Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 3, 2016

Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jan. 3, 2014 - Wed. Jun. 8, 2022)

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FB latest price $112.6900 (-1.68%) ($109.7500 - $115.3407) on Wed. Feb. 3, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.73% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $112.6900(-1.68%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FB advances 3.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FB advances 9.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(48%)    XHB(42%)    KWEB(15%)    QQQ(15%)    MCHI(14%)
Factors Impacting FB price   FB will decline at least -1.365% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-11%)    BND(-8%)    XLU(-7%)    VIXM(-5%)    EMHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.365% (StdDev 2.73%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $112.74(-0.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $104.94(7.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $101.19(11.36%)
To recent high   -2.1%
To recent low   19.7%
Market Cap   $321.167b

Facebook, Inc. engages in the development of social media applications for people to connect through mobile devices, personal computers, and other surfaces. It enables users to share opinions, ideas, photos, videos, and other activities online. Its products include Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, WhatsApp, and Oculus. The company was founded by Mark Elliot Zuckerberg, Dustin Moskovitz, Chris R. Hughes, Andrew McCollum, and Eduardo P. Saverin on February 4, 2004 and is headquartered in Menlo Park, CA.

$. FB price fluctuates within 7.11% (three month std-dev: 2.73%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160303

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_3_2016	101.19	101.19	104.94	112.74	113.2	114.16	112.69(-1.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	81	70	35	220	56.92	61%	0.21	36	2.73%	0	1.6	72	0
2	Feb_2_2016	100.98	100.62	103.1	109.09	111.85	114.41	114.61(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	137	240	116	200	59.78	61%	0.23	21.1	2.72%	0	2.1	66	0
3	Feb_1_2016	100.75	99.9	101.1	105.64	107.11	112.25	115.09(2.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	134	380	126	158	46.13	61%	0.23	5.3	2.72%	0	2.6	69	0
4	Jan_29_2016	100.52	99.27	98.97	102.02	102.96	109.29	112.21(2.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	176	460	190	134	62.74	58%	0.21	-14.4	2.73%	0	2.7	67	0
5	Jan_28_2016	100.31	98.86	97.42	99.17	99.79	101.97	109.11(15.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	135	170	152	85	107.48	57%	0.2	-36.8	2.71%	0	2.6	64	0

6	Jan_27_2016	100.11	98.66	95.93	96.18	97.06	96.62	94.45(-2.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-28	-0	-20	-51	58.7	45%	0.05	-60.7	1.86%	0	-1.2	34	0
7	Jan_26_2016	100.06	99.22	96.41	96.16	96.65	97.6	97.34(0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	8	80	25	-45	26.88	47%	-0.03	-53.7	1.83%	0	-0.5	38	0
8	Jan_25_2016	100.09	99.59	96.4	95.74	95.58	97.51	97.01(-0.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	34	140	63	-52	32.48	47%	0.09	-54.9	1.84%	0	-0.6	39	0
9	Jan_22_2016	100	99.96	96.42	95.34	95.02	95.7	97.94(4.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	27	40	63	-81	30.5	52%	0.1	-59.2	1.86%	0	-0.5	36	0
10	Jan_21_2016	99.9	100.33	96.38	95.42	94.45	93.65	94.16(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-59	-90	-30	-145	30.52	48%	0.05	-56.4	1.82%	0	-1.4	25	0

11	Jan_20_2016	99.85	100.87	97.23	95.68	94.94	94.34	94.35(-0.96%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-84	-70	-57	-165	59.05	48%	0.07	-57.1	1.82%	0	-1.5	24	0
12	Jan_19_2016	99.78	101.38	98.05	96.68	96.21	95.25	95.26(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-56	-80	-26	-145	31	48%	0.15	-51.5	1.83%	0	-1.5	29	0
13	Jan_15_2016	99.63	101.94	98.74	97.13	97.01	95.55	94.97(-3.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-85	-110	-60	-161	46.13	48%	0.05	-51.5	1.83%	0	-1.8	31	0
14	Jan_14_2016	99.58	102.55	99.7	97.6	97.67	97.17	98.37(3.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-72	-30	-45	-151	48.66	52%	0.12	-49.9	1.79%	0	-1.2	37	0
15	Jan_13_2016	99.46	102.88	100.44	97.51	98.24	98.46	95.44(-3.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-47	40	-14	-144	33.41	49%	0.13	-53.5	1.75%	0	-2.1	27	0

16	Jan_12_2016	99.33	103.37	101.62	99.02	98.57	98.16	99.37(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-43	-40	-18	-118	28.4	53%	0.18	-50.3	1.68%	0	-1.3	36	0
17	Jan_11_2016	99.15	103.54	102.26	99.69	99.38	98.02	97.51(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-78	-110	-64	-120	29.93	51%	0.11	-53.3	1.67%	0	-2	33	0
18	Jan_8_2016	99.04	103.96	103.05	100.63	100.73	98.99	97.33(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-90	-120	-82	-114	35.4	51%	0.07	-49.6	1.67%	0	-2.6	28	0
19	Jan_7_2016	98.97	104.36	103.84	102.1	101.44	100.74	97.92(-4.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-99	-70	-98	-101	45.17	51%	0.03	-46	1.67%	0	-3.1	27	0
20	Jan_6_2016	98.94	104.82	104.65	103.76	102.96	102.47	102.97(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-27	-60	-22	-40	25.1	58%	0.08	-38.5	1.54%	0	-1.3	47	0

21	Jan_5_2016	98.86	104.96	104.86	104.62	104.07	102.14	102.73(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-63	-150	-70	-41	23.26	60%	0.09	-17.9	1.55%	0	-1.6	46	0
22	Jan_4_2016	98.77	105.14	105.02	105.26	105.11	103.45	102.22(-2.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-89	-110	-106	-36	37.91	60%	0.14	-3.2	1.57%	0	-2.2	54	0
23	Dec_31_2015	98.63	105.26	105.44	105.82	106.07	106	104.66(-1.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-15	0	-23	11	18.39	64%	0.1	5.6	1.55%	0	-0.5	49	0
24	Dec_30_2015	98.53	105.33	105.65	105.81	105.95	106.78	106.22(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	60	30	41	13.12	67%	0.13	7.4	1.53%	0	0.8	55	0
25	Dec_29_2015	98.4	105.36	105.49	105.67	105.58	106.14	107.26(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	44	30	46	37	17.18	63%		4.4	1.59%	0	1.6	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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