Trading Signals: FAST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 15, 2016

Trading Signals: FAST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Fastenal Co)
FAST latest price $42.3191 (-0.02%) ($41.9813 - $42.4787) on Tue. Nov. 15, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.68% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $42.3191(-0.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAST advances 2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAST advances 7.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(55%)    IVE(54%)    IWD(53%)    SDY(53%)    IVW(52%)
Factors Impacting FAST price   FAST will decline at least -0.84% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    VIXM(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-6%)    UUP(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.84% (StdDev 1.68%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.86(1.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.62(6.81%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.01(11.34%)
To recent high   -0%
To recent low   19.1%
Market Cap   $24.273b

Fastenal Co. engages in the provision of fasteners, tools, and supplies which can help in the manufacture of products, build structures, protect personnel, and maintain facilities and equipment. It products include cutting tools & metalworking, fasteners, material handling, storage & packaging power, transmission & motors, tools & equipment, electricals, abrasives, hydraulics & pneumatics, plumbing, lifting & rigging, raw materials, fleet & automotive, welding, office products & furniture, janitorial and lighting. The company was founded by Robert A. Kierlin, Michael M. Gostomski, Henry K. McCannon, John D. Remick, and Stephen M. Slaggie in November 1967 and is headquartered in Winona, MN.

$. FAST price fluctuates within 6.26% (three month std-dev: 1.68%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 18 Average positive next day return: 1.21%(56%) Average negative next day return: -1.72%(44%) Sample size 18 Average positive next three day return: 2.92%(39%) Average negative next three day return: -3.84%(61%) Sample size 18 Average positive next weekly return: 3.58%(44%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.72%(56%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161215

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_15_2016	39.01	38.01	39.62	41.86	41.97	42.2	42.32(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	111	50	48	299	2.54	53%	0.08	70.8	1.68%	0	1.8	79	INF
2	Nov_14_2016	38.98	37.65	38.99	41.02	41.2	41.88	42.33(1.85%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	100	130	47	258	3.98	53%	0.05	62.4	1.68%	0	2.1	80	INF
3	Nov_11_2016	38.96	37.3	38.39	40.17	40.21	41.73	41.56(-1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	119	270	81	233	5.02	54%	-0.03	50.1	1.67%	0	2.2	76	INF
4	Nov_10_2016	38.97	36.99	37.86	39.27	39.24	40.53	42.16(3.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.7	137	230	115	203	5.58	54%	0.03	32.2	1.68%	0	3.1	81	INF
5	Nov_9_2016	38.96	36.64	37.21	38.08	37.98	38.68	40.91(7.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.4	83	120	69	124	5.73	51%	-0.03	1.6	1.64%	0	3.6	77	INF

6	Nov_8_2016	38.97	36.39	36.74	37.08	37.19	37.96	38.12(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	59	150	53	75	2.01	42%	-0.1	-54.2	1.37%	0	2.5	66	INF
7	Nov_7_2016	39.01	36.33	36.54	36.66	36.66	37.28	38.11(2.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	53	120	52	56	2.91	42%	-0.08	-65.4	1.37%	0	2.1	71	INF
8	Nov_4_2016	39.04	36.36	36.37	36.35	36.29	36.42	37.02(2.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	24	20	21	34	3.59	38%	-0.1	-64.7	1.32%	0	0.7	64	INF
9	Nov_3_2016	39.08	36.46	36.37	36.23	36.23	36.04	36.23(0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	1	-40	-5	19	2.24	34%	-0.1	-55.1	1.3%	0	-0.2	57	INF
10	Nov_2_2016	39.12	36.63	36.26	36.2	36.28	36.16	35.9(-0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-9	-20	-18	18	2.27	33%	-0.13	-46.4	1.29%	0	-0.6	54	INF

11	Nov_1_2016	39.17	36.77	36.29	36.34	36.38	36.42	36.04(-1.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	10	-2	33	1.66	33%	-0.13	-39.5	1.31%	0	-0.5	46	INF
12	Oct_31_2016	39.22	36.9	36.26	36.39	36.41	36.41	36.58(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	0	4	21	1.76	34%	-0.13	-34	1.3%	0	-0.2	42	INF
13	Oct_28_2016	39.27	37.02	36.16	36.38	36.37	36.33	36.38(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-7	-10	-1	-23	1.21	37%	-0.13	-28	1.3%	0	-0.4	27	INF
14	Oct_27_2016	39.32	37.14	36.1	36.31	36.39	36.41	36.09(-1.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-16	10	2	-69	1.25	37%	-0.18	-25.8	1.3%	0	-0.7	23	INF
15	Oct_26_2016	39.39	37.24	36.06	36.32	36.28	36.4	36.62(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-24	20	6	-115	1.73	38%	-0.13	-25.3	1.29%	0	-0.4	23	INF

16	Oct_25_2016	39.44	37.31	36.03	36.24	36.22	36.36	36.27(-0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-24	30	17	-148	1.87	38%	-0.18	-25.4	1.29%	0	-0.7	29	INF
17	Oct_24_2016	39.51	37.39	36.11	36.1	36.11	36.15	36.55(1.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-34	10	14	-177	2.42	38%	-0.15	-27.5	1.29%	0	-0.6	35	INF
18	Oct_21_2016	39.57	37.44	36.34	35.92	35.95	36.08	36.01(-0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-46	30	5	-197	1.66	36%	-0.18	-32.6	1.28%	0	-1	27	INF
19	Oct_20_2016	39.64	37.53	36.65	35.85	35.89	36.06	36.14(-0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-35	40	17	-191	2.26	36%	-0.18	-34	1.3%	0	-1	32	INF
20	Oct_19_2016	39.71	37.62	36.99	35.77	35.72	35.81	36.25(1.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-44	10	3	-186	3.27	36%	-0.15	-37.9	1.3%	0	-1	40	INF

21	Oct_18_2016	39.77	37.69	37.26	35.79	35.71	35.71	35.54(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-60	-10	-17	-188	2.16	33%	-0.1	-38.8	1.28%	0	-1.7	35	INF
22	Oct_17_2016	39.81	37.78	37.58	36.13	35.96	35.63	35.64(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-79	-80	-48	-170	2.7	33%	-0.18	-36.3	1.28%	0	-1.8	40	INF
23	Oct_14_2016	39.88	37.9	37.95	36.85	36.59	35.71	35.71(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1	-85	-190	-75	-115	3.37	33%	-0.18	-22.6	1.29%	0	-2	42	INF
24	Oct_13_2016	39.95	38	38.29	37.58	37.54	36.29	35.71(-1.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-91	-240	-100	-64	4.83	33%	-0.17	-7.2	1.29%	0	-2.3	41	INF
25	Oct_12_2016	40.02	38.13	38.56	38.4	38.45	37.47	36.38(-2.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.3	-67	-170	-89	-0	4.58	31%		11.4	1.27%	0	-2	44	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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