Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 5, 2015

Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jan. 3, 2014 - Wed. Jun. 8, 2022)

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FB latest price $77.5600 (-1.59%) ($77.2200 - $78.8000) on Tue. May. 5, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.32% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $77.5600(-1.59%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FB declines -0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FB declines -2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(50%)    XHB(43%)    QQQ(21%)    IBB(16%)    XLK(16%)
Factors Impacting FB price   FB will decline at least -0.66% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-13%)    VIXM(-10%)    BND(-9%)    BNDX(-5%)    XLU(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.66% (StdDev 1.32%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $75.73(-2.36%)
Resistance Level   $81.48
5 Day Moving Average   $78.92(-1.72%)
10 Day Moving Average   $80.45(-3.59%)
20 Day Moving Average   $81.48(-4.81%)
To recent high   -9.1%
To recent low   4.2%
Market Cap   $221.046b

Facebook, Inc. engages in the development of social media applications for people to connect through mobile devices, personal computers, and other surfaces. It enables users to share opinions, ideas, photos, videos, and other activities online. Its products include Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, WhatsApp, and Oculus. The company was founded by Mark Elliot Zuckerberg, Dustin Moskovitz, Chris R. Hughes, Andrew McCollum, and Eduardo P. Saverin on February 4, 2004 and is headquartered in Menlo Park, CA.

$. FB price fluctuates within 2.18% (three month std-dev: 1.32%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.07%(100%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 2.78%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -0.79%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 2.22%(80%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.32%(20%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150605

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_5_2015	79.25	81.48	80.45	78.92	78.92	78.57	77.56(-1.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-64	-30	-44	-122	22.31	49%	0.01	-48.2	1.32%	0	-2.2	34	0
2	May_4_2015	79.24	81.74	81.07	79.54	79.5	79.07	78.81(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-48	-40	-31	-99	14.69	51%	0.01	-47.9	1.31%	0	-1.9	34	0
3	May_1_2015	79.23	81.93	81.5	80.16	80.01	79.27	78.99(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-63	-70	-53	-91	24.14	51%	0.01	-42.8	1.3%	0	-2.1	37	0
4	Apr_30_2015	79.22	82.08	81.72	80.67	80.78	79.93	78.77(-2.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-66	-70	-60	-85	29	48%	0.04	-43.4	1.31%	0	-2.6	41	0
5	Apr_29_2015	79.19	82.25	82.11	81.4	81.44	80.75	80.47(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-67	-60	-67	-65	26.43	53%	0.04	-39.3	1.32%	0	-1.8	45	0

6	Apr_28_2015	79.16	82.35	82.35	82.23	82.26	81.62	80.68(-1.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-43	-50	-47	-30	23.78	53%	0.06	-34.2	1.35%	0	-1.8	45	0
7	Apr_27_2015	79.11	82.48	82.64	82.82	83.06	82.13	81.91(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-34	-70	-43	-6	25.45	52%	0.08	-24.3	1.34%	0	-0.7	49	0
8	Apr_24_2015	79.05	82.55	82.75	83.06	83.51	82.9	81.53(-1.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-27	-30	-38	6	29.66	52%	0.08	-19.4	1.36%	0	-1.2	47	0
9	Apr_23_2015	78.99	82.62	82.83	82.91	83.53	83.98	82.41(-2.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	13	60	9	23	73.73	52%	0.1	-24	1.36%	0	-0.3	55	0
10	Apr_22_2015	78.91	82.65	82.81	82.89	82.92	84.12	84.63(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	54	100	57	46	45.55	56%	0.13	-14	1.32%	0	2.4	66	0

11	Apr_21_2015	78.81	82.66	82.56	82.5	82.46	83.08	83.62(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	52	50	57	35	27.17	56%	0.1	4.5	1.32%	0	1	57	0
12	Apr_20_2015	78.73	82.68	82.42	82.48	82.25	81.72	83.09(2.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	-6	-50	-9	4	28.8	56%	0.08	32.8	1.32%	0	0.4	48	0
13	Apr_17_2015	78.67	82.71	82.35	82.46	82.48	81.84	80.78(-1.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-42	-50	-50	-17	24.21	52%	0.03	57.9	1.28%	0	-1.9	33	0
14	Apr_16_2015	78.65	82.82	82.45	82.72	82.86	82.77	82.31(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-9	-0	-12	-1	13.77	55%	0.06	94.4	1.27%	0	-0.6	44	0
15	Apr_15_2015	78.6	82.76	82.4	82.69	82.79	83.13	82.71(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	10	30	13	1	22.39	51%	0.1	101.7	1.28%	0	-0.1	47	0

16	Apr_14_2015	78.52	82.61	82.35	82.6	82.6	82.95	83.52(0.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	18	30	27	-11	19.63	51%	0.13	85.9	1.33%	0	0.7	35	0
17	Apr_13_2015	78.42	82.36	82.29	82.36	82.41	82.45	83.01(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-1	10	10	-32	26.88	51%	0.11	60.8	1.33%	0	0.4	39	0
18	Apr_10_2015	78.33	82.13	82.3	82.25	82.4	82.24	82.04(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	-10	-1	-43	12.53	51%	0.12	45.9	1.32%	0	-0	39	0
19	Apr_9_2015	78.24	81.99	82.39	82.15	82.28	82.38	82.17(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-14	10	-3	-46	15.93	51%	0.13	36.7	1.33%	0	0.1	48	0
20	Apr_8_2015	78.14	81.78	82.47	82.05	82.19	82.56	82.28(-0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	5	40	17	-32	18.97	54%	0.1	25.1	1.34%	0	0.2	59	0

21	Apr_7_2015	78.06	81.57	82.75	82.04	82.06	82.18	82.32(-0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	5	10	9	-7	17.47	54%	0.1	19.2	1.38%	0	0.3	66	0
22	Apr_6_2015	77.98	81.43	82.95	82.21	82.08	81.83	82.44(1.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-8	-30	-17	18	19.06	54%	0.15	20.7	1.38%	0	0.4	70	0
23	Apr_2_2015	77.86	81.31	83.08	82.39	82.51	81.95	81.56(-0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-8	-40	-26	47	19.66	54%	0.09	25.7	1.39%	0	0.1	69	0
24	Apr_1_2015	77.79	81.29	83.22	82.68	82.87	82.32	81.67(-0.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-9	-40	-36	71	22.06	54%	0.1	31	1.39%	0	0.2	64	0
25	Mar_31_2015	77.71	81.25	83.19	82.93	83.11	83.07	82.22(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	2	0	-31	99	19.73	54%		36.6	1.4%	0	0.4	70	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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