Trading Signals: FAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jan. 2, 2015

Trading Signals: FAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3X ETF)
FAZ latest price $50.2712 (-0.16%) ($49.2781 - $51.3840) on Fri. Jan. 2, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.88% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $50.2712(-0.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAZ advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAZ declines -5.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(12%)    VIXM(11%)    TIP(7%)    BND(4%)    BNDX(4%)
Factors Impacting FAZ price   FAZ will decline at least -1.44% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLF(-18%)    VYM(-17%)    IVE(-17%)    VT(-16%)    XLP(-15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.44% (StdDev 2.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $38.83(-22.76%)
Resistance Level   $51.47
5 Day Moving Average   $49.4(1.76%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.59(1.37%)
20 Day Moving Average   $51.47(-2.33%)
To recent high   -32.6%
To recent low   3.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. FAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. FAZ price fluctuates within 5.3% (three month std-dev: 2.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.68%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.11%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 2.34%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150202

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_2_2015	60.49	51.47	49.59	49.4	49.31	49.8	50.27(-0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-12	60	19	-106	0.65	43%	-0.51	-38.9	2.88%	0	-0.4	45	0
2	Dec_31_2014	60.8	51.59	49.94	49.16	48.98	49.11	50.35(3.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-20	10	11	-111	0.67	45%	-0.36	-45	2.88%	0	-0.5	44	0
3	Dec_30_2014	61.02	51.74	50.64	48.86	48.83	48.81	48.76(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-28	-0	-4	-99	0.32	43%	-0.39	-49.4	2.88%	0	-1.1	47	0
4	Dec_29_2014	61.26	52.04	51.4	49.06	48.88	48.86	48.56(-0.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-26	-10	-9	-77	0.34	43%	-0.41	-48.9	2.88%	0	-1.3	47	0
5	Dec_26_2014	61.51	52.3	52.08	49.46	49.2	48.85	49.04(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-22	-70	-10	-56	0.31	41%	-0.63	-51.2	2.88%	0	-1.3	47	0

6	Dec_24_2014	61.9	52.55	52.45	49.8	49.64	48.9	49.08(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-39	-110	-33	-58	0.17	44%	-0.42	-54.1	2.93%	0	-1.4	43	0
7	Dec_23_2014	62.16	52.81	52.87	50.86	50.37	49.55	48.88(-1.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-53	-140	-56	-45	0.45	45%	-0.38	-48.9	2.93%	0	-1.7	43	0
8	Dec_22_2014	62.4	53.09	53.13	52.72	52.11	50.37	49.71(-1.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-40	-270	-50	-11	0.43	47%	-0.4	-34.2	2.95%	0	-1.6	42	0
9	Dec_19_2014	62.65	53.37	53.29	54.13	53.91	51.19	50.59(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-52	-370	-69	-2	0.85	47%	-0.35	-19.8	2.96%	0	-1.4	40	0
10	Dec_18_2014	62.87	53.63	53.4	55.07	55.18	53.85	50.75(-6.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.2	-40	-160	-58	15	1.1	45%	-0.29	-6.8	2.96%	0	-1.5	45	0

11	Dec_17_2014	63.05	53.9	53.62	55.4	55.81	56.64	54.36(-6.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	24	130	16	49	1.27	49%	-0.25	-1.4	2.87%	0	0.2	52	0
12	Dec_16_2014	63.21	53.96	53.45	55.1	54.83	56.52	58.18(2.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	61	200	62	58	1.31	52%	-0.16	-4.4	2.76%	0	2.1	62	0
13	Dec_15_2014	63.31	53.82	52.9	53.63	53.53	54.97	56.75(2.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	51	180	61	21	1.53	52%	-0.19	-24.9	2.74%	0	1.6	58	0
14	Dec_12_2014	63.43	53.82	52.64	52.4	52.52	53.15	55.32(5.61%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.7	26	90	40	-17	1.35	52%	-0.19	-43.1	2.72%	0	0.9	49	0
15	Dec_11_2014	63.55	53.77	52.42	51.57	51.69	52.09	52.38(-0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-12	60	5	-61	0.7	49%	-0.25	-56.8	2.62%	0	-0.8	32	0

16	Dec_10_2014	63.71	53.93	52.55	51.61	51.55	51.9	52.85(3.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-10	40	10	-68	0.91	49%	-0.23	-57.9	2.62%	0	-0.6	33	0
17	Dec_9_2014	63.86	54.05	52.65	51.56	51.71	51.3	50.83(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-28	-50	-9	-86	0.8	48%	-0.3	-64.2	2.57%	0	-1.8	20	0
18	Dec_8_2014	64.05	54.28	52.98	52.06	52.05	51.2	50.63(-1.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-53	-110	-39	-95	1.06	48%	-0.28	-69.4	2.59%	0	-2.3	18	0
19	Dec_5_2014	64.23	54.54	53.44	52.89	52.85	52.13	51.19(-2.57%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-43	-100	-31	-78	0.66	48%	-0.31	-72.7	2.59%	0	-2.4	19	0
20	Dec_4_2014	64.43	54.79	53.91	53.37	53.63	52.91	52.54(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-29	-80	-18	-63	0.31	48%	-0.23	-75.5	2.57%	0	-1.9	30	0

21	Dec_3_2014	64.58	54.97	54.26	53.61	53.81	53.56	52.62(-1.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-31	-20	-22	-58	0.4	48%	-0.25	-101	2.57%	0	-2.2	31	0
22	Dec_2_2014	64.74	55.2	54.58	53.9	54.02	54.34	53.33(-2.68%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-7	50	4	-39	0.44	48%	-0.25	-120.2	2.57%	0	-1.9	37	0
23	Dec_1_2014	64.9	55.41	54.87	54.04	54.01	54.06	54.8(2.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-3	0	7	-32	0.61	50%	-0.25	-143	2.56%	0	-0.6	48	0
24	Nov_28_2014	65.06	55.56	55	54.09	53.96	53.7	53.57(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-22	-40	-16	-38	0.27	50%	-0.34	-152.7	2.54%	0	-1.7	31	0
25	Nov_26_2014	65.28	55.68	55.22	54.56	54.27	53.96	53.73(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-22	-60	-19	-30	0.2	50%		-126.2	2.53%	0	-1.2	30	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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