Trading Signals: FAST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 4, 2017

Trading Signals: FAST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Fastenal Co)
FAST latest price $43.7537 (-0.33%) ($43.4086 - $44.1946) on Wed. Oct. 4, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.28% (three month average)
RSI   83
Latest Price   $43.7537(-0.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAST advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAST advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(56%)    PAVE(55%)    IVE(54%)    SDY(54%)    IVW(53%)
Factors Impacting FAST price   FAST will decline at least -0.64% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    VIXM(-10%)    UUP(-6%)    SHY(-6%)    GDXJ(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.64% (StdDev 1.28%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $43.81(-0.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.41(0.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.6(2.71%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   14.2%
Market Cap   $25.096b

Fastenal Co. engages in the provision of fasteners, tools, and supplies which can help in the manufacture of products, build structures, protect personnel, and maintain facilities and equipment. It products include cutting tools & metalworking, fasteners, material handling, storage & packaging power, transmission & motors, tools & equipment, electricals, abrasives, hydraulics & pneumatics, plumbing, lifting & rigging, raw materials, fleet & automotive, welding, office products & furniture, janitorial and lighting. The company was founded by Robert A. Kierlin, Michael M. Gostomski, Henry K. McCannon, John D. Remick, and Stephen M. Slaggie in November 1967 and is headquartered in Winona, MN.

$. FAST price fluctuates within 2.61% (three month std-dev: 1.28%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 21 Average positive next day return: 0.52%(48%) Average negative next day return: -0.59%(52%) Sample size 21 Average positive next three day return: 1.23%(52%) Average negative next three day return: -1.98%(48%) Sample size 21 Average positive next weekly return: 1.94%(52%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.1%(48%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171104

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_4_2017	41.3	42.6	43.41	43.81	43.81	43.86	43.75(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	25	10	4	88	2.25	51%	0.05	74.7	1.28%	0	1	83	0
2	Oct_3_2017	41.28	42.45	43.3	43.78	43.78	43.8	43.9(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	31	0	8	99	2.08	51%	0.05	75.5	1.29%	0	1.3	86	0
3	Oct_2_2017	41.26	42.27	43.15	43.68	43.67	43.8	43.86(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	35	10	12	102	2.38	51%	0.05	77.5	1.3%	0	1.4	86	0
4	Sep_29_2017	41.24	42.11	42.99	43.44	43.52	43.75	43.69(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	43	40	23	103	2.27	54%	0	78.2	1.33%	0	1.4	88	0
5	Sep_28_2017	41.24	41.97	42.83	43.18	43.17	43.58	43.83(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	45	70	26	102	2.6	54%	0.02	81.4	1.33%	0	1.8	92	0

6	Sep_27_2017	41.23	41.79	42.62	42.95	42.84	43.29	43.64(0.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	50	70	30	108	2.66	54%	0	82.8	1.33%	0	1.8	93	0
7	Sep_26_2017	41.23	41.59	42.43	42.76	42.69	42.75	43.36(1.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	43	0	22	106	2.31	54%	0	79.4	1.34%	0	1.8	82	0
8	Sep_25_2017	41.23	41.41	42.26	42.56	42.61	42.39	42.68(0.63%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	21	-30	-6	100	2.19	52%	-0.02	84	1.33%	0	1.3	81	0
9	Sep_22_2017	41.24	41.27	42.12	42.48	42.59	42.63	42.41(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	23	10	-4	104	2.07	52%	-0.02	85.4	1.33%	0	1.2	71	0
10	Sep_21_2017	41.25	41.12	41.98	42.42	42.54	42.82	42.64(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	45	50	22	113	1.63	52%	0	79.8	1.33%	0	1.5	70	0

11	Sep_20_2017	41.25	40.96	41.74	42.24	42.29	42.55	42.71(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	43	50	23	103	3.01	48%	0	68	1.33%	0	1.7	75	0
12	Sep_19_2017	41.25	40.8	41.53	42.05	42.04	42.26	42.36(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	36	40	16	96	1.76	48%	0	60.9	1.39%	0	1.6	78	0
13	Sep_18_2017	41.25	40.61	41.32	41.92	41.88	42.04	42.27(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	20	19	97	1.74	48%	0	40.2	1.39%	0	1.6	74	0
14	Sep_15_2017	41.25	40.44	41.16	41.7	41.72	41.82	42.11(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	20	15	92	3.41	50%	-0.02	26.9	1.41%	0	1.7	74	0
15	Sep_14_2017	41.26	40.32	41.03	41.46	41.55	41.73	41.75(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	40	40	21	97	1.6	50%	-0.05	18.6	1.41%	0	1.6	75	0

16	Sep_13_2017	41.28	40.28	40.88	41.15	41.23	41.62	41.74(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	41	70	25	90	1.8	50%	-0.05	9.2	1.41%	0	1.7	74	0
17	Sep_12_2017	41.3	40.23	40.68	40.93	40.81	41.38	41.74(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	45	90	33	82	1.62	50%	-0.05	3.9	1.42%	0	1.8	70	0
18	Sep_11_2017	41.32	40.2	40.49	40.64	40.6	40.85	41.18(0.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	42	40	29	79	2.86	50%	-0.05	-5.5	1.42%	0	1.2	76	0
19	Sep_8_2017	41.34	40.18	40.34	40.64	40.41	40.23	40.92(1.81%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	12	-40	-6	67	2.33	53%	-0.05	-16	1.45%	0	0.9	66	0
20	Sep_7_2017	41.36	40.15	40.19	40.54	40.53	40.34	40.19(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	6	-30	-13	63	4.95	51%	-0.07	-17.7	1.43%	0	0.1	52	0

21	Sep_6_2017	41.39	40.15	40.13	40.57	40.69	40.58	40.61(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	19	-10	6	56	2.59	45%	-0.02	-15.9	1.43%	0	0.5	44	0
22	Sep_5_2017	41.4	40.2	40.03	40.38	40.5	40.71	40.29(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	11	50	4	30	1.91	45%	-0.07	-24.9	1.59%	0	0.1	44	0
23	Sep_1_2017	41.43	40.25	39.85	40.29	40.31	40.8	40.72(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	90	27	8	1.79	45%	-0.05	-24.3	1.59%	0	0.5	44	0
24	Aug_31_2017	41.45	40.3	39.67	40.1	40.06	40.28	40.9(1.45%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.9	17	40	28	-18	2.44	45%	-0.07	-29.2	1.59%	0	0.7	49	0
25	Aug_30_2017	41.48	40.29	39.55	39.81	39.82	39.83	40.31(1.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-7	0	7	-49	1.81	45%		-43.9	1.58%	0	0	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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