Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 26, 2015

Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jan. 3, 2014 - Wed. Jun. 8, 2022)

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FB latest price $80.4100 (1.07%) ($79.7200 - $81.3700) on Thu. Feb. 26, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.46% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $80.4100(1.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FB advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FB advances 2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(50%)    XHB(43%)    QQQ(21%)    IBB(17%)    XBI(16%)
Factors Impacting FB price   FB will decline at least -0.73% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-12%)    VIXM(-10%)    BND(-9%)    BNDX(-5%)    XLU(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.73% (StdDev 1.46%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $79.43(1.23%)
10 Day Moving Average   $78.18(2.85%)
20 Day Moving Average   $76.94(4.51%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   8.6%
Market Cap   $229.169b

Facebook, Inc. engages in the development of social media applications for people to connect through mobile devices, personal computers, and other surfaces. It enables users to share opinions, ideas, photos, videos, and other activities online. Its products include Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, WhatsApp, and Oculus. The company was founded by Mark Elliot Zuckerberg, Dustin Moskovitz, Chris R. Hughes, Andrew McCollum, and Eduardo P. Saverin on February 4, 2004 and is headquartered in Menlo Park, CA.

$. FB price fluctuates within 2.44% (three month std-dev: 1.46%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 22 Average positive next day return: 1.03%(55%) Average negative next day return: -1.32%(45%) Sample size 22 Average positive next three day return: 2.55%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.43%(50%) Sample size 22 Average positive next weekly return: 2.87%(45%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.38%(55%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150326

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_26_2015	76.54	76.94	78.18	79.43	79.38	79.77	80.41(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	59	30	36	129	31.11	62%	0.04	37.7	1.46%	0	1.8	69	INF
2	Feb_25_2015	76.51	76.71	77.78	79.23	79.23	78.91	79.56(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	-30	11	118	25.59	64%	0.05	37.4	1.49%	0	1.7	67	INF
3	Feb_24_2015	76.47	76.51	77.34	78.66	79.01	78.99	78.45(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	27	10	3	99	18.9	64%	0.01	29.3	1.51%	0	1.2	65	INF
4	Feb_23_2015	76.46	76.44	76.95	78.09	78.41	79.54	78.84(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	59	110	46	98	24.14	64%	0.01	27.1	1.51%	0	1.6	69	INF
5	Feb_20_2015	76.45	76.37	76.52	77.47	77.5	79.02	79.9(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	91	140	90	93	36.93	64%	0.04	28.4	1.49%	0	2.4	67	INF

6	Feb_19_2015	76.42	76.23	76.06	76.74	76.58	77.27	79.42(3.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	59	60	62	50	45.85	64%	0.04	21.3	1.49%	0	2.6	52	INF
7	Feb_18_2015	76.39	76.08	75.64	76.16	76.12	75.99	76.71(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	12	-10	12	10	22.43	60%	-0.03	11.9	1.44%	0	0.6	51	INF
8	Feb_17_2015	76.41	76.05	75.5	75.85	76.02	75.88	75.6(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-6	-10	-5	-8	25.25	59%	-0.08	1.5	1.43%	0	-0.4	50	INF
9	Feb_13_2015	76.47	76.04	75.44	75.62	75.83	76.25	75.74(-0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	9	50	18	-19	18.62	59%	-0.03	-15.6	1.42%	0	-0.3	42	INF
10	Feb_12_2015	76.49	76.04	75.45	75.37	75.37	76.15	76.23(-0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	20	70	36	-30	17.23	59%	-0.03	-37.4	1.42%	0	0.2	42	INF

11	Feb_11_2015	76.51	75.96	75.59	75.25	75.01	75.41	76.51(1.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	17	30	34	-34	20.88	59%	-0.03	-40.1	1.42%	0	0.5	44	INF
12	Feb_10_2015	76.53	75.95	75.55	75.07	74.95	74.58	75.19(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-19	-40	-5	-59	15.81	57%	-0.03	-43.5	1.41%	0	-0.7	44	INF
13	Feb_9_2015	76.55	76.03	75.61	75.11	75.09	74.61	74.44(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-42	-50	-32	-72	16.19	57%	-0.04	-45.2	1.41%	0	-1.4	43	INF
14	Feb_6_2015	76.58	76.2	75.91	75.22	75.3	75.33	74.47(-1.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-24	10	-15	-51	21.21	57%	-0.04	-46.5	1.41%	0	-1.6	50	INF
15	Feb_5_2015	76.61	76.38	76.24	75.51	75.35	75.57	75.62(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-9	10	-5	-20	15.06	59%	-0.01	-38.6	1.4%	0	-0.7	59	INF

16	Feb_4_2015	76.62	76.42	76.44	75.99	75.68	75.26	75.63(0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-4	-50	-5	1	20.28	62%	0	-39.9	1.4%	0	-0.7	49	INF
17	Feb_3_2015	76.62	76.45	76.56	76.11	76	75.13	75.4(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-35	-80	-44	-9	26.96	62%	0.01	-53.9	1.44%	0	-1	47	INF
18	Feb_2_2015	76.61	76.54	76.66	76.18	76.42	76.1	74.99(-1.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-33	-20	-41	-8	41.96	62%	-0.04	-68.8	1.45%	0	-1.5	45	INF
19	Jan_30_2015	76.64	76.71	76.72	76.69	76.67	76.86	75.91(-2.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-3	20	-7	9	42.65	58%	-0.03	-64.5	1.45%	0	-0.7	43	INF
20	Jan_29_2015	76.66	76.81	76.57	77.07	76.88	76.73	78(2.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	5	-20	5	6	61.29	54%	0.01	-65.5	1.44%	0	1.1	48	INF

21	Jan_28_2015	76.65	76.86	76.38	77	77.11	76.47	76.24(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-18	-50	-22	-7	53.31	51%	-0.01	-76.8	1.61%	0	-0.6	51	INF
22	Jan_27_2015	76.66	77.03	76.4	77.1	77.26	77.03	75.78(-2.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-20	-10	-25	-4	20.11	51%	-0.03	-67.5	1.61%	0	-1	50	INF
23	Jan_26_2015	76.68	77.27	76.4	77.19	77.33	77.74	77.5(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	40	25	16	19.26	54%	0	-51.1	1.58%	0	0.2	51	INF
24	Jan_23_2015	76.68	77.42	76.4	76.73	76.82	77.5	77.83(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	37	70	46	9	16.75	57%	0.03	-39.7	1.59%	0	0.3	46	INF
25	Jan_22_2015	76.66	77.54	76.5	75.97	76.05	76.91	77.65(1.19%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1	25	80	38	-14	19.52	57%		-35.9	1.61%	0	0.1	47	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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