Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 20, 2015

Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jan. 3, 2014 - Wed. Jun. 8, 2022)

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FB latest price $90.5600 (-4.98%) ($90.4600 - $94.7700) on Thu. Aug. 20, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.61% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $90.5600(-4.98%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FB declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FB declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(50%)    XHB(44%)    QQQ(20%)    IBB(16%)    XBI(15%)
Factors Impacting FB price   FB will decline at least -0.805% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-12%)    VIXM(-9%)    BND(-9%)    IWO(-6%)    XLU(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.805% (StdDev 1.61%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.2%

Resistance Level   $94.53
5 Day Moving Average   $93.88(-3.54%)
10 Day Moving Average   $93.89(-3.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $94.53(-4.2%)
To recent high   -8%
To recent low   14.4%
Market Cap   $258.096b

Facebook, Inc. engages in the development of social media applications for people to connect through mobile devices, personal computers, and other surfaces. It enables users to share opinions, ideas, photos, videos, and other activities online. Its products include Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, WhatsApp, and Oculus. The company was founded by Mark Elliot Zuckerberg, Dustin Moskovitz, Chris R. Hughes, Andrew McCollum, and Eduardo P. Saverin on February 4, 2004 and is headquartered in Menlo Park, CA.

$. FB price fluctuates within 1.42% (three month std-dev: 1.61%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 1.07%(43%) Average negative next day return: -0.59%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 2.39%(43%) Average negative next three day return: -3.24%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 1.96%(57%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.08%(43%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_20_2015	85.78	94.53	93.89	93.88	94.05	93.69	90.56(-4.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.5	-50	-20	-53	-39	44.6	65%	0.11	-52.1	1.61%	0	-3	40	INF
2	Aug_19_2015	85.69	94.79	94.37	94.45	94.46	94.92	95.31(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	30	26	4	23.25	71%	0.15	-31	1.47%	0	0.5	50	INF
3	Aug_18_2015	85.56	94.86	94.45	94.23	94.17	94.42	95.17(1.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	20	20	27	-3	22.28	71%	0.14	-6.5	1.47%	0	0.2	41	INF
4	Aug_17_2015	85.44	95	94.34	93.92	93.76	94.01	93.93(-0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-3	10	4	-25	18.31	71%	0.13	14.9	1.47%	0	-0.7	45	INF
5	Aug_14_2015	85.33	95.19	94.37	93.96	93.69	93.93	94.42(1.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	2	10	10	-22	15.93	73%	0.14	41.3	1.47%	0	-0.5	52	INF

6	Aug_13_2015	85.21	95.23	94.33	93.94	93.9	93.51	93.43(-0.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-14	-30	-6	-39	17.45	73%	0.12	53.1	1.53%	0	-1.1	39	INF
7	Aug_12_2015	85.11	95.13	94.51	94.28	94.1	93.44	94.19(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-50	-50	-50	-51	27.12	73%	0.11	61.8	1.53%	0	-0.5	47	INF
8	Aug_11_2015	85.02	94.94	94.77	94.73	94.91	94.3	93.62(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-28	-40	-27	-31	22.49	73%	0.12	68.3	1.54%	0	-0.6	41	INF
9	Aug_10_2015	84.92	94.78	94.95	94.73	95.47	94.76	94.15(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-25	-30	-20	-39	21.62	73%	0.12	69.3	1.54%	0	-0.3	38	INF
10	Aug_7_2015	84.82	94.61	94.97	94.81	95.25	95.52	94.3(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-26	30	-17	-52	23.2	73%	0.14	65.9	1.54%	0	-0.1	40	INF

11	Aug_6_2015	84.7	94.33	95.22	94.75	95.06	96.18	95.12(-1.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	30	90	47	-22	42.27	73%	0.18	56.9	1.53%	0	0.2	51	INF
12	Aug_5_2015	84.55	93.9	95.25	94.77	94.67	94.98	96.44(2.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	29	20	41	-8	29.81	71%	0.2	50.1	1.52%	0	0.7	64	INF
13	Aug_4_2015	84.38	93.39	95.28	94.88	94.28	93.93	94.06(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-23	-40	-29	-6	20.14	70%	0.19	49.4	1.51%	0	0.2	63	INF
14	Aug_3_2015	84.22	93.08	95.7	94.88	94.87	94.35	94.14(0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	-50	-13	39	29.34	70%	0.2	51.6	1.51%	0	0.3	63	INF
15	Jul_31_2015	84.05	92.77	96.07	95.13	95.08	94.62	94.01(-1.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-12	-40	-36	60	46.51	70%	0.18	50.8	1.52%	0	0.3	62	INF

16	Jul_30_2015	83.9	92.45	96.21	95.72	95.2	95.38	95.21(-1.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	14	-0	-19	111	86.21	67%	0.22	52.9	1.51%	0	0.6	69	INF
17	Jul_29_2015	83.72	92.05	95.84	95.77	95.84	95.54	96.99(1.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	51	-20	18	149	64.65	69%	0.24	50.5	1.52%	0	1.1	76	INF
18	Jul_28_2015	83.52	91.49	95.16	95.78	95.8	95.02	95.29(1.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-7	-60	-56	142	35.24	66%	0.19	48.8	1.51%	0	0.9	75	INF
19	Jul_27_2015	83.36	91.02	94.65	96.4	96.32	96.14	94.17(-2.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	15	-20	-40	178	38.59	66%	0.18	53.9	1.52%	0	0.7	68	INF
20	Jul_24_2015	83.21	90.7	94.29	97.15	97.1	96.58	96.95(1.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	68	-40	9	243	33.44	70%	0.19	65.8	1.46%	0	1.4	74	INF

21	Jul_23_2015	83.05	90.23	93.42	96.75	97.09	96.49	95.44(-1.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	48	-30	-14	232	29.42	66%	0.18	73.1	1.47%	0	1.2	73	INF
22	Jul_22_2015	82.9	89.88	92.51	95.83	96.51	97.63	97.04(-1.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	97	100	51	233	28.3	68%	0.21	79.1	1.49%	0	1.8	79	INF
23	Jul_21_2015	82.73	89.38	91.37	94.38	94.92	97.68	98.39(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	169	220	145	240	39.45	68%	0.23	85	1.48%	0	2.5	85	INF
24	Jul_20_2015	82.54	88.67	90.21	92.63	92.82	95.4	97.91(3.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.7	179	200	167	214	54.86	70%	0.24	90.3	1.48%	0	3	85	INF
25	Jul_17_2015	82.34	87.88	89.1	91.07	91.12	92.15	94.97(4.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	120	80	109	152	54	65%		95.2	1.47%	0	2.8	68	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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