Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 6, 2014

Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jan. 3, 2014 - Wed. Jun. 8, 2022)

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FB latest price $70.8400 (-1.02%) ($70.2500 - $71.8900) on Thu. Mar. 6, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.05% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $70.8400(-1.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FB advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FB advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(24%)    XBI(20%)    XLK(19%)    XLY(19%)    FXI(16%)
Factors Impacting FB price   FB will decline at least -1.525% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-12%)    TLT(-5%)    BNDX(-5%)    GLD(-4%)    XLU(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.525% (StdDev 3.05%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $69.42(2.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $69.47(1.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $67.8(4.48%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   32.3%
Market Cap   $201.894b

Facebook, Inc. engages in the development of social media applications for people to connect through mobile devices, personal computers, and other surfaces. It enables users to share opinions, ideas, photos, videos, and other activities online. Its products include Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, WhatsApp, and Oculus. The company was founded by Mark Elliot Zuckerberg, Dustin Moskovitz, Chris R. Hughes, Andrew McCollum, and Eduardo P. Saverin on February 4, 2004 and is headquartered in Menlo Park, CA.

$. FB price fluctuates within 3.73% (three month std-dev: 3.05%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 1.53%(43%) Average negative next day return: -0.61%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 2.24%(71%) Average negative next three day return: -2.65%(29%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 5.65%(57%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.95%(43%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_6_2014	62.34	67.8	69.47	69.42	69.41	70.96	70.84(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	33	160	32	34	46.13	79%	0.34	72.9	3.05%	0	1.2	63	0
2	Mar_5_2014	62.13	67.38	69.33	69.04	68.81	69.6	71.57(4.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	38	70	36	43	74.65	79%	0.37	80.7	3.07%	0	1.6	73	0
3	Mar_4_2014	61.9	66.93	68.96	68.57	68.45	67.86	68.8(2.06%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	1	-70	-8	27	42.16	77%	0.28	91.2	3.06%	0	0.7	66	0
4	Mar_3_2014	61.73	66.58	68.96	68.78	68.8	68.02	67.41(-1.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-15	-80	-30	32	56.81	77%	0.23	101.6	3.09%	0	0.3	67	0
5	Feb_28_2014	61.59	66.36	68.83	69.46	69.57	69.04	68.46(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-50	-12	59	66.9	77%	0.31	119.5	3.12%	0	0.7	67	0

6	Feb_27_2014	61.4	66	68.74	69.48	69.84	69.59	68.94(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	-10	-9	75	41.7	77%	0.33	122.7	3.15%	0	0.9	74	0
7	Feb_26_2014	61.2	65.28	68.33	69.62	69.81	70.1	69.26(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	27	40	6	91	55.4	77%	0.36	92.2	3.19%	0	1	75	0
8	Feb_25_2014	60.98	64.6	67.91	69.38	69.41	70.09	69.85(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	39	70	19	100	52.19	77%	0.43	79.2	3.22%	0	1.2	74	0
9	Feb_24_2014	60.72	63.81	67.29	68.87	68.79	69.52	70.78(3.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	44	70	25	101	76.95	77%	0.48	67.4	3.25%	0	1.4	80	0
10	Feb_21_2014	60.43	63	66.63	68.13	68.06	68.74	68.59(-1.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	36	70	17	93	70.99	77%	0.42	59.8	3.27%	0	1.1	71	0

11	Feb_20_2014	60.18	62.4	66.01	67.88	67.57	68.05	69.63(2.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	43	40	25	97	131.04	77%	0.5	58.3	3.3%	0	1.5	78	0
12	Feb_19_2014	59.88	61.77	65.25	66.85	66.93	67.38	68.06(1.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	38	50	17	101	64.26	77%	0.44	54.8	3.34%	0	1.3	86	0
13	Feb_18_2014	59.62	61.27	64.71	66.2	66.13	67.09	67.3(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	45	100	22	115	43.86	77%	0.44	56.5	3.39%	0	1.4	79	0
14	Feb_14_2014	59.36	60.71	64.13	65.45	65.45	66.47	67.09(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	56	110	31	129	36.79	77%	0.44	51.7	3.45%	0	1.5	80	0
15	Feb_13_2014	59.1	60.19	63.65	64.9	64.63	65.17	67.33(4.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	54	50	25	142	62.01	77%	0.51	51.2	3.5%	0	1.7	77	0

16	Feb_12_2014	58.8	59.68	63.01	63.87	64.04	64.43	64.45(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	46	50	15	137	47.41	74%	0.34	47.5	3.5%	0	1.3	67	0
17	Feb_11_2014	58.6	59.32	61.99	63.41	63.38	64.1	64.85(2.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	41	80	14	121	45.75	74%	0.43	46.1	3.55%	0	1.5	65	0
18	Feb_10_2014	58.35	58.86	61.05	62.99	62.9	63.65	63.55(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	43	80	21	110	43.74	74%	0.34	43.8	3.61%	0	1.4	60	0
19	Feb_7_2014	58.15	58.55	60.09	62.58	62.52	62.66	64.32(3.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	33	10	12	94	60.84	74%	0.45	47.8	3.67%	0	1.8	66	0
20	Feb_6_2014	57.89	58.17	59.1	62.23	62.25	62.15	62.16(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	19	-10	-1	78	42.15	74%	0.33	0	3.7%	0	1.4	61	0

21	Feb_5_2014	57.7	57.95	58.53	62.01	62.17	62.39	62.19(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	33	30	17	80	53.03	74%	0.35	0	3.78%	0	1.5	59	0
22	Feb_4_2014	57.5	57.71	58.03	60.28	61.97	62.34	62.75(2.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	41	130	35	59	46.06	74%	0.44	0	3.85%	0	1.9	60	0
23	Feb_3_2014	57.25	57.41	57.54	58.76	59.88	61.95	61.48(-1.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	35	300	33	42	75.11	74%	0.37	0	3.94%	0	1.8	62	0
24	Jan_31_2014	57.04	57.05	56.98	57.17	57.97	61.59	62.57(2.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	66	480	77	32	87.93	74%	0.51	0	4%	0	2.5	58	0
25	Jan_30_2014	56.75	57.05	56.37	55.55	56	57.81	61.08(14.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3	53	250	62	25	150.44	74%		0	4.09%	0	33.4	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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