Trading Signals: FAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jun. 26, 2015

Trading Signals: FAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3X ETF)
FAZ latest price $43.7936 (-0.9%) ($43.4757 - $44.1513) on Fri. Jun. 26, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.78% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $43.7936(-0.9%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAZ advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAZ declines -1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(12%)    VIXM(11%)    TIP(7%)    BND(4%)    BNDX(4%)
Factors Impacting FAZ price   FAZ will decline at least -0.89% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLF(-18%)    VYM(-17%)    IVE(-17%)    XLI(-15%)    XLB(-15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.89% (StdDev 1.78%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $38.44(-12.22%)
Resistance Level   $44.13
5 Day Moving Average   $43.25(1.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.39(0.93%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.13(-0.76%)
To recent high   -13.1%
To recent low   3.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0%

$. FAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0% a day on average for holding it.$. FAZ price fluctuates within 2.67% (three month std-dev: 1.78%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 4.44%(33%) Average negative next day return: -2.14%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 1.73%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -1.79%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.6%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150726

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_26_2015	47.32	44.13	43.39	43.25	43.17	43.68	43.79(-0.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	5	80	19	-38	0.57	45%	-0.17	-43.1	1.78%	0	-0.3	38	0
2	Jun_25_2015	47.4	44.23	43.37	43.19	42.84	43.25	44.19(2.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	8	40	27	-49	0.65	49%	-0.21	-40.4	1.78%	0	-0	44	0
3	Jun_24_2015	47.5	44.26	43.27	42.86	42.74	42.66	43.32(2.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-19	-20	4	-87	0.71	47%	-0.21	-46.8	1.85%	0	-0.8	38	0
4	Jun_23_2015	47.6	44.34	43.32	42.95	42.75	42.44	42.32(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-42	-60	-22	-101	0.49	45%	-0.29	-41	1.84%	0	-1.7	40	0
5	Jun_22_2015	47.74	44.52	43.66	43.21	43.06	42.82	42.64(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-38	-50	-21	-90	0.62	45%	-0.33	-32.8	1.85%	0	-1.6	37	0

6	Jun_19_2015	47.9	44.64	43.98	43.53	43.45	43.06	43.48(2.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-28	-70	-13	-72	0.72	43%	-0.27	-30.6	1.89%	0	-1.1	39	0
7	Jun_18_2015	48.03	44.71	44.15	43.57	43.79	43.3	42.52(-2.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-35	-60	-20	-79	1.17	40%	-0.31	-32.3	1.89%	0	-2.2	33	0
8	Jun_17_2015	48.18	44.82	44.48	43.72	43.97	43.83	43.79(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-26	-10	-12	-66	0.68	43%	-0.23	-42.8	1.87%	0	-1.2	46	0
9	Jun_16_2015	48.29	44.84	44.58	43.74	43.92	44.28	43.59(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-22	70	-8	-65	0.48	40%	-0.21	-55.2	1.87%	0	-1.4	45	0
10	Jun_15_2015	48.39	44.9	44.79	44.18	44.06	44.11	44.27(1.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-12	-0	0	-47	0.88	40%	-0.21	-50.8	1.91%	0	-0.8	41	0

11	Jun_12_2015	48.49	44.96	44.93	44.53	44.42	43.56	43.67(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-29	-140	-26	-39	0.66	36%	-0.19	-40	1.92%	0	-1.6	47	0
12	Jun_11_2015	48.58	45.04	45.16	44.84	44.87	44.01	43.28(-1.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-43	-130	-48	-29	0.67	36%	-0.29	-46.7	2.06%	0	-2.3	45	0
13	Jun_10_2015	48.72	45.19	45.35	45.34	45.32	45.28	43.87(-4.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.1	-13	-10	-18	4	1.09	41%	-0.27	-45.8	2.06%	0	-1.9	50	0
14	Jun_9_2015	48.85	45.19	45.46	45.51	45.52	45.74	45.82(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	30	14	28	0.41	44%	-0.06	-50.7	2.12%	0	0.7	63	0
15	Jun_8_2015	48.88	45.32	45.47	45.47	45.27	45.35	46.02(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	9	-0	2	29	0.51	44%	-0.22	-58.8	2.13%	0	1	58	0

16	Jun_5_2015	48.99	45.29	45.35	45.41	45.33	45.3	45.22(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	4	-10	-2	22	0.58	44%	-0.26	-79.5	2.14%	0	-0.1	48	0
17	Jun_4_2015	49.12	45.4	45.31	45.56	45.43	45.18	45.74(2.22%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	6	-50	-1	27	0.86	44%	-0.22	-67.4	2.14%	0	0.4	54	0
18	Jun_3_2015	49.23	45.51	45.18	45.38	45.47	45.35	44.75(-1.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-5	-10	-9	7	0.68	42%	-0.2	-55.4	2.14%	0	-0.7	41	0
19	Jun_2_2015	49.33	45.66	45.11	45.39	45.51	45.69	45.62(-0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	2	40	3	-2	0.48	42%	-0.16	-50.4	2.13%	0	-0	44	0
20	Jun_1_2015	49.41	45.72	45.02	45.47	45.51	45.59	45.7(-0.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	7	30	10	-3	0.49	42%	-0.16	-54.7	2.14%	0	-0	48	0

21	May_29_2015	49.49	45.82	44.99	45.28	45.37	45.34	45.98(2.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	8	0	13	-9	0.65	42%	-0.1	-54.8	2.16%	0	0.1	52	0
22	May_28_2015	49.54	45.96	44.88	45.03	45.16	45.15	44.87(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	10	-3	-38	0.34	39%	-0.18	-50.5	2.15%	0	-0.8	35	0
23	May_27_2015	49.63	46.1	45.01	44.94	45.06	45.4	44.79(-2.68%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-3	60	12	-47	0.5	39%	-0.2	-51.7	2.17%	0	-0.9	32	0
24	May_26_2015	49.73	46.25	45.16	44.77	44.81	45.18	46.02(2.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	1	60	21	-58	1.05	42%	-0.16	-59.1	2.15%	0	-0.2	39	0
25	May_22_2015	49.81	46.37	45.13	44.51	44.46	44.72	44.75(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-20	40	2	-84	0.31	38%		-61.7	2.07%	0	-1	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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