Trading Signals: FAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FAZ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Feb. 19, 2015

Trading Signals: FAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3X ETF)
FAZ latest price $49.8341 (1.21%) ($49.3572 - $50.1818) on Thu. Feb. 19, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.86% (three month average)
RSI   28
Latest Price   $49.8341(1.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAZ declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAZ declines -5.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(12%)    VIXM(11%)    TIP(7%)    BND(4%)    BNDX(4%)
Factors Impacting FAZ price   FAZ will decline at least -1.43% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLF(-18%)    VYM(-17%)    IVE(-17%)    XLP(-15%)    XLI(-15%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.43% (StdDev 2.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $39.62(-20.5%)
Resistance Level   $52.49
5 Day Moving Average   $49.21(1.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.22(-0.77%)
20 Day Moving Average   $52.49(-5.06%)
To recent high   -14.6%
To recent low   2.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. FAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. FAZ price fluctuates within 5.35% (three month std-dev: 2.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.99%(60%) Average negative next day return: -1.3%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 8.58%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -2.6%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 8.95%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.84%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150319

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_19_2015	56.56	52.49	50.22	49.21		49.48	49.83(1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-27	30	4	-118	0.55	46%	-0.35	-66.4	2.86%	0	-0.9	28	0
2	Feb_18_2015	56.76	52.81	50.56	49.4	49.27	49.1	49.24(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-41	-30	-9	-135	0.52	46%	-0.3	-61.1	2.86%	0	-1.3	23	0
3	Feb_17_2015	56.93	53.2	50.95	49.75	49.74	49.07	48.72(-0.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-51	-90	-21	-140	0.47	46%	-0.45	-54.3	2.86%	0	-1.6	35	0
4	Feb_13_2015	57.19	53.58	51.66	50.38	50.28	49.44	49.12(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-54	-120	-31	-124	0.72	46%	-0.33	-46.6	2.84%	0	-1.7	41	0
5	Feb_12_2015	57.38	54.04	52.55	50.83	50.97	50.41	49.12(-3.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-42	-70	-23	-97	0.69	46%	-0.26	-31.8	2.84%	0	-1.9	40	0

6	Feb_11_2015	57.53	54.42	53.27	51.36	51.26	51.12	50.83(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-32	-20	-18	-74	0.7	48%	-0.26	-23.1	2.81%	0	-1.5	48	0
7	Feb_10_2015	57.68	54.61	53.94	51.89	51.58	51.53	50.95(-1.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-22	-20	-10	-57	0.53	48%	-0.22	-20.3	2.81%	0	-1.6	39	0
8	Feb_9_2015	57.81	54.79	54.35	52.35	52.14	51.4	51.9(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-31	-110	-22	-59	0.83	48%	-0.19	-14	2.8%	0	-1.4	40	0
9	Feb_6_2015	57.92	54.86	54.54	53.17	52.76	51.64	51.34(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-60	-170	-58	-67	1.05	48%	-0.17	2.1	2.8%	0	-1.7	41	0
10	Feb_5_2015	58.02	54.89	54.84	54.57	54.35	52.88	51.78(-3.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-44	-200	-43	-46	0.65	48%	-0.21	22.8	2.8%	0	-1.5	37	0

11	Feb_4_2015	58.14	54.98	54.99	55.45	55.64	53.88	53.49(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-53	-210	-55	-46	0.99	50%	-0.19	47	2.78%	0	-0.7	45	0
12	Feb_3_2015	58.25	54.98	55.29	56.28	56.5	55.82	53.25(-4.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-30	-70	-36	-13	1.02	50%	-0.21	76.1	2.78%	0	-0.9	50	0
13	Feb_2_2015	58.37	55.08	55.66	56.59	56.83	57.39	55.99(-4.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	20	80	18	26	0.85	53%	-0.15	90.5	2.71%	0	0.5	56	0
14	Jan_30_2015	58.46	54.82	55.67	56.06	56.21	57.18	58.34(3.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	38	130	39	35	1.22	51%	-0.1	77.4	2.72%	0	1.6	64	0
15	Jan_29_2015	58.52	54.42	55.67	55.17	55.28	56.27	56.19(-2.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	36	130	35	37	1.15	49%	-0.15	72.9	2.96%	0	0.8	64	0

16	Jan_28_2015	58.61	54.07	55.6	54.48	54.4	55.25	57.62(5.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	25	100	23	30	1.12	47%	-0.14	57.9	2.95%	0	1.6	60	0
17	Jan_27_2015	58.69	53.62	55.26	54.25	54.05	54.29	54.8(2.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	6	20	3	15	1.04	44%	-0.14	47.9	2.9%	0	0.5	50	0
18	Jan_26_2015	58.77	53.35	55.26	54.66	54.54	53.54	53.33(-1.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-9	-130	-18	19	0.64	44%	-0.19	45.6	2.87%	0	-0	53	0
19	Jan_23_2015	58.88	53.16	55.19	55.21	55.15	53.81	53.89(2.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-32	-170	-52	28	0.74	43%	-0.17	40.3	2.88%	0	0.3	60	0
20	Jan_22_2015	58.98	52.92	54.96	56.08	56.21	55.53	52.74(-6.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-10	-80	-33	59	1.57	43%	-0.2	33.5	2.88%	0	-0.1	58	0

21	Jan_21_2015	59.1	52.79	55.04	56.81	56.97	56.48	56.47(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	26	-50	-2	109	0.84	43%	-0.12	28.4	2.78%	0	1.2	70	0
22	Jan_20_2015	59.17	52.48	54.89	56.38	57	56.88	56.87(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	35	20	4	126	1.21	43%	-0.14	17.5	2.87%	0	1.4	72	0
23	Jan_16_2015	59.25	52.16	54.5	55.79	56.37	57.46	56.11(-3.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	54	170	25	139	1.59	42%	-0.15	10.4	2.87%	0	1.4	69	0
24	Jan_15_2015	59.34	52.04	53.94	55.14	55.34	57.12	58.22(3.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	87	240	66	150	1.48	46%	-0.12	6.8	2.84%	0	2.2	75	0
25	Jan_14_2015	59.41	51.96	53.13	53.7	53.96	55.27	56.39(3.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	69	180	52	119	1.81	44%		4.8	2.87%	0	1.9	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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