Trading Signals: FAST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 20, 2016

Trading Signals: FAST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Fastenal Co)
FAST latest price $37.1772 (-1.6%) ($37.1679 - $37.9036) on Tue. Sep. 20, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.3% (three month average)
RSI   23
Latest Price   $37.1772(-1.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAST declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAST declines -3.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(55%)    IVE(54%)    IWD(53%)    SDY(53%)    IVW(52%)
Factors Impacting FAST price   FAST will decline at least -0.65% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    VIXM(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    BOTZ(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.65% (StdDev 1.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $31.13(-16.27%)
Resistance Level   $39.17
5 Day Moving Average   $37.56(-1.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.94(-2.01%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.17(-5.09%)
To recent high   -11.7%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $21.324b

Fastenal Co. engages in the provision of fasteners, tools, and supplies which can help in the manufacture of products, build structures, protect personnel, and maintain facilities and equipment. It products include cutting tools & metalworking, fasteners, material handling, storage & packaging power, transmission & motors, tools & equipment, electricals, abrasives, hydraulics & pneumatics, plumbing, lifting & rigging, raw materials, fleet & automotive, welding, office products & furniture, janitorial and lighting. The company was founded by Robert A. Kierlin, Michael M. Gostomski, Henry K. McCannon, John D. Remick, and Stephen M. Slaggie in November 1967 and is headquartered in Winona, MN.

$. FAST price fluctuates within 3.57% (three month std-dev: 1.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.45%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 1.79%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -1.51%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.1%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161020

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_20_2016	40.68	39.17	37.94	37.56		37.61	37.18(-1.6%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-41	10	-3	-154	2.07	37%	-0.15	-58.8	1.3%	0	-1.4	23	INF
2	Sep_19_2016	40.74	39.37	38.21	37.66		37.57	37.78(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-41	-10	-1	-160	2.2	38%	-0.15	-57.8	1.3%	0	-1.2	24	INF
3	Sep_16_2016	40.8	39.53	38.45	37.68	37.6	37.58	37.32(-1.81%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-47	-10	-7	-168	3.09	38%	-0.17	-57	1.29%	0	-1.6	22	INF
4	Sep_15_2016	40.87	39.71	38.71	37.78	37.66	37.58	38.01(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-56	-20	-15	-178	3.44	40%	-0.15	-57.8	1.28%	0	-1.3	25	INF
5	Sep_14_2016	40.93	39.85	38.92	38.03	37.84	37.62	37.51(-0.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-66	-60	-29	-177	4.48	38%	-0.12	-52	1.27%	0	-1.9	19	INF

6	Sep_13_2016	40.98	40.01	39.24	38.4	38.29	37.7	37.66(-0.66%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-73	-120	-43	-164	3.81	37%	-0.12	-45.9	1.27%	0	-2.2	18	INF
7	Sep_12_2016	41.03	40.17	39.58	38.86	38.69	38.07	37.91(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-85	-130	-65	-146	3.1	37%	-0.1	-35.9	1.28%	0	-2.4	18	INF
8	Sep_9_2016	41.07	40.31	39.87	39.34	39.32	38.87	37.78(-3.79%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2	-61	-80	-44	-111	3.05	34%	-0.1	-23.2	1.29%	0	-3.2	19	INF
9	Sep_8_2016	41.11	40.46	40.18	39.76	39.77	39.3	39.27(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-45	-80	-31	-86	1.48	37%	-0.07	-4.8	1.22%	0	-2.3	29	INF
10	Sep_7_2016	41.14	40.49	40.33	39.94	39.95	39.76	39.36(-1.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-48	-30	-38	-77	2.2	37%	-0.07	9.2	1.22%	0	-2.4	35	INF

11	Sep_6_2016	41.17	40.49	40.5	40.22	40.22	40.24	39.96(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-17	0	-8	-43	1.93	39%	-0.07	32.5	1.21%	0	-1.2	44	INF
12	Sep_2_2016	41.2	40.51	40.62	40.42	40.38	40.14	40.34(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-13	-40	-9	-26	1.41	39%	-0.05	48.2	1.2%	0	-0.4	44	INF
13	Sep_1_2016	41.22	40.49	40.68	40.5	40.52	40.2	39.88(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-29	-50	-30	-24	2.41	39%	-0.05	50	1.19%	0	-1.2	44	INF
14	Aug_31_2016	41.24	40.48	40.79	40.67	40.72	40.63	40.15(-1.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-12	-10	-15	-2	1.84	39%	-0.02	52.5	1.19%	0	-0.6	47	INF
15	Aug_30_2016	41.25	40.44	40.85	40.78	40.79	40.84	40.74(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	6	10	-0	24	1.07	41%	-0.07	53.8	1.18%	0	0.5	72	INF

16	Aug_29_2016	41.28	40.36	40.83	40.83	40.77	40.81	40.98(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	9	0	-1	39	0.89	41%	-0.05	53.7	1.18%	0	0.9	76	INF
17	Aug_26_2016	41.3	40.29	40.81	40.86	40.88	40.74	40.74(0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	-20	-2	51	1.33	41%	-0.05	60.2	1.18%	0	0.7	65	INF
18	Aug_25_2016	41.32	40.24	40.78	40.91	40.9	40.73	40.73(0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	4	-30	-14	57	1.09	41%	-0.07	66.7	1.18%	0	0.8	64	INF
19	Aug_24_2016	41.35	40.19	40.76	40.94	40.94	41.02	40.7(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	19	10	-1	77	1.13	44%	-0.07	72.2	1.18%	0	0.8	70	INF
20	Aug_23_2016	41.38	40.1	40.66	40.92	40.91	41.07	41(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	30	17	88	1.12	44%	-0.05	68	1.2%	0	1.3	78	INF

21	Aug_22_2016	41.4	40.01	40.52	40.82	40.74	40.85	41.13(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	29	10	9	87	1.41	44%	-0.1	64.5	1.2%	0	1.6	82	INF
22	Aug_19_2016	41.44	39.9	40.39	40.75	40.67	40.75	40.98(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	10	10	87	1.11	42%	-0.1	61.3	1.21%	0	1.7	66	INF
23	Aug_18_2016	41.48	39.81	40.28	40.64	40.63	40.63	40.87(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	-0	7	81	1.2	42%	-0.1	51.6	1.23%	0	1.7	61	INF
24	Aug_17_2016	41.52	39.7	40.15	40.56	40.55	40.59	40.61(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	10	9	77	1.22	42%	-0.12	41.6	1.23%	0	1.5	62	INF
25	Aug_16_2016	41.57	39.63	40.01	40.35	40.46	40.63	40.49(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	40	19	69	1.02	42%		28.4	1.24%	0	1.5	66	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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