Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 20, 2015

Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jan. 3, 2014 - Wed. Jun. 8, 2022)

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FB latest price $97.9100 (3.1%) ($95.3600 - $98.6000) on Mon. Jul. 20, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.48% (three month average)
RSI   85
Latest Price   $97.9100(3.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FB advances 1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FB advances 3.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(50%)    XHB(43%)    QQQ(20%)    IBB(16%)    XBI(15%)
Factors Impacting FB price   FB will decline at least -0.74% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-12%)    VIXM(-9%)    BND(-9%)    XLU(-4%)    BNDX(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.74% (StdDev 1.48%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $92.63(5.7%)
10 Day Moving Average   $90.21(8.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $88.67(10.42%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   26.4%
Market Cap   $279.044b

Facebook, Inc. engages in the development of social media applications for people to connect through mobile devices, personal computers, and other surfaces. It enables users to share opinions, ideas, photos, videos, and other activities online. Its products include Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, WhatsApp, and Oculus. The company was founded by Mark Elliot Zuckerberg, Dustin Moskovitz, Chris R. Hughes, Andrew McCollum, and Eduardo P. Saverin on February 4, 2004 and is headquartered in Menlo Park, CA.

$. FB price fluctuates within 3.51% (three month std-dev: 1.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 2.08%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.3%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 6.56%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 4.05%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150820

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_20_2015	82.54	88.67	90.21	92.63	92.82	95.4	97.91(3.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.7	179	200	167	214	54.86	70%	0.24	90.3	1.48%	0	3	85	0
2	Jul_17_2015	82.34	87.88	89.1	91.07	91.12	92.15	94.97(4.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	120	80	109	152	54	65%	0.18	95.2	1.47%	0	2.8	68	0
3	Jul_16_2015	82.19	87.26	88.28	89.67	90	90.24	90.85(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	50	30	37	89	21.8	62%	0.13	96.4	1.4%	0	1.7	60	0
4	Jul_15_2015	82.08	86.81	87.86	88.67	89.28	90.1	89.76(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	48	80	45	57	30.89	62%	0.15	78.5	1.39%	0	1.3	52	0
5	Jul_14_2015	81.96	86.39	87.46	87.85	88.38	89.75	89.68(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	67	130	76	38	26.63	62%	0.13	64.6	1.4%	0	1.3	56	0

6	Jul_13_2015	81.85	85.95	87.06	87.36	87.36	88.46	90.1(2.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	62	90	73	28	29.98	62%	0.12	56.4	1.4%	0	1.6	67	0
7	Jul_10_2015	81.75	85.52	86.8	86.85	86.77	87.02	87.95(2.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	20	32	22	23.25	59%	0.11	50.8	1.37%	0	0.9	69	0
8	Jul_9_2015	81.66	85.22	86.78	86.72	86.67	86.25	85.88(0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-7	-40	-17	23	23.31	57%	0.11	48.9	1.34%	0	0.2	64	0
9	Jul_8_2015	81.57	85.04	87.07	86.92	86.83	86.53	85.65(-1.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-6	-30	-27	59	24.4	57%	0.12	49.7	1.34%	0	0.2	66	0
10	Jul_7_2015	81.47	84.81	87.3	86.95	87.08	87.09	87.22(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	10	8	110	33.06	60%	0.07	48.7	1.32%	0	0.8	74	0

11	Jul_6_2015	81.41	84.49	87.08	86.66	86.86	87.13	87.55(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	35	30	5	123	24.64	60%	0.22	45.8	1.32%	0	1	77	0
12	Jul_2_2015	81.23	84.21	86.62	86.75	86.68	87.07	87.29(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	43	30	12	136	16.91	60%	0.14	53.6	1.33%	0	1.1	71	0
13	Jul_1_2015	81.12	83.94	86.21	86.89	86.86	86.59	86.91(1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	33	-20	-4	143	25.26	60%	0.15	60.4	1.33%	0	1.1	69	0
14	Jun_30_2015	81	83.71	85.73	87.28	87.25	86.28	85.77(-0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-4	-80	-52	140	23.23	58%	0.14	69	1.32%	0	0.8	64	0
15	Jun_29_2015	80.89	83.45	85.3	87.71	87.25	87.12	85.8(-2.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	13	-50	-38	165	35.96	58%	0.15	75.2	1.32%	0	0.9	69	0

16	Jun_26_2015	80.77	83.17	84.83	87.49	87.79	88.22	88.01(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	73	40	32	197	38.21	63%	0.15	72	1.28%	0	1.7	78	0
17	Jun_25_2015	80.65	82.72	84.17	86.39	86.86	88.46	87.98(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	120	150	97	189	27.3	58%	0.16	63.7	1.28%	0	2	69	0
18	Jun_24_2015	80.52	82.31	83.53	85.38	85.35	87.35	88.86(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	147	160	139	172	41.37	58%	0.17	58.8	1.32%	0	2.8	72	0
19	Jun_23_2015	80.38	81.87	82.8	83.97	83.86	85.25	87.88(3.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	123	110	123	121	50.67	58%	0.16	52.6	1.32%	0	3.2	68	0
20	Jun_22_2015	80.25	81.42	82.04	82.6	82.71	83.36	84.74(2.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	69	60	71	63	29.38	53%	0.11	41.4	1.24%	0	2.6	68	0

21	Jun_19_2015	80.16	81.19	81.61	81.8	81.92	82.47	82.51(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	32	50	34	25	23.35	53%	0.06	30.7	1.21%	0	1.3	62	0
22	Jun_18_2015	80.11	81.09	81.56	81.6	81.41	82.05	82.91(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	37	50	37	35	26.78	55%	0.07	23	1.24%	0	1.8	69	0
23	Jun_17_2015	80.05	80.96	81.45	81.38	81.21	81.37	81.79(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	10	21	32	18.35	56%	0.08	28.8	1.25%	0	0.9	59	0
24	Jun_16_2015	79.99	80.9	81.5	81.46	81.29	80.76	81.06(0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-3	-50	-14	31	13.69	56%	0.05	48.6	1.26%	0	0.2	53	0
25	Jun_15_2015	79.95	80.89	81.46	81.38	81.45	81.06	80.71(-1.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-15	-30	-29	29	18.81	56%		61.5	1.26%	0	-0.2	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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