Trading Signals: FAST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Oct. 4, 2016

Trading Signals: FAST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Fastenal Co)
FAST latest price $38.6021 (-1.68%) ($38.4531 - $39.4496) on Tue. Oct. 4, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.15% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $38.6021(-1.68%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAST advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAST advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(55%)    IVE(54%)    IWD(53%)    SDY(53%)    IVW(52%)
Factors Impacting FAST price   FAST will decline at least -0.575% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    VIXM(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)    UUP(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.575% (StdDev 1.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $38.57(0.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.11(1.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.03(1.5%)
To recent high   -8%
To recent low   3.8%
Market Cap   $22.141b

Fastenal Co. engages in the provision of fasteners, tools, and supplies which can help in the manufacture of products, build structures, protect personnel, and maintain facilities and equipment. It products include cutting tools & metalworking, fasteners, material handling, storage & packaging power, transmission & motors, tools & equipment, electricals, abrasives, hydraulics & pneumatics, plumbing, lifting & rigging, raw materials, fleet & automotive, welding, office products & furniture, janitorial and lighting. The company was founded by Robert A. Kierlin, Michael M. Gostomski, Henry K. McCannon, John D. Remick, and Stephen M. Slaggie in November 1967 and is headquartered in Winona, MN.

$. FAST price fluctuates within 2.02% (three month std-dev: 1.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.12%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.12%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.2%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.03%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.5%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161104

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_4_2016	40.22	38.03	38.11	38.57	38.64	38.98	38.6(-1.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	39	70	24	85	1.55	33%	-0.07	-44.6	1.15%	0	0.7	59	0
2	Oct_3_2016	40.25	38.09	37.97	38.38	38.36	38.79	39.26(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	56	80	49	75	3.11	34%	-0.07	-57.1	1.15%	0	1.5	63	0
3	Sep_30_2016	40.28	38.12	37.81	38.01	37.98	38.29	38.91(2.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	35	50	34	39	3.24	43%	-0.1	-63.5	1.17%	0	0.9	58	0
4	Sep_29_2016	40.32	38.16	37.64	37.76	37.7	37.93	38.03(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	40	16	8	1.69	41%	-0.12	-71.1	1.17%	0	-0.1	52	0
5	Sep_28_2016	40.37	38.25	37.63	37.71	37.62	37.66	38.06(1.19%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.3	8	0	14	-12	1.36	41%	-0.12	-69.5	1.18%	0	-0.2	38	0

6	Sep_27_2016	40.42	38.38	37.57	37.59	37.61	37.47	37.61(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-13	-20	0	-50	1.67	36%	-0.12	-66.9	1.17%	0	-0.7	33	0
7	Sep_26_2016	40.47	38.54	37.58	37.5	37.58	37.58	37.44(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-29	10	-10	-86	1.39	36%	-0.15	-63.9	1.21%	0	-0.9	28	0
8	Sep_23_2016	40.53	38.7	37.62	37.57	37.59	37.74	37.66(-0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-17	30	9	-96	1.69	35%	-0.12	-61.6	1.3%	0	-0.8	27	0
9	Sep_22_2016	40.58	38.85	37.63	37.5	37.6	37.58	37.76(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-28	0	5	-125	1.85	35%	-0.12	-62.3	1.31%	0	-0.8	33	0
10	Sep_21_2016	40.63	38.99	37.77	37.55	37.51	37.45	37.48(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-42	-10	-9	-139	2.43	35%	-0.12	-60.2	1.31%	0	-1.1	29	0

11	Sep_20_2016	40.68	39.17	37.94	37.56	37.51	37.61	37.18(-1.6%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-41	10	-3	-154	2.07	37%	-0.15	-58.8	1.3%	0	-1.4	23	0
12	Sep_19_2016	40.74	39.37	38.21	37.66	37.51	37.57	37.78(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-41	-10	-1	-160	2.2	38%	-0.15	-57.8	1.3%	0	-1.2	24	0
13	Sep_16_2016	40.8	39.53	38.45	37.68	37.6	37.58	37.32(-1.81%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-47	-10	-7	-168	3.09	38%	-0.17	-57	1.29%	0	-1.6	22	0
14	Sep_15_2016	40.87	39.71	38.71	37.78	37.66	37.58	38.01(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-56	-20	-15	-178	3.44	40%	-0.15	-57.8	1.28%	0	-1.3	25	0
15	Sep_14_2016	40.93	39.85	38.92	38.03	37.84	37.62	37.51(-0.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-66	-60	-29	-177	4.48	38%	-0.12	-52	1.27%	0	-1.9	19	0

16	Sep_13_2016	40.98	40.01	39.24	38.4	38.29	37.7	37.66(-0.66%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-73	-120	-43	-164	3.81	37%	-0.12	-45.9	1.27%	0	-2.2	18	0
17	Sep_12_2016	41.03	40.17	39.58	38.86	38.69	38.07	37.91(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-85	-130	-65	-146	3.1	37%	-0.1	-35.9	1.28%	0	-2.4	18	0
18	Sep_9_2016	41.07	40.31	39.87	39.34	39.32	38.87	37.78(-3.79%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2	-61	-80	-44	-111	3.05	34%	-0.1	-23.2	1.29%	0	-3.2	19	0
19	Sep_8_2016	41.11	40.46	40.18	39.76	39.77	39.3	39.27(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-45	-80	-31	-86	1.48	37%	-0.07	-4.8	1.22%	0	-2.3	29	0
20	Sep_7_2016	41.14	40.49	40.33	39.94	39.95	39.76	39.36(-1.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-48	-30	-38	-77	2.2	37%	-0.07	9.2	1.22%	0	-2.4	35	0

21	Sep_6_2016	41.17	40.49	40.5	40.22	40.22	40.24	39.96(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-17	0	-8	-43	1.93	39%	-0.07	32.5	1.21%	0	-1.2	44	0
22	Sep_2_2016	41.2	40.51	40.62	40.42	40.38	40.14	40.34(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-13	-40	-9	-26	1.41	39%	-0.05	48.2	1.2%	0	-0.4	44	0
23	Sep_1_2016	41.22	40.49	40.68	40.5	40.52	40.2	39.88(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-29	-50	-30	-24	2.41	39%	-0.05	50	1.19%	0	-1.2	44	0
24	Aug_31_2016	41.24	40.48	40.79	40.67	40.72	40.63	40.15(-1.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-12	-10	-15	-2	1.84	39%	-0.02	52.5	1.19%	0	-0.6	47	0
25	Aug_30_2016	41.25	40.44	40.85	40.78	40.79	40.84	40.74(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	6	10	-0	24	1.07	41%		53.8	1.18%	0	0.5	72	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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