Trading Signals: FAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FAZ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Dec. 4, 2014

Trading Signals: FAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3X ETF)
FAZ latest price $52.5364 (-0.15%) ($52.2582 - $53.3312) on Thu. Dec. 4, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.57% (three month average)
RSI   30
Latest Price   $52.5364(-0.15%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAZ declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAZ declines -2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(12%)    VIXM(12%)    TIP(7%)    BND(4%)    BNDX(4%)
Factors Impacting FAZ price   FAZ will decline at least -1.285% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLF(-18%)    VYM(-17%)    IVE(-17%)    VT(-16%)    XLP(-15%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.285% (StdDev 2.57%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $49.59(-5.61%)
Resistance Level   $54.79
5 Day Moving Average   $53.37(-1.56%)
10 Day Moving Average   $53.91(-2.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $54.79(-4.11%)
To recent high   -29.5%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. FAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. FAZ price fluctuates within 2.12% (three month std-dev: 2.57%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 14 Average positive next day return: 0.93%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.58%(50%) Sample size 14 Average positive next three day return: 1.68%(43%) Average negative next three day return: -1.07%(57%) Sample size 14 Average positive next weekly return: 1.74%(36%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.1%(64%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150104

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_4_2014	64.43	54.79	53.91	53.37	53.63	52.91	52.54(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-29	-80	-18	-63	0.31	48%	-0.23	-75.5	2.57%	0	-1.9	30	INF
2	Dec_3_2014	64.58	54.97	54.26	53.61	53.81	53.56	52.62(-1.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-31	-20	-22	-58	0.4	48%	-0.25	-101	2.57%	0	-2.2	31	INF
3	Dec_2_2014	64.74	55.2	54.58	53.9	54.02	54.34	53.33(-2.68%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-7	50	4	-39	0.44	48%	-0.25	-120.2	2.57%	0	-1.9	37	INF
4	Dec_1_2014	64.9	55.41	54.87	54.04	54.01	54.06	54.8(2.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-3	0	7	-32	0.61	50%	-0.25	-143	2.56%	0	-0.6	48	INF
5	Nov_28_2014	65.06	55.56	55	54.09	53.96	53.7	53.57(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-22	-40	-16	-38	0.27	50%	-0.34	-152.7	2.54%	0	-1.7	31	INF

6	Nov_26_2014	65.28	55.68	55.22	54.56	54.27	53.96	53.73(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-22	-60	-19	-30	0.2	50%	-0.24	-126.2	2.53%	0	-1.2	30	INF
7	Nov_25_2014	65.44	56.07	55.42	55.02	54.89	54.22	54.05(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-19	-90	-18	-21	0.29	48%	-0.23	-110.8	2.53%	0	-1	31	INF
8	Nov_24_2014	65.59	56.45	55.56	55.37	55.41	54.59	54.05(-1.88%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-29	-100	-30	-25	0.43	48%	-0.18	-92.7	2.54%	0	-0.9	23	INF
9	Nov_21_2014	65.71	56.93	55.68	55.8	55.81	55.56	55.08(-1.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-21	-30	-21	-21	0.69	47%	-0.2	-86.2	2.53%	0	-0.6	26	INF
10	Nov_20_2014	65.84	57.38	55.68	56.03	56.22	56.23	55.87(-0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	0	10	5	-14	0.5	47%	-0.2	-81.8	2.55%	0	-0.4	27	INF

11	Nov_19_2014	65.97	57.85	55.75	55.98	56.12	56.05	56.03(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-4	-0	-0	-17	0.68	47%	-0.2	-79.7	2.55%	0	-0.5	54	INF
12	Nov_18_2014	66.1	58.41	55.74	55.88	56.01	56.2	55.8(-0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-9	30	2	-40	0.46	47%	-0.23	-81.9	2.55%	0	-0.6	27	INF
13	Nov_17_2014	66.25	58.92	55.87	55.78	55.98	56.19	56.19(-0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-4	40	14	-56	0.53	47%	-0.23	-77.5	2.57%	0	-0.6	28	INF
14	Nov_14_2014	66.4	59.58	55.98	55.56	55.66	55.82	56.23(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-19	30	4	-89	0.28	47%	-0.23	-72.5	2.58%	0	-0.6	24	INF
15	Nov_13_2014	66.55	60.33	56.14	55.44	55.52	55.76	55.64(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-26	30	4	-116	0.91	47%	-0.24	-64.9	2.57%	0	-0.8	21	INF

16	Nov_12_2014	66.71	61.23	56.15	55.49	55.57	55.5	55.56(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-37	-0	2	-153	0.54	47%	-0.22	-57.3	2.58%	0	-0.9	18	INF
17	Nov_11_2014	66.86	62.14	56.73	55.58	55.63	55.28	55.28(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-57	-40	-16	-179	0.38	47%	-0.22	-51.3	2.58%	0	-1	15	INF
18	Nov_10_2014	67.01	62.94	57.38	55.98	55.92	55.64	55.08(-1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-62	-40	-20	-188	0.41	47%	-0.22	-48.4	2.58%	0	-1.2	21	INF
19	Nov_7_2014	67.16	63.81	58.25	56.47	56.51	55.98	55.64(-0.5%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-61	-60	-16	-197	0.74	47%	-0.24	-43.8	2.59%	0	-1.2	18	INF
20	Nov_6_2014	67.32	64.57	59.12	56.94	56.96	56.2	55.91(-0.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-70	-90	-22	-213	0.51	47%	-0.21	-40.6	2.6%	0	-1.4	17	INF

21	Nov_5_2014	67.46	65.25	60.12	56.88	57.51	57.04	55.99(-2.22%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-80	-20	-27	-240	0.7	47%	-0.24	-42.9	2.6%	0	-1.5	15	INF
22	Nov_4_2014	67.62	65.77	61.29	58.06	57.35	57.72	57.27(-0.48%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-82	10	-30	-238	0.68	47%	-0.25	-43.1	2.62%	0	-1.5	16	INF
23	Nov_3_2014	67.79	66.38	62.21	59.02	58.45	57.97	57.54(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-67	-90	-13	-229	0.73	47%	-0.22	-39.7	2.63%	0	-1.7	27	INF
24	Oct_31_2014	67.94	66.84	63.47	60.36	59.77	56.98	57.98(4.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-112	-360	-71	-235	0.8	47%	-0.22	-36.3	2.65%	0	-1.8	26	INF
25	Oct_30_2014	68.09	67.26	64.85	61.68	61.39	58.93	55.64(-10.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-146	-290	-119	-226	0.91	44%		-32.3	2.69%	0	-2.6	25	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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