Trading Signals: FAST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 3, 2016

Trading Signals: FAST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Fastenal Co)
FAST latest price $36.2280 (0.92%) ($35.8244 - $36.2466) on Thu. Nov. 3, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.3% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $36.2280(0.92%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAST advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAST advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(55%)    IVE(54%)    IWD(53%)    SDY(53%)    IVW(52%)
Factors Impacting FAST price   FAST will decline at least -0.65% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    VIXM(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-6%)    UUP(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.65% (StdDev 1.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $30.12(-16.86%)
Resistance Level   $36.46
5 Day Moving Average   $36.23(-0.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.26(-0.09%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.46(-0.64%)
To recent high   -11.9%
To recent low   1.9%
Market Cap   $20.779b

Fastenal Co. engages in the provision of fasteners, tools, and supplies which can help in the manufacture of products, build structures, protect personnel, and maintain facilities and equipment. It products include cutting tools & metalworking, fasteners, material handling, storage & packaging power, transmission & motors, tools & equipment, electricals, abrasives, hydraulics & pneumatics, plumbing, lifting & rigging, raw materials, fleet & automotive, welding, office products & furniture, janitorial and lighting. The company was founded by Robert A. Kierlin, Michael M. Gostomski, Henry K. McCannon, John D. Remick, and Stephen M. Slaggie in November 1967 and is headquartered in Winona, MN.

$. FAST price fluctuates within 3.32% (three month std-dev: 1.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.27%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 3.45%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 6.47%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161203

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_3_2016	39.08	36.46		36.23	36.23	36.04	36.23(0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	1	-40	-5	19	2.24	34%	-0.1	-55.1	1.3%	0	-0.2	57	0
2	Nov_2_2016	39.12	36.63	36.26	36.2	36.28	36.16	35.9(-0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-9	-20	-18	18	2.27	33%	-0.13	-46.4	1.29%	0	-0.6	54	0
3	Nov_1_2016	39.17	36.77	36.29	36.34	36.38	36.42	36.04(-1.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	10	-2	33	1.66	33%	-0.13	-39.5	1.31%	0	-0.5	46	0
4	Oct_31_2016	39.22	36.9	36.26	36.39	36.41	36.41	36.58(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	0	4	21	1.76	34%	-0.13	-34	1.3%	0	-0.2	42	0
5	Oct_28_2016	39.27	37.02	36.16	36.38	36.37	36.33	36.38(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-7	-10	-1	-23	1.21	37%	-0.13	-28	1.3%	0	-0.4	27	0

6	Oct_27_2016	39.32	37.14	36.1	36.31	36.39	36.41	36.09(-1.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-16	10	2	-69	1.25	37%	-0.18	-25.8	1.3%	0	-0.7	23	0
7	Oct_26_2016	39.39	37.24	36.06	36.32	36.28	36.4	36.62(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-24	20	6	-115	1.73	38%	-0.13	-25.3	1.29%	0	-0.4	23	0
8	Oct_25_2016	39.44	37.31	36.03	36.24	36.22	36.36	36.27(-0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-24	30	17	-148	1.87	38%	-0.18	-25.4	1.29%	0	-0.7	29	0
9	Oct_24_2016	39.51	37.39	36.11	36.1	36.11	36.15	36.55(1.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-34	10	14	-177	2.42	38%	-0.15	-27.5	1.29%	0	-0.6	35	0
10	Oct_21_2016	39.57	37.44	36.34	35.92	35.95	36.08	36.01(-0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-46	30	5	-197	1.66	36%	-0.18	-32.6	1.28%	0	-1	27	0

11	Oct_20_2016	39.64	37.53	36.65	35.85	35.89	36.06	36.14(-0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-35	40	17	-191	2.26	36%	-0.18	-34	1.3%	0	-1	32	0
12	Oct_19_2016	39.71	37.62	36.99	35.77	35.72	35.81	36.25(1.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-44	10	3	-186	3.27	36%	-0.15	-37.9	1.3%	0	-1	40	0
13	Oct_18_2016	39.77	37.69	37.26	35.79	35.71	35.71	35.54(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-60	-10	-17	-188	2.16	33%	-0.1	-38.8	1.28%	0	-1.7	35	0
14	Oct_17_2016	39.81	37.78	37.58	36.13	35.96	35.63	35.64(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-79	-80	-48	-170	2.7	33%	-0.18	-36.3	1.28%	0	-1.8	40	0
15	Oct_14_2016	39.88	37.9	37.95	36.85	36.59	35.71	35.71(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1	-85	-190	-75	-115	3.37	33%	-0.18	-22.6	1.29%	0	-2	42	0

16	Oct_13_2016	39.95	38	38.29	37.58	37.54	36.29	35.71(-1.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-91	-240	-100	-64	4.83	33%	-0.17	-7.2	1.29%	0	-2.3	41	0
17	Oct_12_2016	40.02	38.13	38.56	38.4	38.45	37.47	36.38(-2.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.3	-67	-170	-89	-0	4.58	31%	-0.15	11.4	1.27%	0	-2	44	0
18	Oct_11_2016	40.08	38.2	38.76	38.93	39.12	38.79	37.21(-5.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.2	-15	-40	-40	61	7.07	33%	-0.12	20.8	1.31%	0	-1.3	51	0
19	Oct_10_2016	40.13	38.23	38.83	39.21	39.31	38.79	39.23(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	31	30	2	117	4.89	39%	-0.05	18.4	1.16%	0	1.3	71	0
20	Oct_7_2016	40.15	38.16	38.66	39.22	39.21	39.44	39.39(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	45	40	19	122	2.89	39%	-0.05	4.7	1.17%	0	1.7	64	0

21	Oct_6_2016	40.17	38.07	38.48	39.12	39.08	39.18	39.79(1.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	53	10	29	126	2.08	39%	-0.05	-11.6	1.17%	0	2.4	71	0
22	Oct_5_2016	40.19	38.07	38.27	38.77	38.88	38.97	39.03(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	20	15	95	1.5	33%	-0.07	-33	1.14%	0	1.5	58	0
23	Oct_4_2016	40.22	38.03	38.11	38.57	38.64	38.98	38.6(-1.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	39	70	24	85	1.55	33%	-0.07	-44.6	1.15%	0	0.7	59	0
24	Oct_3_2016	40.25	38.09	37.97	38.38	38.36	38.79	39.26(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	56	80	49	75	3.11	34%	-0.07	-57.1	1.15%	0	1.5	63	0
25	Sep_30_2016	40.28	38.12	37.81	38.01	37.98	38.29	38.91(2.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	35	50	34	39	3.24	43%		-63.5	1.17%	0	0.9	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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