Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Mar. 28, 2014

Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jan. 3, 2014 - Wed. Jun. 8, 2022)

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FB latest price $60.0100 (-1.57%) ($59.3350 - $61.9500) on Fri. Mar. 28, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3% (three month average)
RSI   20
Latest Price   $60.0100(-1.57%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FB declines -2.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FB declines -5.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XHB(43%)    QQQ(24%)    XBI(20%)    XLK(19%)    XLY(18%)
Factors Impacting FB price   FB will decline at least -1.5% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-12%)    TLT(-5%)    BNDX(-5%)    XLU(-3%)    GLD(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.5% (StdDev 3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $53.93(-10.13%)
Resistance Level   $67.25
5 Day Moving Average   $62.07(-3.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $64.87(-7.49%)
20 Day Moving Average   $67.25(-10.77%)
To recent high   -16.7%
To recent low   12.1%
Market Cap   $171.029b

Facebook, Inc. engages in the development of social media applications for people to connect through mobile devices, personal computers, and other surfaces. It enables users to share opinions, ideas, photos, videos, and other activities online. Its products include Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, WhatsApp, and Oculus. The company was founded by Mark Elliot Zuckerberg, Dustin Moskovitz, Chris R. Hughes, Andrew McCollum, and Eduardo P. Saverin on February 4, 2004 and is headquartered in Menlo Park, CA.

$. FB price fluctuates within 5.12% (three month std-dev: 3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 16 Average positive next day return: 4.01%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.49%(50%) Sample size 16 Average positive next three day return: 5.14%(63%) Average negative next three day return: -4.35%(38%) Sample size 16 Average positive next weekly return: 7.4%(56%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.95%(44%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140428

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_28_2014	63.57	67.25	64.87	62.07	62.14	60.5	60.01(-1.57%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-67	-180	-44	-135	67.05	65%	-0.09	-56.3	3%	0	-2.1	20	NAN
2	Mar_27_2014	63.63	67.71	65.68	63.52	63.35	61.48	60.97(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-82	-210	-67	-128	112.65	65%	-0.08	-52.2	3.01%	0	-2.2	31	NAN
3	Mar_26_2014	63.68	68.15	66.49	64.72	65.07	63.77	60.39(-6.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-65	-120	-51	-108	97.69	65%	-0.09	-50	3.04%	0	-3	27	NAN
4	Mar_25_2014	63.74	68.63	67.57	66.29	66.29	65.22	64.89(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-50	-110	-38	-84	68.79	73%	0.05	-43.6	2.91%	0	-1.9	32	NAN
5	Mar_24_2014	63.71	68.9	68.11	67.15	67.19	66.36	64.1(-4.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-43	-80	-35	-66	85.7	73%	0	-28.6	2.93%	0	-2.7	41	NAN

6	Mar_21_2014	63.71	69.25	68.91	68.08	68.06	67.36	67.24(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-19	-70	-15	-32	60.04	80%	0.11	-6	2.88%	0	-1.5	52	NAN
7	Mar_20_2014	63.64	69.33	69.18	68.17	68.28	68.02	66.97(-1.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-21	-20	-18	-29	44.44	80%	0.09	0	2.9%	0	-1.8	48	NAN
8	Mar_19_2014	63.58	69.33	69.58	68.54	68.48	68.75	68.24(-1.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7	20	-5	-13	43.98	80%	0.16	27.1	2.91%	0	-1	49	NAN
9	Mar_18_2014	63.48	69.48	69.91	69.07	68.82	68.54	69.19(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	2	-40	1	4	40.83	80%	0.17	49.5	2.93%	0	-0.2	51	NAN
10	Mar_17_2014	63.37	69.4	69.89	69.25	69.14	68.2	68.74(1.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-24	-100	-29	-7	52.2	80%	0.17	66.1	2.96%	0	-0.5	48	NAN

11	Mar_14_2014	63.26	69.4	69.8	69.91	69.93	69.09	67.72(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-23	-80	-29	-5	48.23	80%	0.14	85.1	2.99%	0	-1.2	42	NAN
12	Mar_13_2014	63.17	69.33	69.91	70.33	70.71	70.09	68.83(-2.89%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1	-11	-50	-17	6	57.09	80%	0.19	109.7	3%	0	-0.3	52	NAN
13	Mar_12_2014	63.05	69.14	69.94	70.73	70.83	70.78	70.88(1.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-7	-0	-13	13	46.4	80%	0.27	102.3	2.99%	0	1	54	NAN
14	Mar_11_2014	62.88	68.85	69.77	70.87	71.06	71.33	70.1(-2.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	15	30	11	28	59.62	80%	0.26	101.8	3.02%	0	0.6	57	NAN
15	Mar_10_2014	62.72	68.54	69.74	70.61	70.92	70.87	72.03(3.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	21	10	17	33	59.95	80%	0.34	90.7	3.02%	0	1.6	64	NAN

16	Mar_7_2014	62.51	68.16	69.58	69.68	70.2	70.8	69.8(-1.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	80	8	25	38.99	79%	0.27	83.2	3.03%	0	0.7	61	NAN
17	Mar_6_2014	62.34	67.8	69.47	69.42	69.41	70.96	70.84(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	33	160	32	34	46.13	79%	0.34	72.9	3.05%	0	1.2	63	NAN
18	Mar_5_2014	62.13	67.38	69.33	69.04	68.81	69.6	71.57(4.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	38	70	36	43	74.65	79%	0.37	80.7	3.07%	0	1.6	73	NAN
19	Mar_4_2014	61.9	66.93	68.96	68.57	68.45	67.86	68.8(2.06%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	1	-70	-8	27	42.16	77%	0.28	91.2	3.06%	0	0.7	66	NAN
20	Mar_3_2014	61.73	66.58	68.96	68.78	68.8	68.02	67.41(-1.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-15	-80	-30	32	56.81	77%	0.23	101.6	3.09%	0	0.3	67	NAN

21	Feb_28_2014	61.59	66.36	68.83	69.46	69.57	69.04	68.46(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-50	-12	59	66.9	77%	0.31	119.5	3.12%	0	0.7	67	NAN
22	Feb_27_2014	61.4	66	68.74	69.48	69.84	69.59	68.94(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	-10	-9	75	41.7	77%	0.33	122.7	3.15%	0	0.9	74	NAN
23	Feb_26_2014	61.2	65.28	68.33	69.62	69.81	70.1	69.26(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	27	40	6	91	55.4	77%	0.36	92.2	3.19%	0	1	75	NAN
24	Feb_25_2014	60.98	64.6	67.91	69.38	69.41	70.09	69.85(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	39	70	19	100	52.19	77%	0.43	79.2	3.22%	0	1.2	74	NAN
25	Feb_24_2014	60.72	63.81	67.29	68.87	68.79	69.52	70.78(3.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	44	70	25	101	76.95	77%		67.4	3.25%	0	1.4	80	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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