Trading Signals: FAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 8, 2014

Trading Signals: FAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3X ETF)
FAZ latest price $82.1825 (-0.29%) ($81.7057 - $84.1298) on Tue. Apr. 8, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.05% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $82.1825(-0.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAZ advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAZ advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(12%)    TIP(7%)    BNDX(4%)    UUP(4%)    IGOV(2%)
Factors Impacting FAZ price   FAZ will decline at least -1.025% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLF(-18%)    XLI(-16%)    VT(-16%)    XLP(-15%)    XLB(-15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.025% (StdDev 2.05%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $79.31(3.62%)
10 Day Moving Average   $79.13(3.86%)
20 Day Moving Average   $79.08(3.92%)
To recent high   -9.1%
To recent low   7.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0%

$. FAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0% a day on average for holding it.$. FAZ price fluctuates within 2.63% (three month std-dev: 2.05%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 3.04%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 10.46%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 11.78%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140508

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_8_2014	82	79.08	79.13	79.31	79.39	81.83	82.18(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.4	93	220	99	74	1.99	44%	0	9.5	2.05%	0	1.5	54	0
2	Apr_7_2014	82	78.9	78.62	78.18	77.85	79.27	82.42(4.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	74	120	85	39	2.23	44%	0.01	-10.8	2.07%	0	1.8	57	0
3	Apr_4_2014	81.99	78.65	78.07	77.19	76.75	76.94	79.16(3.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	1	0	9	-24	2.38	38%	-0.09	-46.8	1.98%	0	0.3	45	0
4	Apr_3_2014	82.06	78.58	77.82	77.37	76.85	76.43	76.58(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-35	-60	-27	-58	0.99	33%	-0.18	-59.1	1.91%	0	-1.1	31	0
5	Apr_2_2014	82.21	78.68	77.85	78.2	77.67	76.56	76.22(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-49	-120	-44	-65	1.06	33%	-0.19	-65.5	1.93%	0	-1.4	35	0

6	Apr_1_2014	82.37	78.88	78.21	78.88	78.71	77.28	76.54(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-46	-130	-45	-48	1.38	33%	-0.19	-72.5	1.95%	0	-1.3	45	0
7	Mar_31_2014	82.53	79.11	78.48	79.04	79	78.78	77.45(-3.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-32	-20	-30	-39	1.68	33%	-0.18	-66.7	1.98%	0	-0.8	48	0
8	Mar_28_2014	82.68	79.51	78.79	78.99	78.75	80.13	80.04(-0.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	33	110	44	-1	1.58	36%	-0.08	-63.3	1.95%	0	0.2	57	0
9	Mar_27_2014	82.75	79.67	79.01	78.31	77.98	79.22	80.75(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	61	100	76	15	3.17	36%	-0.07	-69.6	1.97%	0	0.4	59	0
10	Mar_26_2014	82.81	79.87	79.06	77.49	76.81	77.36	79.64(3.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	6	20	14	-17	1.79	36%	-0.12	-72.8	1.98%	0	-0.1	54	0

11	Mar_25_2014	82.91	80.17	79	77.53	76.91	76.74	77.29(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-9	-40	-3	-27	1.65	29%	-0.22	-69.4	1.91%	0	-0.9	42	0
12	Mar_24_2014	83.09	80.61	79.18	77.9	77.61	76.25	77.22(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-42	-130	-42	-42	2.32	29%	-0.24	-64.6	1.94%	0	-1	39	0
13	Mar_21_2014	83.29	81.02	79.27	78.57	78.34	77.09	76.66(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-81	-120	-83	-73	2.28	29%	-0.28	-57.9	1.96%	0	-1.3	28	0
14	Mar_20_2014	83.52	81.54	79.43	79.8	79.57	78.97	76.62(-4.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-45	-60	-43	-52	2.21	29%	-0.3	-47.1	1.99%	0	-1.4	35	0
15	Mar_19_2014	83.77	82.09	79.43	80.82	80.56	79.59	79.88(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-23	-90	-15	-45	2.19	34%	-0.17	-39.2	1.91%	0	-0.6	37	0

16	Mar_18_2014	83.91	82.48	79.65	80.66	80.69	80.17	79.12(-1.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-46	-40	-35	-79	1.38	34%	-0.21	-40.2	1.92%	0	-1	33	0
17	Mar_17_2014	84.09	82.79	79.84	80.61	80.73	81.53	80.55(-2.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	1	70	25	-73	1.21	34%	-0.17	-46.9	1.95%	0	-0.6	35	0
18	Mar_14_2014	84.23	83.05	80.31	80.04	80.11	81.21	82.82(1.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	30	100	63	-71	2.36	37%	-0.07	-57.5	1.93%	0	-0.1	42	0
19	Mar_13_2014	84.29	83.21	80.34	79.03	79.06	79.93	81.71(3.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	4	80	43	-112	1.91	37%	-0.14	0	1.93%	0	-0.4	35	0
20	Mar_12_2014	84.41	83.48	80.64	78.37	78.42	79	79.08(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-20	50	24	-153	1.26	28%	-0.28	0	1.8%	0	-1.2	26	0

21	Mar_11_2014	84.65	83.91	81.34	78.54	78.16	78.19	78.88(1.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-45	-10	-5	-166	1.48	28%	-0.32	0	1.83%	0	-1.4	24	0
22	Mar_10_2014	84.92	84.46	82.07	79	78.69	77.83	77.73(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-79	-90	-47	-173	1.04	28%	-0.42	0	1.82%	0	-1.9	33	0
23	Mar_7_2014	85.28	85.1	82.86	80.64	79.73	78.12	77.73(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-107	-180	-90	-156	1.6	28%	-0.47	0	1.86%	0	-2.2	32	0
24	Mar_6_2014	85.68	85.1	83.84	81.85	81.93	79.55	78.41(-1.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-73	-200	-86	-34	1.38	28%	-0.46	0	1.91%	0	26.3	32	0
25	Mar_5_2014	86.08	85.1	84.78	83.23	83.33	81.34	79.96(-1.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-97	-160	-114	-46	1.26	31%		0	1.94%	0	31.9	33	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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