Trading Signals: FAST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 19, 2016

Trading Signals: FAST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Fastenal Co)
FAST latest price $40.9769 (0.25%) ($40.4461 - $41.0188) on Fri. Aug. 19, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.21% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $40.9769(0.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAST advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAST advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(55%)    IVE(54%)    IWD(53%)    SDY(53%)    IVW(52%)
Factors Impacting FAST price   FAST will decline at least -0.605% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    VIXM(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)    UUP(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.605% (StdDev 1.21%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.75(0.56%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.39(1.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.9(2.7%)
To recent high   -4.7%
To recent low   5.9%
Market Cap   $23.503b

Fastenal Co. engages in the provision of fasteners, tools, and supplies which can help in the manufacture of products, build structures, protect personnel, and maintain facilities and equipment. It products include cutting tools & metalworking, fasteners, material handling, storage & packaging power, transmission & motors, tools & equipment, electricals, abrasives, hydraulics & pneumatics, plumbing, lifting & rigging, raw materials, fleet & automotive, welding, office products & furniture, janitorial and lighting. The company was founded by Robert A. Kierlin, Michael M. Gostomski, Henry K. McCannon, John D. Remick, and Stephen M. Slaggie in November 1967 and is headquartered in Winona, MN.

$. FAST price fluctuates within 1.63% (three month std-dev: 1.21%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 35 Average positive next day return: 0.48%(57%) Average negative next day return: -0.69%(43%) Sample size 35 Average positive next three day return: 1.13%(63%) Average negative next three day return: -1.02%(37%) Sample size 35 Average positive next weekly return: 1.28%(51%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.11%(49%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160919

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_19_2016	41.44	39.9	40.39	40.75	40.67	40.75	40.98(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	10	10	87	1.11	42%	-0.1	61.3	1.21%	0	1.7	66	0
2	Aug_18_2016	41.48	39.81	40.28	40.64	40.63	40.63	40.87(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	-0	7	81	1.2	42%	-0.1	51.6	1.23%	0	1.7	61	0
3	Aug_17_2016	41.52	39.7	40.15	40.56	40.55	40.59	40.61(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	10	9	77	1.22	42%	-0.12	41.6	1.23%	0	1.5	62	0
4	Aug_16_2016	41.57	39.63	40.01	40.35	40.46	40.63	40.49(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	40	19	69	1.02	42%	-0.1	28.4	1.24%	0	1.5	66	0
5	Aug_15_2016	41.61	39.57	39.85	40.16	40.19	40.51	40.77(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	29	60	20	56	1.23	42%	-0.02	9.9	1.24%	0	2.3	68	0

6	Aug_12_2016	41.62	39.51	39.72	39.99	39.98	40.3	40.46(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1	31	60	24	53	1.27	40%	-0.1	-20.2	1.23%	0	2	67	0
7	Aug_11_2016	41.66	39.49	39.65	39.88	39.88	39.87	40.46(2.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	27	-0	19	51	2.1	40%	-0.12	-45	1.24%	0	2.2	64	0
8	Aug_10_2016	41.71	39.46	39.55	39.69	39.76	39.66	39.55(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	5	-10	-7	39	1.15	36%	-0.12	-78.2	1.21%	0	0.2	63	0
9	Aug_9_2016	41.76	39.48	39.51	39.61	39.82	39.88	39.56(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	30	11	38	1.43	36%	-0.14	-82.1	1.22%	0	0.2	52	0
10	Aug_8_2016	41.82	39.52	39.46	39.48	39.63	39.86	39.91(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	50	11	28	1.67	36%	-0.14	-64	1.22%	0	0.6	57	0

11	Aug_5_2016	41.88	39.6	39.37	39.42	39.45	39.76	39.92(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	60	16	18	1.88	40%	-0.12	-55.7	1.22%	0	0.4	50	0
12	Aug_4_2016	41.93	39.69	39.3	39.4	39.44	39.4	39.49(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	9	-0	10	4	3.88	38%	-0.1	-48.9	1.24%	0	-0.2	41	0
13	Aug_3_2016	41.97	39.77	39.22	39.41	39.42	39.14	39.17(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-16	-50	-14	-20	3.29	38%	-0.1	-41.9	1.25%	0	-0.6	40	0
14	Aug_2_2016	42.01	39.86	39.24	39.38	39.48	39.48	38.94(-1.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-14	10	-9	-27	2.7	38%	-0.1	-35.7	1.26%	0	-1	37	0
15	Aug_1_2016	42.05	39.96	39.27	39.42	39.43	39.7	39.57(-0.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	6	50	17	-29	3.24	40%	-0.1	-28.5	1.25%	0	-0.4	37	0

16	Jul_29_2016	42.09	40.07	39.28	39.31	39.27	39.49	39.81(0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	1	40	21	-59	2.82	40%	-0.07	-23.1	1.26%	0	-0.3	28	0
17	Jul_28_2016	42.12	40.13	39.3	39.19	39.13	39.16	39.58(1.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-13	0	13	-89	4.61	40%	-0.09	-30.7	1.26%	0	-0.5	27	0
18	Jul_27_2016	42.16	40.16	39.34	39.01	39.05	39.06	39.02(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-34	0	-4	-125	4.11	41%	-0.09	-41.8	1.24%	0	-1.1	28	0
19	Jul_26_2016	42.2	40.2	39.44	39.08	39.03	39.1	39.1(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-31	10	1	-128	3.17	43%	-0.07	-50.6	1.27%	0	-1.1	33	0
20	Jul_25_2016	42.23	40.23	39.57	39.11	39.07	39.03	39.04(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-37	-10	-5	-133	2.22	43%	-0.09	-60.7	1.3%	0	-1.2	32	0

21	Jul_22_2016	42.27	40.31	39.84	39.25	39.14	38.97	39.23(1.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-46	-40	-18	-131	3.99	43%	-0.09	-63.1	1.3%	0	-1.1	28	0
22	Jul_21_2016	42.31	40.45	40.09	39.44	39.38	39.1	38.69(-1.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-49	-50	-26	-118	4.22	41%	-0.09	-50.8	1.29%	0	-1.8	34	0
23	Jul_20_2016	42.35	40.6	40.36	39.71	39.69	39.31	39.34(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-42	-70	-25	-92	3.02	43%	-0.09	-42.3	1.27%	0	-1.4	47	0
24	Jul_19_2016	42.39	40.71	40.54	39.85	39.93	39.65	39.24(-1.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-41	-40	-31	-72	3.97	43%	-0.05	-36.5	1.27%	0	-1.7	51	0
25	Jul_18_2016	42.41	40.84	40.73	40.1	40.14	40.07	39.74(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-29	-10	-26	-39	2.57	43%		-25.7	1.27%	0	-1.3	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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