12	117.28	118.08	117.93(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	65	50	52	103	15.22	61%	0.1	8.5	1.43%	0	1.7	58	0

11	Jul_11_2016	113.77	114.33	114.74	116.33	116.46	117.35	117.87(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	65	60	61	77	17.71	61%	0.11	-14.1	1.44%	0	1.9	60	0
12	Jul_8_2016	113.64	114.24	114.14	115.6	115.42	116.48	117.24(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	51	60	50	55	18.14	61%	0.12	-31.8	1.46%	0	1.7	60	0
13	Jul_7_2016	113.5	114.26	113.88	115	114.81	115.58	115.85(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	52	40	54	47	16.63	61%	0.1	-39.4	1.49%	0	0.8	53	0
14	Jul_6_2016	113.39	114.36	113.66	114.67	114.37	114.36	116.7(2.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	26	-10	26	27	24.34	61%	0.13	-42	1.49%	0	1.1	54	0
15	Jul_5_2016	113.24	114.38	113.38	113.87	114.06	114.04	114(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	9	0	11	4	14.21	57%	0.11	-53.5	1.47%	0	-0.2	47	0

16	Jul_1_2016	113.11	114.6	113.31	112.86	113.54	114.39	114.19(-0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	26	70	37	-8	14.98	50%	0.11	-60.5	1.5%	0	-0.2	51	0
17	Jun_30_2016	112.99	114.8	113.18	112.44	112.47	114.08	114.28(0.11%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	38	100	57	-19	23.19	50%	0.12	-63.7	1.51%	0	-0.2	43	0
18	Jun_29_2016	112.85	115.01	113.17	112.6	111.85	112.68	114.16(1.3%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	35	30	56	-30	20.97	50%	0.13	-58.4	1.52%	0	-0.3	38	0
19	Jun_28_2016	112.7	115.23	113.19	112.55	112.05	110.87	112.7(3.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-34	-90	-21	-74	26.81	50%	0.12	-56.1	1.53%	0	-0.9	35	0
20	Jun_27_2016	112.57	115.53	113.4	112.88	112.69	111.01	108.97(-2.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-110	-110	-108	-115	36.41	41%	0.04	-48.9	1.47%	0	-2.4	25	0

21	Jun_24_2016	112.52	116.07	113.95	113.76	113.78	113.23	112.08(-2.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-62	-30	-51	-93	40.64	48%	0.01	-43.4	1.44%	0	-1.7	28	0
22	Jun_23_2016	112.51	116.45	114.4	113.95	114.21	114.37	115.08(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-13	20	8	-75	16.18	56%	0.03	-38.3	1.41%	0	-0.6	35	0
23	Jun_22_2016	112.48	116.59	114.7	113.81	113.98	114.32	113.91(-0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-13	30	10	-80	14.85	56%	-0.01	-40	1.4%	0	-1.2	29	0
24	Jun_21_2016	112.49	116.79	115.12	113.95	113.9	114.04	114.38(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-12	10	11	-80	19.17	56%	-0.01	-39.4	1.4%	0	-1.1	31	0
25	Jun_20_2016	112.5	116.89	115.45	114.06	114.01	113.63	113.37(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-30	-20	-10	-91	20.79	56%		-45.3	1.4%	0	-1.7	25	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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