Trading Signals: FAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 10, 2014

Trading Signals: FAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3X ETF)
FAZ latest price $64.4584 (-1.1%) ($64.1012 - $65.2930) on Wed. Sep. 10, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.67% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $64.4584(-1.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAZ advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAZ declines -1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(12%)    VIXM(12%)    TIP(7%)    BNDX(4%)    UUP(4%)
Factors Impacting FAZ price   FAZ will decline at least -0.835% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLF(-18%)    VT(-16%)    XLP(-15%)    XLI(-15%)    XLB(-15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.835% (StdDev 1.67%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $58.24(-9.65%)
Resistance Level   $65.77
5 Day Moving Average   $64.11(0.54%)
10 Day Moving Average   $64.22(0.37%)
20 Day Moving Average   $65.77(-1.99%)
To recent high   -14%
To recent low   1.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0%

$. FAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0% a day on average for holding it.$. FAZ price fluctuates within 3.59% (three month std-dev: 1.67%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 2.07%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 4.39%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 6.12%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.81%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141010

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_10_2014	72	65.77	64.22	64.11	64.26	64.72	64.46(-1.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	13	60	26	-28	0.64	35%	-0.22	-90	1.67%	0	-0.6	34	INF
2	Sep_9_2014	72.16	66.13	64.2	63.99	63.99	64.1	65.17(2.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	2	10	20	-53	0.8	35%	-0.24	-84.8	1.67%	0	-0.4	34	INF
3	Sep_8_2014	72.33	66.47	64.13	63.7	63.7	63.8	63.46(-0.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-30	10	-8	-95	0.55	0%	-0.12	-80	1.63%	0	-1	21	INF
4	Sep_5_2014	72.42	66.93	64.39	63.89	63.8	63.88	63.54(-0.56%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-27	0	-0	-108	0.75	0%	-0.25	-76.2	1.65%	0	-1.1	17	INF
5	Sep_4_2014	72.6	67.48	64.59	64.23	63.94	63.6	63.9(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-42	-50	-14	-124	0.57	0%	-0.25	-65.1	1.68%	0	-1	23	INF

6	Sep_3_2014	72.78	67.97	64.92	64.36	64.36	63.73	63.86(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-51	-70	-21	-141	0.68	0%	-0.29	-56.5	1.68%	0	-1.1	21	INF
7	Sep_2_2014	72.99	68.5	65.32	64.43	64.57	64.28	63.7(-1.11%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-60	-20	-26	-163	0.52	0%	-0.53	-49	1.68%	0	-1.3	17	INF
8	Aug_29_2014	73.38	68.96	65.78	64.63	64.67	64.98	64.42(-1.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-45	40	-3	-169	0.33	0%	-0.29	-43.7	1.67%	0	-1.2	18	INF
9	Aug_28_2014	73.59	69.46	66.36	64.97	64.71	64.86	65.25(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-33	0	12	-167	0.62	0%	-0.2	-36.1	1.66%	0	-1.2	18	INF
10	Aug_27_2014	73.74	69.84	66.81	65.02	64.82	64.36	64.54(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-70	-60	-25	-205	0.47	0%	-0.24	-31	1.66%	0	-1.5	12	INF

11	Aug_26_2014	73.92	70.09	67.43	65.6	65.3	64.56	64.22(-0.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-91	-90	-51	-212	0.7	0%	-0.26	-27.1	1.69%	0	-1.8	16	INF
12	Aug_25_2014	74.11	70.4	68.22	66.35	66.19	65.29	64.7(-2.16%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-88	-100	-49	-203	0.61	0%	-0.2	-21	1.7%	0	-1.9	16	INF
13	Aug_22_2014	74.26	70.63	69.01	67.09	66.98	66.03	66.13(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-94	-100	-61	-193	0.75	0%	-0.13	-16.6	1.68%	0	-1.6	30	INF
14	Aug_21_2014	74.36	70.8	69.68	67.98	67.75	67.09	65.53(-2.77%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-87	-80	-57	-176	1.25	0%	-0.15	-7.9	1.68%	0	-2	24	INF
15	Aug_20_2014	74.47	70.94	70.62	68.85	68.73	67.92	67.4(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-63	-90	-38	-138	0.8	100%	-0.13	-4.8	1.67%	0	-1.4	35	INF

16	Aug_19_2014	74.57	70.99	71.28	69.55	69.32	68.42	68(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-16	-100	-13	-23	0.56	62%	-0.12	2.3	7.84%	0	-1.2	52	INF
17	Aug_18_2014	74.66	71.04	71.96	70.39	70.15	69.53	68.39(-3.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-10	-70	-9	-11	0.87	62%	-0.16	12.6	9.18%	0	-1.1	50	INF
18	Aug_15_2014	74.78	71.09	72.43	71.21	70.99	70.23	70.58(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-5	-80	-6	-2	1.38	63%	-0.13	22.1	9.17%	0	-0.2	59	INF
19	Aug_14_2014	74.88	71.01	72.81	71.66	71.5	70.77	69.9(-1.35%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-8	-80	-11	3	0.48	63%	-0.13	24.2	9.18%	0	-0.5	57	INF
20	Aug_13_2014	74.98	71.05	73.13	72.66	72.4	71.76	70.86(-1.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-2	-70	-7	14	0.55	63%	-0.09	35.1	9.18%	0	-0.1	63	INF

21	Aug_12_2014	75.05	70.94	73	73.28	73.08	72.23	72.21(-0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-2	-90	-8	18	0.56	61%	-0.07	38.8	9.17%	0	0.5	65	INF
22	Aug_11_2014	75.1	70.73	72.78	73.78	73.66	73.04	72.49(-0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	0	-60	-7	23	0.59	61%	-0.05	40.7	9.18%	0	0.7	64	INF
23	Aug_8_2014	75.14	70.56	72.42	73.83	74.16	73.92	72.84(-2.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	5	-10	-2	26	1	61%	-0.05	43.2	9.18%	0	0.9	62	INF
24	Aug_7_2014	75.18	70.43	72.03	74.12	74.02	74.27	74.91(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	20	1	29	0.87	59%	-0.07	53.2	9.17%	0	1.8	70	INF
25	Aug_6_2014	75.23	70.2	71.28	73.68	73.98	74.39	73.96(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	50	9	28	0.93	61%		56.3	9.19%	0	1.7	58	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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