Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jun. 10, 2015

Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jan. 3, 2014 - Wed. Jun. 8, 2022)

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FB latest price $82.1600 (1.85%) ($80.8100 - $82.6000) on Wed. Jun. 10, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.28% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $82.1600(1.85%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FB declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FB advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(50%)    XHB(43%)    QQQ(20%)    IBB(16%)    XLK(16%)
Factors Impacting FB price   FB will decline at least -0.64% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-13%)    VIXM(-10%)    BND(-9%)    BNDX(-5%)    XLU(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.64% (StdDev 1.28%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $81.54(0.76%)
10 Day Moving Average   $81.06(1.36%)
20 Day Moving Average   $80.7(1.81%)
To recent high   -3.7%
To recent low   6.1%
Market Cap   $234.156b

Facebook, Inc. engages in the development of social media applications for people to connect through mobile devices, personal computers, and other surfaces. It enables users to share opinions, ideas, photos, videos, and other activities online. Its products include Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, WhatsApp, and Oculus. The company was founded by Mark Elliot Zuckerberg, Dustin Moskovitz, Chris R. Hughes, Andrew McCollum, and Eduardo P. Saverin on February 4, 2004 and is headquartered in Menlo Park, CA.

$. FB price fluctuates within 1.23% (three month std-dev: 1.28%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 12 Average positive next day return: 1.18%(42%) Average negative next day return: -0.5%(58%) Sample size 12 Average positive next three day return: 1.85%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -0.64%(33%) Sample size 12 Average positive next weekly return: 2.8%(58%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.87%(42%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150710

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_10_2015	79.83	80.7	81.06	81.54	81.3	81.02	82.16(1.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	-30	4	39	21.53	54%	0.08	85.4	1.28%	0	1.5	57	INF
2	Jun_9_2015	79.77	80.47	80.89	81.59	81.44	80.8	80.67(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-23	-60	-38	24	16.5	52%	0.01	75.5	1.29%	0	0.2	51	INF
3	Jun_8_2015	79.76	80.35	80.77	81.55	81.8	81.58	80.67(-1.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-4	-10	-13	25	16.92	52%	0.08	65.6	1.3%	0	0.3	49	INF
4	Jun_5_2015	79.7	80.25	80.76	81.47	81.58	82.08	82.14(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	31	50	27	41	16.14	52%	0.1	60.4	1.29%	0	1.4	59	INF
5	Jun_4_2015	79.62	80.06	80.58	80.88	81	82.03	82.05(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	52	90	59	30	20.86	54%	0.08	47.8	1.29%	0	1.5	52	INF

6	Jun_3_2015	79.56	79.86	80.41	80.5	80.34	81.09	82.44(2.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	52	60	59	29	31.77	54%	0.08	32.1	1.3%	0	2	67	INF
7	Jun_2_2015	79.5	79.62	80.2	80.12	79.96	79.97	80.45(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	-10	21	18	18.92	51%	0.05	13.8	1.27%	0	0.7	66	INF
8	Jun_1_2015	79.46	79.53	80.24	79.9	79.9	79.59	80.29(1.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-9	-30	-16	12	18.12	51%	0.04	-2.6	1.27%	0	0.6	62	INF
9	May_29_2015	79.43	79.47	80.25	79.95	79.95	79.94	79.19(-1.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-11	-0	-22	21	16.13	49%	0.01	-11.3	1.27%	0	-0.2	55	INF
10	May_28_2015	79.42	79.45	80.47	80.21	80.23	80.21	80.15(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	21	-0	8	58	11.98	49%	0.05	-18.5	1.27%	0	0.6	60	INF

11	May_27_2015	79.38	79.46	80.32	80.29	80.24	79.96	80.55(1.53%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	4	-30	-13	56	14.16	47%	0.05	-32.2	1.28%	0	0.9	64	INF
12	May_26_2015	79.34	79.45	80.04	80.31	80.32	80.24	79.34(-1.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-4	-10	-23	53	16.32	45%	0.05	-42.9	1.29%	0	-0.1	62	INF
13	May_22_2015	79.3	79.57	79.94	80.62	80.61	80.52	80.54(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	21	-10	4	72	19.57	47%	0.01	-36.3	1.27%	0	0.7	59	INF
14	May_21_2015	79.29	79.6	79.74	80.59	80.64	80.41	80.48(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-20	-18	61	13.4	47%	0.03	-32.3	1.28%	0	0.6	57	INF
15	May_20_2015	79.27	79.68	79.54	80.77	80.75	80.71	80.55(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	21	-0	3	75	23.06	47%	0.03	-23.9	1.3%	0	0.5	59	INF

16	May_19_2015	79.25	79.85	79.29	80.35	80.71	80.87	80.63(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	39	30	32	61	17.96	52%	0	-23.5	1.3%	0	0.4	49	INF
17	May_18_2015	79.25	79.97	78.98	79.71	79.97	80.79	80.88(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	80	37	26	21.61	54%	0	-30.9	1.37%	0	0.4	49	INF
18	May_15_2015	79.25	80.06	78.75	79.14	79.17	80.54	80.42(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	56	120	72	6	27.07	54%	0.03	-38.9	1.37%	0	0.2	41	INF
19	May_14_2015	79.23	80.08	78.59	78.76	78.54	79.15	81.37(3.74%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.2	47	50	69	-20	49.44	54%	0	-46	1.37%	0	0.6	46	INF
20	May_13_2015	79.23	80.11	78.29	78.17	78.17	77.79	78.44(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-27	-30	-5	-91	21.51	49%	-0.03	-52.6	1.3%	0	-0.8	27	INF

21	May_12_2015	79.25	80.32	78.47	78.1	78.2	77.93	77.46(-0.71%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-52	-20	-27	-125	21.29	49%	-0.05	-51.8	1.29%	0	-1.3	15	INF
22	May_11_2015	79.29	80.62	78.78	78.12	78.32	78.54	78.01(-0.64%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-32	30	1	-130	18.87	51%	-0.03	-51.1	1.29%	0	-1.2	24	INF
23	May_8_2015	79.31	80.87	79.15	78.28	78.24	78.47	78.51(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-25	20	10	-130	19.94	51%	0	-50.2	1.29%	0	-1.1	29	INF
24	May_7_2015	79.31	81.06	79.44	78.38	78.34	78.11	78.43(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-34	-20	-2	-130	19.75	51%	0.03	-50	1.3%	0	-1.3	43	INF
25	May_6_2015	79.29	81.26	79.82	78.45	78.54	78.01	78.1(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-65	-40	-39	-143	28.66	49%		-50.8	1.31%	0	-1.6	37	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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