Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 14, 2016

Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jan. 3, 2014 - Wed. Jun. 8, 2022)

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FB latest price $98.3700 (3.07%) ($92.4500 - $98.8700) on Thu. Jan. 14, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.79% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $98.3700(3.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FB advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FB declines -4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(49%)    XHB(43%)    QQQ(16%)    KWEB(15%)    MCHI(15%)
Factors Impacting FB price   FB will decline at least -0.895% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-11%)    BND(-8%)    XLU(-6%)    VIXM(-6%)    EMHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.895% (StdDev 1.79%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.6%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $92.23(-6.24%)
Resistance Level   $102.55
5 Day Moving Average   $97.6(0.79%)
10 Day Moving Average   $99.7(-1.33%)
20 Day Moving Average   $102.55(-4.08%)
To recent high   -9.8%
To recent low   4.6%
Market Cap   $280.355b

Facebook, Inc. engages in the development of social media applications for people to connect through mobile devices, personal computers, and other surfaces. It enables users to share opinions, ideas, photos, videos, and other activities online. Its products include Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, WhatsApp, and Oculus. The company was founded by Mark Elliot Zuckerberg, Dustin Moskovitz, Chris R. Hughes, Andrew McCollum, and Eduardo P. Saverin on February 4, 2004 and is headquartered in Menlo Park, CA.

$. FB price fluctuates within 3.49% (three month std-dev: 1.79%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 2.57%(44%) Average negative next day return: -1.23%(56%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 5.99%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -3.09%(67%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 4.36%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.64%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_14_2016	99.58	102.55	99.7	97.6	97.67	97.17	98.37(3.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-72	-30	-45	-151	48.66	52%	0.12	-49.9	1.79%	0	-1.2	37	INF
2	Jan_13_2016	99.46	102.88	100.44	97.51	98.24	98.46	95.44(-3.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-47	40	-14	-144	33.41	49%	0.13	-53.5	1.75%	0	-2.1	27	INF
3	Jan_12_2016	99.33	103.37	101.62	99.02	98.57	98.16	99.37(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-43	-40	-18	-118	28.4	53%	0.18	-50.3	1.68%	0	-1.3	36	INF
4	Jan_11_2016	99.15	103.54	102.26	99.69	99.38	98.02	97.51(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-78	-110	-64	-120	29.93	51%	0.11	-53.3	1.67%	0	-2	33	INF
5	Jan_8_2016	99.04	103.96	103.05	100.63	100.73	98.99	97.33(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-90	-120	-82	-114	35.4	51%	0.07	-49.6	1.67%	0	-2.6	28	INF

6	Jan_7_2016	98.97	104.36	103.84	102.1	101.44	100.74	97.92(-4.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-99	-70	-98	-101	45.17	51%	0.03	-46	1.67%	0	-3.1	27	INF
7	Jan_6_2016	98.94	104.82	104.65	103.76	102.96	102.47	102.97(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-27	-60	-22	-40	25.1	58%	0.08	-38.5	1.54%	0	-1.3	47	INF
8	Jan_5_2016	98.86	104.96	104.86	104.62	104.07	102.14	102.73(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-63	-150	-70	-41	23.26	60%	0.09	-17.9	1.55%	0	-1.6	46	INF
9	Jan_4_2016	98.77	105.14	105.02	105.26	105.11	103.45	102.22(-2.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-89	-110	-106	-36	37.91	60%	0.14	-3.2	1.57%	0	-2.2	54	INF
10	Dec_31_2015	98.63	105.26	105.44	105.82	106.07	106	104.66(-1.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-15	0	-23	11	18.39	64%	0.1	5.6	1.55%	0	-0.5	49	INF

11	Dec_30_2015	98.53	105.33	105.65	105.81	105.95	106.78	106.22(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	60	30	41	13.12	67%	0.13	7.4	1.53%	0	0.8	55	INF
12	Dec_29_2015	98.4	105.36	105.49	105.67	105.58	106.14	107.26(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	44	30	46	37	17.18	63%	0.13	4.4	1.59%	0	1.6	51	INF
13	Dec_28_2015	98.27	105.21	105.21	105.17	105.17	105.13	105.93(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	12	-0	12	11	13.07	57%	0.15	-20.6	1.63%	0	0.6	51	INF
14	Dec_24_2015	98.12	105.18	104.86	104.79	104.98	105.01	105.02(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-12	10	-10	-17	6.51	57%	0.09	-33	1.71%	0	-0.1	47	INF
15	Dec_23_2015	98.03	105.2	104.86	105.03	105.05	105.21	104.63(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-6	10	-5	-8	19.6	57%	0.11	-36.8	1.71%	0	-0.5	52	INF

16	Dec_22_2015	97.92	105.26	104.89	105.47	105.49	104.95	105.51(0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	1	-40	2	-2	14.6	54%	0.11	-24.5	1.71%	0	0.2	49	INF
17	Dec_21_2015	97.81	105.32	104.96	105.27	105.63	104.89	104.77(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-31	-40	-34	-22	16.14	54%	0.11	-17.1	1.75%	0	-0.5	44	INF
18	Dec_18_2015	97.7	105.44	105.04	105.25	105.73	106.03	104.04(-2.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	1	30	2	-4	35.99	54%	0.09	-4.2	1.75%	0	-1.1	51	INF
19	Dec_17_2015	97.61	105.55	105.26	104.87	105.26	106.38	106.22(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	37	90	46	9	21.68	57%	0.09	-20	1.73%	0	0.6	52	INF
20	Dec_16_2015	97.52	105.61	105.07	104.71	104.31	105.42	106.79(2.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	34	60	44	2	22.68	57%	0.12	-27	1.73%	0	0.9	53	INF

21	Dec_15_2015	97.4	105.53	104.97	104.27	104.18	104.13	104.55(-0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	13	-10	22	-15	21.76	55%	0.1	-46.7	1.71%	0	-0.8	47	INF
22	Dec_14_2015	97.3	105.52	105.21	104.66	104.23	103.21	104.66(2.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-39	-80	-41	-33	24.81	55%	0.08	-46.3	1.71%	0	-0.7	44	INF
23	Dec_11_2015	97.22	105.49	105.19	104.85	104.75	104.23	102.12(-3.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-50	-40	-52	-44	26.43	52%	0.07	-52.4	1.69%	0	-2.5	36	INF
24	Dec_10_2015	97.15	105.8	105.19	105.66	105.44	105.26	105.42(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-3	-20	0	-11	17.45	56%	0.08	-42.9	1.64%	0	-0.3	48	INF
25	Dec_9_2015	97.07	105.96	105.56	105.45	105.53	105.27	104.6(-1.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-18	-10	-14	-28	23.52	56%		-25.4	1.65%	0	-1	40	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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