Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 29, 2016

Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jan. 3, 2014 - Wed. Jun. 8, 2022)

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FB latest price $116.1400 (2.15%) ($113.6400 - $116.3200) on Tue. Mar. 29, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.79% (three month average)
RSI   89
Latest Price   $116.1400(2.15%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FB advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FB advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(49%)    XHB(43%)    KWEB(14%)    QQQ(14%)    MCHI(13%)
Factors Impacting FB price   FB will decline at least -1.395% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-11%)    BND(-8%)    XLU(-7%)    EMHY(-5%)    XLRE(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.395% (StdDev 2.79%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2%

5 Day Moving Average   $113.53(2.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $112.56(3.18%)
20 Day Moving Average   $110.55(5.06%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   23.3%
Market Cap   $330.999b

Facebook, Inc. engages in the development of social media applications for people to connect through mobile devices, personal computers, and other surfaces. It enables users to share opinions, ideas, photos, videos, and other activities online. Its products include Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, WhatsApp, and Oculus. The company was founded by Mark Elliot Zuckerberg, Dustin Moskovitz, Chris R. Hughes, Andrew McCollum, and Eduardo P. Saverin on February 4, 2004 and is headquartered in Menlo Park, CA.

$. FB price fluctuates within 2.32% (three month std-dev: 2.79%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 1.16%(60%) Average negative next day return: -0.84%(40%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 2.69%(62%) Average negative next three day return: -1.34%(38%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 3.51%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.16%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160429

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_29_2016	105.4	110.55	112.56	113.53	113.39	114.31	116.14(2.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	44	50	36	68	29.83	53%	0.09	65.9	2.79%	0	2.2	89	INF
2	Mar_28_2016	105.3	110.07	111.92	112.68	112.62	113.06	113.69(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	29	30	19	60	21.35	53%	0.04	62.9	2.78%	0	1.6	88	INF
3	Mar_24_2016	105.26	109.77	111.5	112.23	112.14	112.46	113.05(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	20	11	56	17.84	53%	0.09	69	2.78%	0	1.5	67	INF
4	Mar_23_2016	105.17	109.51	110.94	111.82	111.88	112.18	112.54(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	20	9	47	18.56	53%	0.1	76.4	2.78%	0	1.4	59	INF
5	Mar_22_2016	105.07	109.23	110.45	111.75	111.68	111.82	112.25(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	10	8	43	19	53%	0.1	79.3	2.78%	0	1.4	57	INF

6	Mar_21_2016	104.97	108.89	109.84	111.43	111.53	111.58	111.85(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	10	8	33	18.45	53%	0.1	88.6	2.79%	0	1.5	56	INF
7	Mar_18_2016	104.87	108.64	109.24	111.04	111.06	111.54	111.45(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	30	9	28	36.26	51%	0.07	93.2	2.79%	0	1.4	64	INF
8	Mar_17_2016	104.8	108.3	108.92	110.63	110.6	111.48	111.02(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	50	28	32	24.24	51%	0.07	89.1	2.8%	0	1.2	59	INF
9	Mar_16_2016	104.73	107.93	108.74	109.89	109.89	110.59	112.18(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	31	40	32	28	24.74	53%	0.09	87	2.8%	0	2	62	INF
10	Mar_15_2016	104.64	107.57	108.46	108.96	108.91	109.72	110.67(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	23	50	24	21	17.62	53%	0.07	82.6	2.8%	0	1.4	62	INF

11	Mar_14_2016	104.57	107.13	108.33	108.01	108.15	109.19	109.89(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	32	70	35	23	17.25	55%	0.08	78.2	2.8%	0	1.2	65	INF
12	Mar_11_2016	104.49	106.75	108.03	107.18	107.16	108.11	109.41(1.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	21	60	25	9	20.7	52%	0.1	59.7	2.82%	0	1.1	56	INF
13	Mar_10_2016	104.39	106.38	107.87	106.98	106.62	107.11	107.32(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	20	8	6	24.85	52%	0.11	39.3	2.84%	0	0.4	60	INF
14	Mar_9_2016	104.28	106.09	107.95	107.43	107.04	106.21	107.51(1.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-4	-70	-9	12	20.49	51%	0.11	21.5	2.84%	0	0.5	63	INF
15	Mar_8_2016	104.17	105.72	107.95	107.92	107.76	106.13	105.93(0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-34	-110	-47	6	25.62	51%	0.07	1.7	2.85%	0	0.1	54	INF

16	Mar_7_2016	104.1	105.43	107.9	108.69	108.79	107.88	105.73(-2.45%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-19	-60	-34	28	31.53	51%	0.09	-12.9	2.85%	0	0.1	62	INF
17	Mar_4_2016	104.01	105.35	108.08	108.93	109.32	109.39	108.39(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	13	20	-1	54	24.94	52%	0.13	-21.8	2.83%	0	0.9	68	INF
18	Mar_3_2016	103.88	105.41	107.73	108.84	108.93	109.7	109.58(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	50	14	66	21.35	52%	0.15	-20.4	2.83%	0	1.2	71	INF
19	Mar_2_2016	103.72	105.5	107.13	108.54	108.59	109.25	109.95(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	41	40	30	75	25.67	52%	0.16	0.6	2.84%	0	1.2	74	INF
20	Mar_1_2016	103.55	105.66	106.64	107.92	107.96	108.16	109.82(2.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	33	10	19	75	26.82	54%	0.15	15.3	2.84%	0	1	76	INF

21	Feb_29_2016	103.39	105.85	105.83	107.05	107.07	107.93	106.92(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	21	60	6	66	32.78	54%	0.14	26.9	2.83%	0	0.2	72	INF
22	Feb_26_2016	103.25	106.08	105.36	107.1	106.74	107.76	107.92(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	47	60	37	77	26.69	54%	0.16	40.3	2.82%	0	0.4	58	INF
23	Feb_25_2016	103.09	106.11	104.76	106.43	106.3	106.21	108.07(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	-10	25	49	29.91	54%	0.16	51.2	2.85%	0	0.4	43	INF
24	Feb_24_2016	102.93	105.48	104.05	105.51	105.38	105.71	106.88(1.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-5	20	-8	4	34.41	54%	0.15	40.8	2.84%	0	0.3	38	INF
25	Feb_23_2016	102.78	105.04	103.32	105.17	105.23	106.39	105.46(-1.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	25	80	36	-9	25.32	54%		39.2	2.84%	0	0.1	33	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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