Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 10, 2015

Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jan. 3, 2014 - Wed. Jun. 8, 2022)

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FB latest price $91.9800 (1.7%) ($89.6300 - $92.0600) on Thu. Sep. 10, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $91.9800(1.7%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FB advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FB advances 2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(49%)    XHB(43%)    QQQ(18%)    KWEB(16%)    MCHI(16%)
Factors Impacting FB price   FB will decline at least -1% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-12%)    VIXM(-8%)    BND(-8%)    XLU(-5%)    BNDX(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1% (StdDev 2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $89.67(2.58%)
10 Day Moving Average   $89.58(2.68%)
20 Day Moving Average   $89.77(2.46%)
To recent high   -6.5%
To recent low   14%
Market Cap   $262.143b

Facebook, Inc. engages in the development of social media applications for people to connect through mobile devices, personal computers, and other surfaces. It enables users to share opinions, ideas, photos, videos, and other activities online. Its products include Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, WhatsApp, and Oculus. The company was founded by Mark Elliot Zuckerberg, Dustin Moskovitz, Chris R. Hughes, Andrew McCollum, and Eduardo P. Saverin on February 4, 2004 and is headquartered in Menlo Park, CA.

$. FB price fluctuates within 3.99% (three month std-dev: 2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.5%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0.21%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.95%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151010

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_10_2015	86.58	89.77	89.58	89.67	89.75	90.89	91.98(1.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	42	90	30	77	26.44	59%	0.09	-29.1	2%	0	0.6	51	0
2	Sep_9_2015	86.5	89.84	89.1	89.25	89.23	90.21	90.44(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	54	80	54	55	32.55	59%	0.08	-34.4	2%	0	0.2	42	0
3	Sep_8_2015	86.43	89.98	88.4	88.61	88.78	88.61	89.53(1.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	11	-10	17	-9	27.01	58%	0.14	-39.2	2%	0	-0.1	41	0
4	Sep_4_2015	86.31	90.19	87.7	88.59	88.27	88.25	88.26(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-41	-10	-33	-66	27.33	58%	0.07	-38.8	1.99%	0	-0.5	41	0
5	Sep_3_2015	86.25	90.49	87.49	89.14	88.86	88.96	88.15(-1.94%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-11	-0	7	-66	27.05	59%	0.07	-34.5	1.99%	0	-0.6	40	0

6	Sep_2_2015	86.19	90.83	87.69	89.46	88.86	88.29	89.89(3.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-23	-80	-6	-75	27.19	59%	0.07	-31.7	2%	0	-0.2	44	0
7	Sep_1_2015	86.13	91.13	88.13	88.92	89.28	88.76	87.23(-2.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-40	-30	-23	-92	36.1	58%	0.05	-36	1.96%	0	-1	39	0
8	Aug_31_2015	86.09	91.48	88.87	88.07	88.89	90.27	89.43(-1.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	17	140	48	-76	32.85	60%	0.09	-44	1.94%	0	-0.5	43	0
9	Aug_28_2015	86.01	91.72	89.26	86.6	87.68	89.8	91.01(1.43%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	66	210	114	-79	33.22	60%	0.1	-54.5	1.93%	0	-0.2	44	0
10	Aug_27_2015	85.92	91.86	89.53	85.61	84.93	87.5	89.73(2.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	12	190	56	-122	42.43	61%	0.08	-63.8	1.93%	0	-0.5	41	0

11	Aug_26_2015	85.85	92.13	89.87	85.78	84.44	85.56	87.19(5.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-5	50	39	-135	45.12	58%	0.06	-62.2	1.91%	0	-1.2	34	0
12	Aug_25_2015	85.8	92.63	90.56	87.4	86.04	82.36	83(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-117	-350	-97	-175	52.02	55%	0.01	-54.6	1.82%	0	-2.4	19	0
13	Aug_24_2015	85.79	93.29	91.69	89.84	88.51	83.33	82.09(-4.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-248	-450	-265	-198	83.71	55%	-0.05	-50.6	1.83%	0	-3.4	26	0
14	Aug_21_2015	85.83	93.95	92.99	92.21	92.32	89.71	86.06(-4.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.7	-154	-190	-166	-117	62.78	59%	0.06	-54.4	1.73%	0	-3.5	31	0
15	Aug_20_2015	85.78	94.53	93.89	93.88	94.05	93.69	90.56(-4.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.5	-50	-20	-53	-39	44.6	65%	0.11	-52.1	1.61%	0	-3	40	0

16	Aug_19_2015	85.69	94.79	94.37	94.45	94.46	94.92	95.31(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	30	26	4	23.25	71%	0.15	-31	1.47%	0	0.5	50	0
17	Aug_18_2015	85.56	94.86	94.45	94.23	94.17	94.42	95.17(1.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	20	20	27	-3	22.28	71%	0.14	-6.5	1.47%	0	0.2	41	0
18	Aug_17_2015	85.44	95	94.34	93.92	93.76	94.01	93.93(-0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-3	10	4	-25	18.31	71%	0.13	14.9	1.47%	0	-0.7	45	0
19	Aug_14_2015	85.33	95.19	94.37	93.96	93.69	93.93	94.42(1.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	2	10	10	-22	15.93	73%	0.14	41.3	1.47%	0	-0.5	52	0
20	Aug_13_2015	85.21	95.23	94.33	93.94	93.9	93.51	93.43(-0.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-14	-30	-6	-39	17.45	73%	0.12	53.1	1.53%	0	-1.1	39	0

21	Aug_12_2015	85.11	95.13	94.51	94.28	94.1	93.44	94.19(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-50	-50	-50	-51	27.12	73%	0.11	61.8	1.53%	0	-0.5	47	0
22	Aug_11_2015	85.02	94.94	94.77	94.73	94.91	94.3	93.62(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-28	-40	-27	-31	22.49	73%	0.12	68.3	1.54%	0	-0.6	41	0
23	Aug_10_2015	84.92	94.78	94.95	94.73	95.47	94.76	94.15(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-25	-30	-20	-39	21.62	73%	0.12	69.3	1.54%	0	-0.3	38	0
24	Aug_7_2015	84.82	94.61	94.97	94.81	95.25	95.52	94.3(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-26	30	-17	-52	23.2	73%	0.14	65.9	1.54%	0	-0.1	40	0
25	Aug_6_2015	84.7	94.33	95.22	94.75	95.06	96.18	95.12(-1.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	30	90	47	-22	42.27	73%		56.9	1.53%	0	0.2	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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