Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FB: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Apr. 14, 2015

Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jan. 3, 2014 - Wed. Jun. 8, 2022)

()
FB latest price $83.5150 (0.61%) ($82.4400 - $83.6900) on Tue. Apr. 14, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.33% (three month average)
RSI   35
Latest Price   $83.5150(0.61%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FB advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FB declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(50%)    XHB(43%)    QQQ(21%)    IBB(16%)    XLK(16%)
Factors Impacting FB price   FB will decline at least -0.665% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-13%)    VIXM(-10%)    BND(-10%)    BNDX(-5%)    XLU(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.665% (StdDev 1.33%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $82.6(1.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $82.35(1.41%)
20 Day Moving Average   $82.61(1.1%)
To recent high   -2.1%
To recent low   12.8%
Market Cap   $238.018b

Facebook, Inc. engages in the development of social media applications for people to connect through mobile devices, personal computers, and other surfaces. It enables users to share opinions, ideas, photos, videos, and other activities online. Its products include Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, WhatsApp, and Oculus. The company was founded by Mark Elliot Zuckerberg, Dustin Moskovitz, Chris R. Hughes, Andrew McCollum, and Eduardo P. Saverin on February 4, 2004 and is headquartered in Menlo Park, CA.

$. FB price fluctuates within 1.49% (three month std-dev: 1.33%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.35%(33%) Average negative next day return: -2.06%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 2.51%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -3.42%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 2.67%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.24%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150514

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_14_2015	78.52	82.61	82.35	82.6	82.6	82.95	83.52(0.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	18	30	27	-11	19.63	51%	0.13	85.9	1.33%	0	0.7	35	INF
2	Apr_13_2015	78.42	82.36	82.29	82.36	82.41	82.45	83.01(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-1	10	10	-32	26.88	51%	0.11	60.8	1.33%	0	0.4	39	INF
3	Apr_10_2015	78.33	82.13	82.3	82.25	82.4	82.24	82.04(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	-10	-1	-43	12.53	51%	0.12	45.9	1.32%	0	-0	39	INF
4	Apr_9_2015	78.24	81.99	82.39	82.15	82.28	82.38	82.17(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-14	10	-3	-46	15.93	51%	0.13	36.7	1.33%	0	0.1	48	INF
5	Apr_8_2015	78.14	81.78	82.47	82.05	82.19	82.56	82.28(-0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	5	40	17	-32	18.97	54%	0.1	25.1	1.34%	0	0.2	59	INF

6	Apr_7_2015	78.06	81.57	82.75	82.04	82.06	82.18	82.32(-0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	5	10	9	-7	17.47	54%	0.1	19.2	1.38%	0	0.3	66	INF
7	Apr_6_2015	77.98	81.43	82.95	82.21	82.08	81.83	82.44(1.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-8	-30	-17	18	19.06	54%	0.15	20.7	1.38%	0	0.4	70	INF
8	Apr_2_2015	77.86	81.31	83.08	82.39	82.51	81.95	81.56(-0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-8	-40	-26	47	19.66	54%	0.09	25.7	1.39%	0	0.1	69	INF
9	Apr_1_2015	77.79	81.29	83.22	82.68	82.87	82.32	81.67(-0.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-9	-40	-36	71	22.06	54%	0.1	31	1.39%	0	0.2	64	INF
10	Mar_31_2015	77.71	81.25	83.19	82.93	83.11	83.07	82.22(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	2	0	-31	99	19.73	54%	0.09	36.6	1.4%	0	0.4	70	INF

11	Mar_30_2015	77.64	81.12	82.95	83.55	83.49	83.41	83.2(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	32	-10	-4	141	24.53	54%	0.1	47	1.4%	0	0.9	75	INF
12	Mar_27_2015	77.56	80.94	82.49	83.79	83.91	83.14	83.3(0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	19	-60	-21	139	18.37	54%	0.1	53	1.4%	0	1	63	INF
13	Mar_26_2015	77.48	80.72	81.99	83.89	84.11	83.56	83.01(0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-1	-40	-43	127	32.79	54%	0.12	54.3	1.41%	0	1	60	INF
14	Mar_25_2015	77.39	80.58	81.6	83.84	84.31	84.68	82.92(-2.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	51	50	20	142	37.44	54%	0.09	57.9	1.41%	0	1.1	54	INF
15	Mar_24_2015	77.32	80.4	81.09	83.44	83.75	84.65	85.31(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	91	90	74	141	32.58	58%	0.16	60.3	1.38%	0	2.3	63	INF

16	Mar_23_2015	77.2	80.04	80.29	82.25	82.49	83.93	84.43(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	94	130	91	104	27.36	58%	0.13	59.6	1.37%	0	2.4	65	INF
17	Mar_20_2015	77.1	79.74	79.75	80.98	81.2	82.84	83.8(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	106	150	116	74	44.47	61%	0.13	57.5	1.39%	0	2.6	63	INF
18	Mar_19_2015	77	79.52	79.31	79.83	79.74	81.06	82.75(2.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	73	110	87	32	42.1	62%	0.09	58.6	1.39%	0	2.6	63	INF
19	Mar_18_2015	76.93	79.33	79.1	79.07	78.85	79.55	80.91(1.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	47	50	62	3	36.91	63%	0.01	56.8	1.38%	0	1.4	51	INF
20	Mar_17_2015	76.92	79.13	79.06	78.4	78.44	78.42	79.37(1.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	11	-0	23	-27	22.17	63%	-0.01	41.1	1.41%	0	0.2	49	INF

21	Mar_16_2015	76.93	78.96	79.07	78.03	78.14	78.15	78.07(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-26	10	-18	-49	19.31	57%	-0.04	37.2	1.42%	0	-0.7	50	INF
22	Mar_13_2015	76.96	78.86	79.25	78.31	78.23	78.46	78.05(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7	20	-0	-29	18.56	57%	-0.03	42.5	1.46%	0	-0.5	48	INF
23	Mar_12_2015	76.98	78.79	79.36	78.7	78.47	78.13	78.93(1.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-18	-40	-14	-28	16.09	57%	0	49.5	1.47%	0	0.1	46	INF
24	Mar_11_2015	76.98	78.68	79.5	79.16	78.98	77.99	77.57(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-52	-90	-59	-29	20.22	57%	-0.01	57.9	1.45%	0	-0.7	44	INF
25	Mar_10_2015	76.99	78.58	79.72	79.82	79.88	78.82	77.55(-2.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-40	-90	-55	5	23.07	57%		63.5	1.48%	0	-0.6	56	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.