Trading Signals: FAST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 16, 2017

Trading Signals: FAST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Fastenal Co)
FAST latest price $47.8048 (0.3%) ($47.1635 - $47.8048) on Thu. Feb. 16, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.12% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $47.8048(0.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAST advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAST advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(55%)    IVE(54%)    IWD(53%)    SDY(53%)    IVW(52%)
Factors Impacting FAST price   FAST will decline at least -0.56% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    VIXM(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    UUP(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.56% (StdDev 1.12%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $47.59(0.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.37(0.92%)
20 Day Moving Average   $47.33(1%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   13.7%
Market Cap   $27.419b

Fastenal Co. engages in the provision of fasteners, tools, and supplies which can help in the manufacture of products, build structures, protect personnel, and maintain facilities and equipment. It products include cutting tools & metalworking, fasteners, material handling, storage & packaging power, transmission & motors, tools & equipment, electricals, abrasives, hydraulics & pneumatics, plumbing, lifting & rigging, raw materials, fleet & automotive, welding, office products & furniture, janitorial and lighting. The company was founded by Robert A. Kierlin, Michael M. Gostomski, Henry K. McCannon, John D. Remick, and Stephen M. Slaggie in November 1967 and is headquartered in Winona, MN.

$. FAST price fluctuates within 0.97% (three month std-dev: 1.12%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 0.42%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 0.32%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -1.14%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 0.61%(17%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.99%(83%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170316

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_16_2017	42.81	47.33	47.37	47.59	47.54	47.55	47.8(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	-0	7	43	1.14	86%	0.23	74.2	1.12%	0	1	57	0
2	Feb_15_2017	42.71	47.33	47.22	47.53	47.53	47.45	47.66(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	10	-10	4	28	1.47	86%	0.26	100	1.12%	0	0.8	53	0
3	Feb_14_2017	42.6	47.31	47.14	47.4	47.46	47.52	47.6(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	5	10	3	12	1.21	88%	0.24	99.2	1.12%	0	0.5	48	0
4	Feb_13_2017	42.5	47.21	47.07	47.29	47.36	47.61	47.35(-0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	7	40	9	0	1.1	88%	0.24	108.1	1.14%	0	0.2	45	0
5	Feb_10_2017	42.4	47.11	47.06	47.34	47.26	47.41	47.55(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	20	23	5	1.15	90%	0.24	98.8	1.16%	0	0.6	45	0

6	Feb_9_2017	42.3	46.99	47.01	47.1	47.2	47.11	47.46(0.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	3	-10	12	-24	1.19	93%	0.26	86.5	1.21%	0	0.5	41	0
7	Feb_8_2017	42.19	46.85	46.98	46.86	47.02	47.12	47.06(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-11	30	-2	-37	1.36	93%	0.24	70.9	1.5%	0	0.2	46	0
8	Feb_7_2017	42.09	46.7	47.04	46.82	46.88	47.3	47.05(-1.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	2	70	14	-35	2.78	93%	0.21	57.1	1.5%	0	0.3	41	0
9	Feb_6_2017	42	46.53	47.1	46.8	46.8	46.93	47.6(2.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	9	20	18	-17	3.99	93%	0.26	47.6	1.52%	0	0.7	67	0
10	Feb_3_2017	41.89	46.34	47.11	46.76	46.73	46.46	46.32(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-13	-40	-14	-11	2.53	93%	0.22	42.1	1.51%	0	-0	63	0

11	Feb_2_2017	41.8	46.22	47.28	46.92	46.88	46.67	46.28(-1.25%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-12	-30	-21	16	2.04	93%	0.22	40.8	1.51%	0	0	63	0
12	Feb_1_2017	41.71	46.13	47.41	47.12	47.07	47.01	46.87(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	-10	-10	54	2.06	89%	0.22	40.4	1.5%	0	0.4	72	0
13	Jan_31_2017	41.62	46	47.52	47.27	47.2	47.09	46.93(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	17	-20	-9	96	2.01	89%	0.22	39.6	1.52%	0	0.5	76	0
14	Jan_30_2017	41.53	45.86	47.39	47.43	47.4	47.12	47.42(0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	21	-40	-12	121	3.46	89%	0.24	39.3	1.51%	0	0.9	82	0
15	Jan_27_2017	41.43	45.7	47.18	47.51	47.57	47.32	47.09(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	19	-30	-21	137	2.55	85%	0.19	38.6	1.51%	0	0.8	77	0

16	Jan_26_2017	41.35	45.57	46.99	47.71	47.77	47.67	47.27(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	36	-10	-8	167	2.46	85%	0.22	39.8	1.52%	0	1	77	0
17	Jan_25_2017	41.26	45.46	46.74	47.75	47.88	47.82	47.67(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	42	-0	-3	177	4.11	85%	0.17	42.5	1.52%	0	1.3	74	0
18	Jan_24_2017	41.19	45.32	46.35	47.8	47.84	47.88	47.69(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	61	10	18	190	4.29	85%	0.17	46.5	1.52%	0	1.5	75	0
19	Jan_23_2017	41.12	45.18	45.93	47.32	47.48	47.94	47.85(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	68	80	34	170	2.44	85%	0.19	38.8	1.53%	0	1.7	76	0
20	Jan_20_2017	41.04	45.03	45.51	46.77	46.77	47.8	48.09(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	81	150	57	151	2.79	85%	0.22	31.5	1.52%	0	2.2	75	0

21	Jan_19_2017	40.95	44.88	45.06	46.16	46.06	47.02	47.44(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	86	140	73	124	3.83	86%	0.17	23	1.52%	0	2.2	70	0
22	Jan_18_2017	40.88	44.75	44.72	45.58	45.35	45.73	47.92(5.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	62	40	56	81	8.41	86%	0.2	7.1	1.52%	0	3.1	64	0
23	Jan_17_2017	40.8	44.75	44.3	44.72	44.83	45.1	45.29(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	24	50	26	19	3.31	83%	0.1	-30.7	1.37%	0	1	48	0
24	Jan_13_2017	40.76	44.75	44.17	44.33	44.44	44.97	45.1(0.1%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.2	23	90	33	-9	2.32	78%	0.12	-52	1.36%	0	0.8	48	0
25	Jan_12_2017	40.71	44.59	44.07	44.04	44.04	44.57	45.05(1.2%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.5	21	80	38	-31	3.21	73%		-69.3	1.39%	0	0.7	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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