Trading Signals: FAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FAZ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Nov. 4, 2015

Trading Signals: FAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3X ETF)
FAZ latest price $40.1276 (0.55%) ($39.5215 - $40.3859) on Wed. Nov. 4, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.14% (three month average)
RSI   31
Latest Price   $40.1276(0.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAZ advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAZ declines -4.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(12%)    VIXM(11%)    TIP(7%)    UUP(5%)    BND(4%)
Factors Impacting FAZ price   FAZ will decline at least -2.07% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLF(-17%)    VYM(-17%)    IWD(-17%)    IVE(-17%)    SDY(-16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.07% (StdDev 4.14%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $29.71(-25.96%)
Resistance Level   $43.11
5 Day Moving Average   $40.33(-0.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.92(-1.94%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.11(-6.92%)
To recent high   -30%
To recent low   1.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. FAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. FAZ price fluctuates within 6.03% (three month std-dev: 4.14%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 2.15%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.28%(50%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 2.65%(30%) Average negative next three day return: -3.47%(70%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 1.25%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.25%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151204

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_4_2015	45.28	43.11	40.92	40.33	40.34	39.99	40.13(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	-60	-3	-70	2.17	51%	-0.09	-75.5	4.14%	0	-1.1	31	0
2	Nov_3_2015	45.32	43.43	41.35	40.25	40.37	40.33	39.91(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-30	0	-12	-85	1.8	51%	-0.09	-82	4.14%	0	-1.3	25	0
3	Nov_2_2015	45.36	43.84	41.73	40.75	40.59	40.7	39.92(-4.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	10	-4	-83	1.26	51%	-0.09	-87.2	4.14%	0	-1.5	30	0
4	Oct_30_2015	45.4	44.22	42.16	41.12	41.04	40.4	41.62(3.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-22	-110	-2	-82	1.01	51%	-0.04	-89.6	4.11%	0	-0.9	37	0
5	Oct_29_2015	45.42	44.64	42.45	41.09	41.28	40.48	40.1(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-43	-120	-24	-98	1.27	50%	-0.09	-84.3	4.08%	0	-1.5	30	0

6	Oct_28_2015	45.46	45.17	42.97	41.6	41.7	41.68	39.69(-6.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-38	0	-21	-90	1.42	50%	-0.13	-80.9	4.09%	0	-1.8	31	0
7	Oct_27_2015	45.52	45.74	43.78	42.61	42.32	42.08	42.44(1.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-17	-60	-2	-63	0.83	54%	-0.07	-70.6	4.02%	0	-1.1	35	0
8	Oct_26_2015	45.55	46.26	44.21	42.87	42.74	41.73	41.75(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-33	-170	-20	-70	0.7	54%	-0.09	-61.6	4.02%	0	-1.3	28	0
9	Oct_23_2015	45.59	46.84	44.65	43.37	43.32	42.57	41.45(-2.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-38	-120	-28	-69	0.8	55%	-0.09	-55.3	4.03%	0	-1.7	29	0
10	Oct_22_2015	45.63	47.29	45.17	44.01	44.08	43.76	42.66(-4.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-50	-12	-63	1.1	55%	-0.04	-53.9	4.02%	0	-1.5	26	0

11	Oct_21_2015	45.65	47.74	45.51	44.52	44.41	44.08	44.73(2.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-30	-60	-16	-71	0.98	57%	-0.02	-48.1	3.98%	0	-1	28	0
12	Oct_20_2015	45.66	48.04	45.7	45.17	44.98	44.4	43.76(-1.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-31	-100	-17	-74	0.62	57%	-0.04	-38.1	3.98%	0	-1.5	23	0
13	Oct_19_2015	45.68	48.42	46.12	45.78	45.83	44.75	44.27(-0.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-32	-160	-17	-78	0.82	57%	-0.04	-30.2	3.97%	0	-1.5	20	0
14	Oct_16_2015	45.7	48.69	46.45	46.13	46.28	45.56	44.61(-1.43%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-41	-100	-24	-93	1.05	56%	0	-30	3.97%	0	-1.6	20	0
15	Oct_15_2015	45.7	49.01	47.01	46.48	46.64	46.92	45.25(-5.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-20	50	-1	-78	1.25	56%	0	-26.5	3.98%	0	-1.6	38	0

16	Oct_14_2015	45.7	49.2	47.54	46.59	46.56	46.99	47.94(2.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-9	60	13	-74	1	58%	0.04	-30.7	3.93%	0	-0.6	39	0
17	Oct_13_2015	45.68	49.18	47.82	46.33	46.3	46.37	46.84(1.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-21	10	-0	-84	1.16	57%	0.02	-41.4	3.92%	0	-1	40	0
18	Oct_12_2015	45.67	49.25	48.41	46.55	46.38	46.14	46(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-50	-7	-79	0.88	57%	0.04	-42.4	3.93%	0	-1.5	36	0
19	Oct_9_2015	45.65	49.47	49.14	46.84	46.75	46.23	46.36(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-30	-80	-18	-67	1.2	55%	0.02	-47.4	3.96%	0	-1.5	44	0
20	Oct_8_2015	45.64	49.66	49.54	47.64	47.33	46.63	45.83(-1.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-37	-120	-29	-61	1.73	57%	0.04	-40.9	3.97%	0	-1.9	39	0

21	Oct_7_2015	45.62	49.91	50.15	48.62	48.79	47.26	46.6(-2.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-30	-210	-27	-37	2.28	57%	0.04	-32.4	4%	0	-1.8	49	0
22	Oct_6_2015	45.6	50.14	50.61	49.53	49.87	48.03	47.98(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-40	-240	-46	-21	1.37	57%	0.09	-26.7	3.99%	0	-1.3	56	0
23	Oct_5_2015	45.56	50.21	50.94	50.55	50.85	50.32	47.45(-5.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.9	-27	-60	-39	8	2.28	57%	0.04	-9	3.98%	0	-1.7	52	0
24	Oct_2_2015	45.54	50.49	51.17	51.78	52.12	51.71	50.37(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	15	-40	5	45	1.82	59%	0.11	27.9	3.94%	0	-0.1	52	0
25	Oct_1_2015	45.49	50.48	51.23	51.72	52.1	51.37	50.7(-0.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-1	-80	-14	40	2.22	58%		36.2	3.94%	0	0.1	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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