Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 26, 2016

Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jan. 3, 2014 - Wed. Jun. 8, 2022)

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FB latest price $108.7600 (-1.22%) ($108.1500 - $110.5000) on Tue. Apr. 26, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.59% (three month average)
RSI   35
Latest Price   $108.7600(-1.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FB declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FB declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(49%)    XHB(43%)    KWEB(14%)    QQQ(14%)    MCHI(13%)
Factors Impacting FB price   FB will decline at least -1.295% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-11%)    XLU(-8%)    BND(-8%)    EMHY(-5%)    XLRE(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.295% (StdDev 2.59%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.6%

Resistance Level   $111.73
5 Day Moving Average   $111.06(-2.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $110.89(-1.92%)
20 Day Moving Average   $111.73(-2.66%)
To recent high   -6.4%
To recent low   15.2%
Market Cap   $309.966b

Facebook, Inc. engages in the development of social media applications for people to connect through mobile devices, personal computers, and other surfaces. It enables users to share opinions, ideas, photos, videos, and other activities online. Its products include Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, WhatsApp, and Oculus. The company was founded by Mark Elliot Zuckerberg, Dustin Moskovitz, Chris R. Hughes, Andrew McCollum, and Eduardo P. Saverin on February 4, 2004 and is headquartered in Menlo Park, CA.

$. FB price fluctuates within 1.9% (three month std-dev: 2.59%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 0.49%(30%) Average negative next day return: -1.89%(70%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 0.7%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.53%(50%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 1.04%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.51%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160526

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_26_2016	106.59	111.73	110.89	111.06	110.78	109.7	108.76(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-22	-80	-25	-14	22.52	58%	0.03	-28.9	2.59%	0	-1.4	35	0
2	Apr_25_2016	106.56	112.1	111.11	111.76	111.52	110.28	110.1(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-30	-80	-35	-13	21.02	58%	0.04	-11.7	2.58%	0	-1	44	0
3	Apr_22_2016	106.52	112.28	111.03	111.83	111.85	111.86	110.56(-2.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-13	0	-14	-10	38.46	62%	0.07	-6.2	2.59%	0	-0.9	44	0
4	Apr_21_2016	106.45	112.41	111.04	111.65	111.7	112.75	113.44(0.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	21	70	30	-5	20.88	62%	0.08	-4	2.6%	0	0.5	40	0
5	Apr_20_2016	106.37	112.36	111.01	111.13	110.97	111.84	112.42(0.12%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	20	50	30	-12	21.03	62%	0.05	-10.9	2.6%	0	0	45	0

6	Apr_19_2016	106.32	112.35	111.09	110.75	110.6	110.65	112.29(1.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	5	-0	15	-25	30.21	62%	0.08	-12.6	2.61%	0	-0	43	0
7	Apr_18_2016	106.24	112.34	111.06	110.41	110.6	110.1	110.45(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-17	-20	-7	-46	21.17	62%	0.06	-13.2	2.6%	0	-1	34	0
8	Apr_15_2016	106.18	112.4	111.27	110.12	110.4	110.55	109.64(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-16	20	-4	-50	20.92	57%	0.03	-12.9	2.62%	0	-1.4	41	0
9	Apr_14_2016	106.15	112.49	111.88	110.32	110.32	110.71	110.84(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-10	20	1	-41	28.47	60%	0.06	-1.8	2.66%	0	-0.9	46	0
10	Apr_13_2016	106.09	112.57	112.2	110.88	110.66	110.25	110.51(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-15	-30	-8	-36	88.23	55%	0.05	18.8	2.68%	0	-1.1	46	0

11	Apr_12_2016	106.04	112.6	112.62	111.52	111.5	109.93	110.61(1.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-32	-100	-31	-34	26.25	57%	0.04	40.9	2.74%	0	-1.1	48	0
12	Apr_11_2016	106	112.59	113.16	111.84	112.27	111.06	108.99(-1.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-44	-60	-48	-30	39.76	57%	0.02	55.8	2.74%	0	-2	45	0
13	Apr_8_2016	105.98	112.65	113.68	112.55	112.9	113.06	110.63(-2.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-15	20	-17	-7	48.5	57%	0.04	71.3	2.73%	0	-1.1	50	0
14	Apr_7_2016	105.94	112.52	113.97	113.64	113.13	113.47	113.64(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	13	10	10	20	20.71	52%	0.06	71.7	2.71%	0	0.5	61	0
15	Apr_6_2016	105.88	112.24	113.87	113.73	113.38	112.75	113.71(1.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	0	-50	-5	15	20.81	52%	0.09	62	2.78%	0	0.6	56	0

16	Apr_5_2016	105.79	111.87	113.87	113.93	113.7	112.79	112.22(-0.29%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-25	-60	-36	8	22.96	52%	0.09	50.4	2.78%	0	0.1	57	0
17	Apr_4_2016	105.7	111.58	113.75	114.71	114.53	114.01	112.55(-3.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-6	-40	-17	28	48.49	50%	0.09	51.7	2.78%	0	0.3	61	0
18	Apr_1_2016	105.61	111.38	113.67	114.94	114.98	114.61	116.06(1.72%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	10	-20	-1	42	24.76	53%	0.09	53.9	2.77%	0	1.5	76	0
19	Mar_31_2016	105.52	111.03	113.16	114.34	114.68	115.04	114.1(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	30	2	44	21.21	53%	0.05	54.7	2.78%	0	1.1	78	0
20	Mar_30_2016	105.47	110.81	112.97	114.02	114.2	115.34	114.7(-1.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	70	30	61	33.24	53%	0.07	58.9	2.79%	0	1.4	80	0

21	Mar_29_2016	105.4	110.55	112.56	113.53	113.39	114.31	116.14(2.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	44	50	36	68	29.83	53%	0.09	65.9	2.79%	0	2.2	89	0
22	Mar_28_2016	105.3	110.07	111.92	112.68	112.62	113.06	113.69(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	29	30	19	60	21.35	53%	0.04	62.9	2.78%	0	1.6	88	0
23	Mar_24_2016	105.26	109.77	111.5	112.23	112.14	112.46	113.05(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	20	11	56	17.84	53%	0.09	69	2.78%	0	1.5	67	0
24	Mar_23_2016	105.17	109.51	110.94	111.82	111.88	112.18	112.54(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	20	9	47	18.56	53%	0.1	76.4	2.78%	0	1.4	59	0
25	Mar_22_2016	105.07	109.23	110.45	111.75	111.68	111.82	112.25(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	10	8	43	19	53%		79.3	2.78%	0	1.4	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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