Trading Signals: FAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Mar. 17, 2014

Trading Signals: FAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3X ETF)
FAZ latest price $80.5532 (-2.74%) ($79.7186 - $81.4672) on Mon. Mar. 17, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.95% (three month average)
RSI   35
Latest Price   $80.5532(-2.74%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAZ advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAZ declines -2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(12%)    TIP(7%)    BNDX(4%)    UUP(4%)    IGOV(2%)
Factors Impacting FAZ price   FAZ will decline at least -0.975% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLF(-18%)    XLI(-16%)    XLP(-15%)    XLB(-15%)    XAR(-15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.975% (StdDev 1.95%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

Resistance Level   $82.79
5 Day Moving Average   $80.61(-0.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $79.84(0.89%)
20 Day Moving Average   $82.79(-2.7%)
To recent high   -10.9%
To recent low   3.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0%

$. FAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0% a day on average for holding it.$. FAZ price fluctuates within 4.2% (three month std-dev: 1.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.79%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.1%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -4.69%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.39%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -10.29%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140417

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_17_2014	84.09	82.79	79.84	80.61	80.73	81.53	80.55(-2.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	1	70	25	-73	1.21	34%	-0.17	-46.9	1.95%	0	-0.6	35	0
2	Mar_14_2014	84.23	83.05	80.31	80.04	80.11	81.21	82.82(1.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	30	100	63	-71	2.36	37%	-0.07	-57.5	1.93%	0	-0.1	42	0
3	Mar_13_2014	84.29	83.21	80.34	79.03	79.06	79.93	81.71(3.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	4	80	43	-112	1.91	37%	-0.14	0	1.93%	0	-0.4	35	0
4	Mar_12_2014	84.41	83.48	80.64	78.37	78.42	79	79.08(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-20	50	24	-153	1.26	28%	-0.28	0	1.8%	0	-1.2	26	0
5	Mar_11_2014	84.65	83.91	81.34	78.54	78.16	78.19	78.88(1.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-45	-10	-5	-166	1.48	28%	-0.32	0	1.83%	0	-1.4	24	0

6	Mar_10_2014	84.92	84.46	82.07	79	78.69	77.83	77.73(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-79	-90	-47	-173	1.04	28%	-0.42	0	1.82%	0	-1.9	33	0
7	Mar_7_2014	85.28	85.1	82.86	80.64	79.73	78.12	77.73(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-107	-180	-90	-156	1.6	28%	-0.47	0	1.86%	0	-2.2	32	0
8	Mar_6_2014	85.68	85.1	83.84	81.85	81.93	79.55	78.41(-1.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-73	-200	-86	-34	1.38	28%	-0.46	0	1.91%	0	26.3	32	0
9	Mar_5_2014	86.08	85.1	84.78	83.23	83.33	81.34	79.96(-1.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-97	-160	-114	-46	1.26	31%	-0.42	0	1.94%	0	31.9	33	0
10	Mar_4_2014	86.44	85.1	85.62	84.53	84.76	84.3	81.15(-5.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-44	-30	-52	-21	1.88	31%	-0.38	0	1.99%	0	39	34	0

11	Mar_3_2014	86.77	85.1	86.09	85.55	85.73	85.31	85.96(2.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	6	-30	7	3	2.16	43%	-0.07	0	1.58%	0	52.1	37	0
12	Feb_28_2014	86.83	85.1	86.07	85.45	85.61	85.21	83.77(-1.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-45	-30	-53	-21	1.97	30%	-0.25	0	1.42%	0	49.6	27	0
13	Feb_27_2014	87.05	85.1	86.36	86.16	85.97	86.16	85.32(-1.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-5	10	-6	-2	1.15	35%	-0.15	0	1.42%	0	55.8	50	0
14	Feb_26_2014	87.18	85.1	86.56	86.59	86.2	86	86.43(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-5	-30	-6	-2	1.62	35%	-0.07	0	1.46%	0	57.2	50	0
15	Feb_25_2014	87.24	85.1	86.66	86.92	86.64	85.77	86.28(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-19	-80	-22	-9	1.3	35%	-0.1	0	1.52%	0	55.7	50	0

16	Feb_24_2014	87.33	85.1	86.98	86.7	86.84	86.41	85.44(-2.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-30	-30	-35	-14	1.07	35%	-0.22	0	1.52%	0	53.7	50	0
17	Feb_21_2014	87.52	85.1	87.47	86.76	86.76	87.5	87.31(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	60	14	6	0.88	45%	-0.02	0	1.5%	0	56.3	50	0
18	Feb_20_2014	87.54	85.1	87.47	86.58	86.76	87.27	87.47(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	34	60	40	16	1.06	45%	-0.01	0	1.59%	0	53.7	50	0
19	Feb_19_2014	87.55	85.1	87.47	86.54	86.57	86.01	88.1(3.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	3	-40	3	1	1.51	45%	0.09	0	1.7%	0	50.9	50	0
20	Feb_18_2014	87.47	85.1	87.47	86.42	86.71	85.87	85.16(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-123	-60	-144	-58	0.8	0%	-0.44	0	0.74%	0	46.5	50	0

21	Feb_14_2014	87.86	85.1	87.47	87.35	87.46	87.12	85.76(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-76	-20	-89	-36	0.76	0%	-0.48	0	0.8%	0	50.4	50	0
22	Feb_13_2014	88.28	85.1	87.47	88.28	88.44	87.54	86.4(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.2	436	-70	513	205	1.32	0%	-0.53	0	0.87%	0	55.7	50	0
23	Feb_12_2014	88.75	85.1	87.47	71	89.35	87.8	87.27(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	11.8	554	650	652	261	1.06	0%	-0.55	0	1%	0	63.2	50	0
24	Feb_11_2014	89.24	85.1	87.47	53.55	89.35	87.8	87.51(-2.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	27.2	860	-10000	1012	405	1.28	0%	-0.97	0	0.96%	0	70	50	0
25	Feb_10_2014	90.11	85.1	87.47	36.04	89.35	87.8	89.81(-0.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	179.2	0	-10000	0	0	1.04	0%		0	0%	0	299.4	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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