Trading Signals: FAST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FAST: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Apr. 27, 2016

Trading Signals: FAST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Fastenal Co)
FAST latest price $43.8638 (2.07%) ($42.9130 - $43.9193) on Wed. Apr. 27, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.85% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $43.8638(2.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAST advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAST advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(55%)    IVE(54%)    IWD(53%)    SDY(53%)    IVW(52%)
Factors Impacting FAST price   FAST will decline at least -0.925% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    VIXM(-12%)    SHY(-7%)    UUP(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.925% (StdDev 1.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $42.61(2.94%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.35(3.57%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.79(2.51%)
To recent high   -4.2%
To recent low   25.5%
Market Cap   $25.159b

Fastenal Co. engages in the provision of fasteners, tools, and supplies which can help in the manufacture of products, build structures, protect personnel, and maintain facilities and equipment. It products include cutting tools & metalworking, fasteners, material handling, storage & packaging power, transmission & motors, tools & equipment, electricals, abrasives, hydraulics & pneumatics, plumbing, lifting & rigging, raw materials, fleet & automotive, welding, office products & furniture, janitorial and lighting. The company was founded by Robert A. Kierlin, Michael M. Gostomski, Henry K. McCannon, John D. Remick, and Stephen M. Slaggie in November 1967 and is headquartered in Winona, MN.

$. FAST price fluctuates within 2.43% (three month std-dev: 1.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 2.56%(20%) Average negative next day return: -1.04%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 6.5%(20%) Average negative next three day return: -2.35%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 3.56%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.62%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160527

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_27_2016	39.91	42.79	42.35	42.61	42.53	42.99	43.86(2.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	27	70	30	16	5.02	70%	0.18	-49.8	1.85%	0	1	56	INF
2	Apr_26_2016	39.84	42.83	42.16	42.25	42.26	42.37	42.98(1.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	8	20	15	-14	2.47	71%	0.15	-55.6	1.84%	0	0.1	44	INF
3	Apr_25_2016	39.78	42.92	42.02	42.06	42.14	42.07	42.16(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-11	-10	-1	-41	1.81	65%	0.15	-60.8	1.87%	0	-0.6	32	INF
4	Apr_22_2016	39.72	43.04	42.1	42.03	42.13	42.15	42.19(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-12	10	-1	-45	1.72	67%	0.15	-63.9	1.92%	0	-0.7	32	INF
5	Apr_21_2016	39.66	43.17	42.2	42.01	42.14	42.21	41.87(-0.5%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-12	20	3	-55	1.42	68%	0.15	-62.9	1.93%	0	-1.1	19	INF

6	Apr_20_2016	39.6	43.32	42.3	42.01	42.06	42.1	42.08(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-18	10	0	-70	1.66	68%	0.13	-57.7	1.93%	0	-1	19	INF
7	Apr_19_2016	39.55	43.46	42.42	42.04	42.07	42.08	42.01(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-17	0	4	-79	2.03	64%	0.13	-52.3	1.94%	0	-1.2	19	INF
8	Apr_18_2016	39.5	43.65	42.56	41.97	42	42.02	42(-0.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0	-28	10	-5	-95	2.05	64%	0.15	-43.3	1.97%	0	-1.3	19	INF
9	Apr_15_2016	39.44	43.8	42.71	42.19	41.92	42.06	42.08(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-31	0	-9	-96	1.93	60%	0.05	-32.9	1.98%	0	-1.4	27	INF
10	Apr_14_2016	39.42	43.95	42.98	42.44	42.25	41.99	42.04(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-23	-60	-3	-82	2.27	60%	0.15	-22.5	2.06%	0	-1.6	25	INF

11	Apr_13_2016	39.36	44.04	43.27	42.61	42.56	41.77	42.09(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-43	-130	-28	-87	3.5	58%	0.15	-18.3	2.06%	0	-1.8	26	INF
12	Apr_12_2016	39.3	44.11	43.56	42.85	42.86	42.5	41.65(-3.41%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-47	-60	-35	-82	7.92	58%	0.15	-11.5	2.07%	0	-2.4	20	INF
13	Apr_11_2016	39.24	44.21	43.91	43.22	43.27	43.36	43.12(-0.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-16	20	-1	-62	3.8	62%	0.18	1	2.02%	0	-1.2	21	INF
14	Apr_8_2016	39.17	44.21	44.05	43.3	43.44	43.22	43.29(0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-23	-30	-9	-66	2.46	62%	0.2	6.4	2.02%	0	-1	35	INF
15	Apr_7_2016	39.09	44.22	44.22	43.63	43.63	43.18	42.91(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-35	-70	-26	-62	3.05	59%	0.18	16.7	2.03%	0	-1.5	32	INF

16	Apr_6_2016	39.02	44.25	44.42	44.05	43.98	43.66	43.27(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-28	-60	-24	-39	3.88	59%	0.21	32.8	2.04%	0	-1.1	52	INF
17	Apr_5_2016	38.94	44.23	44.6	44.39	44.4	44.07	43.52(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-16	-50	-16	-14	3.67	59%	0.23	41.8	2.04%	0	-0.8	57	INF
18	Apr_4_2016	38.85	44.2	44.83	44.69	44.66	44.31	43.51(-3.19%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.2	-10	-60	-17	13	3.38	58%	0.23	52.7	2.05%	0	-0.7	57	INF
19	Apr_1_2016	38.76	44.16	44.83	44.69	44.79	44.73	44.94(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	3	-20	-8	37	3.28	61%	0.26	60.2	2.01%	0	0.8	72	INF
20	Mar_31_2016	38.66	44.07	45	44.89	44.85	45.01	45.01(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	20	5	54	2.17	59%	0.23	68.6	2.03%	0	0.9	70	INF

21	Mar_30_2016	38.57	43.96	44.87	44.89	44.81	44.84	44.94(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	0	4	56	2.49	59%	0.21	76.2	2.04%	0	0.9	70	INF
22	Mar_29_2016	38.49	43.85	44.71	44.86	44.77	44.69	45.03(1.07%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	8	-20	-8	55	1.91	59%	0.23	86.5	2.04%	0	1.1	74	INF
23	Mar_28_2016	38.4	43.69	44.53	45.01	44.93	44.78	44.55(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	12	-30	-6	67	1.94	59%	0.21	85.8	2.04%	0	0.8	73	INF
24	Mar_24_2016	38.32	43.54	44.39	45.11	45.09	44.85	44.92(0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	14	-40	-7	76	1.93	59%	0.21	83	2.04%	0	1.1	79	INF
25	Mar_23_2016	38.24	43.37	44.22	45.12	45.14	45.08	44.85(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	22	-10	2	82	2.13	61%		81.8	2.04%	0	1.1	66	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.