Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. May. 12, 2014

Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jan. 3, 2014 - Wed. Jun. 8, 2022)

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FB latest price $59.8300 (4.52%) ($57.9800 - $59.9000) on Mon. May. 12, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.78% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $59.8300(4.52%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FB declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FB declines -1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XHB(43%)    QQQ(23%)    XBI(18%)    XLK(18%)    XLY(18%)
Factors Impacting FB price   FB will decline at least -1.39% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-12%)    BNDX(-5%)    TLT(-4%)    GLD(-4%)    XLU(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.39% (StdDev 2.78%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $52.79(-11.77%)
5 Day Moving Average   $57.95(3.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $59.01(1.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $59.34(0.83%)
To recent high   -16.9%
To recent low   6.6%
Market Cap   $170.516b

Facebook, Inc. engages in the development of social media applications for people to connect through mobile devices, personal computers, and other surfaces. It enables users to share opinions, ideas, photos, videos, and other activities online. Its products include Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, WhatsApp, and Oculus. The company was founded by Mark Elliot Zuckerberg, Dustin Moskovitz, Chris R. Hughes, Andrew McCollum, and Eduardo P. Saverin on February 4, 2004 and is headquartered in Menlo Park, CA.

$. FB price fluctuates within 2.98% (three month std-dev: 2.78%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 1.26%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 7.24%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 7.47%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140612

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_12_2014	62.19	59.34	59.01	57.95	57.8	57.98	59.83(4.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-1	10	9	-31	48.58	51%	-0.05	-18.8	2.78%	0	0.3	42	INF
2	May_9_2014	62.22	59.28	58.66	58.23	58.02	57.18	57.24(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-34	-110	-26	-58	52.58	48%	-0.1	-10	2.7%	0	-1.2	41	NAN
3	May_8_2014	62.28	59.39	58.74	58.87	58.85	57.63	56.76(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-47	-150	-44	-57	61.25	48%	-0.1	-0.7	2.71%	0	-1.5	47	NAN
4	May_7_2014	62.34	59.67	59.15	59.75	59.76	58.86	57.39(-1.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-35	-100	-36	-33	78.59	48%	-0.1	12.8	2.73%	0	-1.3	46	NAN
5	May_6_2014	62.4	59.73	59.55	60.23	60.53	60.07	58.53(-4.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-6	-40	-6	-4	55.9	48%	-0.06	9.3	2.76%	0	-0.7	50	NAN

6	May_5_2014	62.44	59.67	59.97	60.15	60.23	60.66	61.22(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	16	50	16	17	46.06	51%	-0.03	-0.7	2.7%	0	0.9	57	NAN
7	May_2_2014	62.46	59.46	59.95	59.14	59.41	60.99	60.46(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	35	200	41	16	54.19	51%	-0.03	-24	2.68%	0	0.5	56	NAN
8	May_1_2014	62.48	59.4	59.8	58.59	58.37	59.81	61.15(2.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	33	160	43	4	82.43	51%	-0.03	-36.4	2.7%	0	1	56	NAN
9	Apr_30_2014	62.5	59.45	59.64	58.53	57.82	57.84	59.78(2.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-3	-30	3	-22	76.09	60%	-0.05	-30	2.7%	0	0.2	43	NAN
10	Apr_29_2014	62.53	59.57	59.58	58.85	58.67	56.94	58.15(3.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-34	-220	-36	-26	75.56	56%	-0.1	-29.2	3.22%	0	-0.7	52	NAN

11	Apr_28_2014	62.59	59.68	59.68	59.82	59.99	57.8	56.14(-2.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-53	-250	-65	-16	107.76	56%	-0.13	-25.1	3.21%	0	-1.8	52	NAN
12	Apr_25_2014	62.67	59.9	59.97	60.84	61.5	60.39	57.71(-5.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-20	-90	-34	21	92.5	56%	-0.11	-30	3.19%	0	-1.2	55	NAN
13	Apr_24_2014	62.74	60.07	60.15	61.09	61.87	62.18	60.87(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	70	2	40	138.77	57%	-0.03	-42.3	3.14%	0	0.4	54	NAN
14	Apr_23_2014	62.76	60.04	60.27	60.86	61.22	62.61	61.36(-2.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	180	29	46	96.56	57%	-0.03	-65.5	3.18%	0	0.7	47	NAN
15	Apr_22_2014	62.78	60.18	59.96	60.4	60.46	61.55	63.03(2.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	43	130	46	32	60.63	57%	0	-72.2	3.17%	0	1.4	50	NAN

16	Apr_21_2014	62.78	60.2	59.35	59.58	59.38	59.83	61.24(3.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	11	40	16	-3	60.36	59%	-0.03	-89.9	3.16%	0	0.5	52	NAN
17	Apr_17_2014	62.8	60.45	58.9	59.03	59.13	59.37	58.94(-1.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	1	30	9	-25	88.04	57%	-0.08	-72.5	3.16%	0	-0.5	49	NAN
18	Apr_16_2014	62.85	60.83	58.95	59.08	58.9	58.92	59.72(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-16	-10	-9	-37	78.77	57%	-0.08	-67.2	3.16%	0	-0.3	48	NAN
19	Apr_15_2014	62.9	61.23	59.2	59.62	59.31	58.89	59.09(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	-70	-4	-19	108.62	57%	-0.08	-60.1	3.16%	0	-0.6	48	NAN
20	Apr_14_2014	62.95	61.7	59.52	59.44	59.92	58.87	58.89(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	-100	-6	-30	72.32	59%	-0.1	-59.1	3.16%	0	-0.7	38	NAN

21	Apr_11_2014	63.01	62.18	59.66	59.05	59.58	59.73	58.53(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-21	40	-11	-50	91.45	56%	-0.1	-64.4	3.19%	0	-0.9	39	NAN
22	Apr_10_2014	63.07	62.63	59.82	58.69	59.11	60.97	59.16(-5.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	8	240	30	-58	114.99	56%	-0.1	-67.8	3.22%	0	-0.9	35	NAN
23	Apr_9_2014	63.13	63.11	59.99	58.76	58.43	59.43	62.41(7.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	6	100	33	-75	100.22	60%	-0.02	-66.8	3.15%	0	-0.2	40	NAN
24	Apr_8_2014	63.14	63.49	59.76	58.82	58.47	57.26	58.19(2.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-50	-160	-25	-124	78.84	56%	-0.13	-64.7	3.02%	0	-1.2	27	NAN
25	Apr_7_2014	63.22	64.09	60.4	59.71	59.74	57.44	56.95(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-77	-270	-57	-135	108.49	56%		-57.9	3.01%	0	-1.6	22	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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