Trading Signals: FAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FAZ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Apr. 7, 2016

Trading Signals: FAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3X ETF)
FAZ latest price $44.8368 (5.35%) ($43.3465 - $45.4427) on Thu. Apr. 7, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.16% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $44.8368(5.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAZ advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAZ advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(12%)    VIXM(10%)    TIP(7%)    UUP(5%)    BNDX(4%)
Factors Impacting FAZ price   FAZ will decline at least -2.08% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLF(-17%)    VYM(-16%)    SDY(-16%)    IWD(-16%)    IVE(-16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.08% (StdDev 4.16%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $36.91(-17.68%)
5 Day Moving Average   $42.77(4.83%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.85(4.64%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.28(3.6%)
To recent high   -32.9%
To recent low   8.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. FAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. FAZ price fluctuates within 3.33% (three month std-dev: 4.16%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 2.51%(33%) Average negative next day return: -1.19%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 2.74%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -0.4%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 6.58%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.9%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160507

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_7_2016	47.06	43.28	42.85	42.77	43.03	43.71	44.84(5.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	16	130	17	11	1.87	60%	0.13	-57.4	4.16%	0	1.1	56	0
2	Apr_6_2016	47	43.37	42.66	42.24	42.5	43.13	42.56(-2.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	8	120	12	-4	1.27	60%	0.04	-56.9	4.23%	0	-0.5	40	0
3	Apr_5_2016	46.98	43.61	42.64	42.14	42.26	42.35	43.45(4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	3	20	9	-15	1.62	60%	0.04	-52.4	4.26%	0	-0.1	42	0
4	Apr_4_2016	46.96	43.71	42.49	42.03	41.96	41.86	41.78(1.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-17	-20	-11	-33	1.22	62%	-0.02	-70.1	4.23%	0	-1	34	0
5	Apr_1_2016	46.97	43.88	42.52	42.38	42.46	42.17	41.23(-2.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-13	-40	-7	-31	1.32	62%	0	-81.7	4.28%	0	-1.4	34	0

6	Mar_31_2016	46.97	44.12	42.71	42.92	42.83	42.06	42.2(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-20	-130	-14	-38	1.23	62%	0.06	-93.5	4.3%	0	-1.1	25	0
7	Mar_30_2016	46.94	44.34	42.93	43.12	43.35	42.75	42.06(-1.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-20	-80	-12	-42	1.29	62%	0.06	-108.7	4.32%	0	-1.2	26	0
8	Mar_29_2016	46.91	44.62	43.2	43.17	43.58	43.59	42.87(-1.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	30	-0	-45	1.38	62%	0.06	-121	4.32%	0	-0.9	27	0
9	Mar_28_2016	46.88	45.1	43.35	43	43.31	43.95	43.57(-0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-3	130	11	-46	0.8	62%	0.28	-89.5	4.33%	0	-0.6	43	0
10	Mar_24_2016	46.75	45.49	43.39	42.67	42.92	43.58	43.92(1.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	130	16	-54	1.59	62%	0.09	-79.6	4.32%	0	-0.5	45	0

11	Mar_23_2016	46.71	45.89	43.71	42.5	42.36	42.68	43.2(2.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-15	40	-0	-60	0.92	60%	0.06	-73.7	4.32%	0	-0.7	40	0
12	Mar_22_2016	46.68	46.44	44.11	42.77	42.64	42.26	42.3(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	-70	-7	-57	0.94	60%	0.04	-66.3	4.34%	0	-1	32	0
13	Mar_21_2016	46.66	47.04	44.63	43.25	43.23	42.04	42.02(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-31	-190	-22	-56	0.68	60%	0.02	-65.8	4.35%	0	-1.3	28	0
14	Mar_18_2016	46.65	47.55	45	43.75	43.99	43.02	41.91(-2.7%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-36	-140	-25	-69	1.21	62%	0.04	-69.5	4.37%	0	-1.4	19	0
15	Mar_17_2016	46.63	48.17	45.38	44.19	44.62	44.42	43.07(-3.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-31	-0	-17	-74	1.68	63%	0.06	-79.8	4.44%	0	-1.3	27	0

16	Mar_16_2016	46.6	48.75	45.67	45.09	44.91	44.96	44.54(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	-0	-8	-74	1.33	61%	0.04	-83	4.45%	0	-1.1	28	0
17	Mar_15_2016	46.58	49.23	45.9	45.67	45.54	44.82	44.74(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-29	-120	-10	-86	1.08	59%	0.09	-85.1	4.49%	0	-1.1	25	0
18	Mar_14_2016	46.54	49.8	46.19	46.25	46.09	44.86	44.52(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-40	-200	-21	-97	1.56	59%	0.06	-88.6	4.57%	0	-1.3	24	0
19	Mar_11_2016	46.51	50.52	47.01	46.45	46.72	46.26	44.07(-7.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-34	-50	-15	-90	1.51	60%	0.02	-80	4.57%	0	-1.5	33	0
20	Mar_10_2016	46.5	51.61	47.76	46.68	46.94	47.32	47.6(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-15	70	9	-85	1.56	63%	0.06	-55.3	4.54%	0	-0.8	34	0

21	Mar_9_2016	46.47	52.29	48.21	46.32	46.42	47.17	47.41(-0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-16	120	10	-95	0.76	64%	0.09	-49.7	4.54%	0	-0.9	33	0
22	Mar_8_2016	46.43	52.98	48.89	46.18	46.2	46.55	47.64(4.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-17	50	9	-96	1.21	64%	0.09	-44.8	4.55%	0	-0.9	35	0
23	Mar_7_2016	46.39	53.64	49.55	46.21	46.28	45.67	45.51(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-45	-90	-22	-113	1.11	63%	0	-37.9	4.53%	0	-1.4	25	0
24	Mar_4_2016	46.39	54.21	50.24	47.74	47.24	45.84	45.24(-1.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-55	-240	-35	-114	1.15	61%	0	-29.7	4.54%	0	-1.6	21	0
25	Mar_3_2016	46.39	54.7	51.18	49.02	48.99	46.89	45.79(-2%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-59	-300	-38	-122	1.32	62%		-27.7	4.63%	0	-1.7	17	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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