Trading Signals: FAST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 19, 2016

Trading Signals: FAST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Fastenal Co)
FAST latest price $33.5078 (-2.39%) ($33.1342 - $35.0297) on Tue. Jan. 19, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.57% (three month average)
RSI   20
Latest Price   $33.5078(-2.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAST declines -1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAST declines -3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(55%)    IVE(54%)    SDY(54%)    IWD(53%)    IVW(52%)
Factors Impacting FAST price   FAST will decline at least -0.785% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    VIXM(-13%)    SHY(-7%)    UUP(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.785% (StdDev 1.57%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $28.51(-14.92%)
Resistance Level   $36.16
5 Day Moving Average   $34.97(-4.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35.34(-5.18%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.16(-7.33%)
To recent high   -11.7%
To recent low   0.4%
Market Cap   $19.219b

Fastenal Co. engages in the provision of fasteners, tools, and supplies which can help in the manufacture of products, build structures, protect personnel, and maintain facilities and equipment. It products include cutting tools & metalworking, fasteners, material handling, storage & packaging power, transmission & motors, tools & equipment, electricals, abrasives, hydraulics & pneumatics, plumbing, lifting & rigging, raw materials, fleet & automotive, welding, office products & furniture, janitorial and lighting. The company was founded by Robert A. Kierlin, Michael M. Gostomski, Henry K. McCannon, John D. Remick, and Stephen M. Slaggie in November 1967 and is headquartered in Winona, MN.

$. FAST price fluctuates within 3.4% (three month std-dev: 1.57%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 15 Average positive next day return: 0.89%(47%) Average negative next day return: -2.91%(53%) Sample size 15 Average positive next three day return: 2.73%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -2.42%(60%) Sample size 15 Average positive next weekly return: 3.49%(47%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.77%(53%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160219

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_19_2016	35.4	36.16	35.34	34.97	34.67	33.74	33.51(-2.39%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-70	-210	-44	-146	5.99	47%	0	-31.2	1.57%	0	-2.2	20	0
2	Jan_15_2016	35.4	36.32	35.66	35.36	35.08	34.45	34.33(-4.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-76	-150	-54	-142	14.85	48%	-0.03	-28	1.55%	0	-1.9	22	0
3	Jan_14_2016	35.41	36.45	35.95	35.57	35.59	35.59	35.77(1.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-34	0	-4	-123	5.75	52%	0.03	-25.1	1.46%	0	-0.7	31	0
4	Jan_13_2016	35.4	36.48	36.14	35.53	35.62	35.72	35.33(-1.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-31	30	-3	-114	4.37	49%	0.06	-28.2	1.46%	0	-1.3	42	0
5	Jan_12_2016	35.38	36.54	36.39	35.73	35.61	35.59	35.93(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-21	-10	-2	-78	2.93	51%	0.06	-27.8	1.47%	0	-0.7	58	0

6	Jan_11_2016	35.36	36.55	36.57	35.79	35.71	35.53	35.44(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-29	-40	-18	-62	4.29	51%	0	-30.2	1.46%	0	-1.3	52	0
7	Jan_8_2016	35.36	36.61	36.81	36.02	35.96	35.64	35.36(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-30	-70	-27	-38	3.01	54%	0	-20.3	1.46%	0	-1.5	44	0
8	Jan_7_2016	35.36	36.68	37.04	36.39	36.18	35.89	35.59(-2.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-32	-70	-39	-12	3.04	56%	-0.03	-8	1.49%	0	-1.4	44	0
9	Jan_6_2016	35.37	36.74	37.16	36.84	36.65	36.29	36.32(0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-15	-80	-27	23	3.73	59%	-0.03	4.5	1.5%	0	-0.6	52	0
10	Jan_5_2016	35.38	36.78	37.1	37.16	37.11	36.48	36.22(-1.09%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.3	-19	-120	-35	31	3.44	61%	0	18.2	1.51%	0	-0.8	51	0

11	Jan_4_2016	35.38	36.81	37.06	37.46	37.49	37	36.62(-1.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-17	-90	-38	46	3.54	61%	-0.03	28.8	1.52%	0	-0.3	57	0
12	Dec_31_2015	35.39	36.78	37.05	37.71	37.78	37.73	37.2(-1.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	9	-0	-12	71	1.49	59%	0.03	35.4	1.51%	0	0.6	55	0
13	Dec_30_2015	35.38	36.74	37.01	37.79	37.83	37.97	37.83(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	30	19	89	1.99	61%	0.06	40.2	1.55%	0	1.5	59	0
14	Dec_29_2015	35.36	36.71	36.85	37.52	37.59	37.82	37.95(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	43	50	32	77	1.7	61%	0.03	38.7	1.55%	0	1.8	60	0
15	Dec_28_2015	35.35	36.65	36.68	37.01	37.09	37.69	37.73(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	37	120	36	41	1.6	59%	0.03	26.3	1.55%	0	1.7	52	0

16	Dec_24_2015	35.34	36.6	36.5	36.59	36.56	37.35	37.83(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	38	150	46	15	1.39	59%	0.03	14.9	1.55%	0	2.1	58	0
17	Dec_23_2015	35.33	36.52	36.36	36.32	36.12	36.49	37.6(2.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.5	24	60	32	-2	3.76	59%	0	4.9	1.55%	0	2.1	62	0
18	Dec_22_2015	35.33	36.45	36.24	36.14	36.02	35.77	36.52(3.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-6	-60	-0	-25	2.53	56%	-0.03	3.2	1.52%	0	0.2	50	0
19	Dec_21_2015	35.34	36.44	36.25	36.09	36.17	35.75	35.39(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-34	-70	-29	-47	2.9	53%	-0.08	5.6	1.48%	0	-2.3	35	0
20	Dec_18_2015	35.37	36.48	36.43	36.29	36.39	36.27	35.62(-2.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-17	-10	-14	-27	5.39	50%	-0.03	31.8	1.48%	0	-2.2	40	0

21	Dec_17_2015	35.38	36.51	36.54	36.36	36.43	36.59	36.44(-0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-2	40	4	-18	3.02	53%	-0.03	49.5	1.5%	0	-0.2	48	0
22	Dec_16_2015	35.39	36.5	36.49	36.39	36.31	36.51	36.72(1.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	1	30	8	-21	2.07	53%	0	45.2	1.51%	0	0.6	52	0
23	Dec_15_2015	35.39	36.44	36.48	36.37	36.32	36.28	36.3(-0.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-4	-10	2	-21	2.14	53%	0	23.1	1.51%	0	-0.3	52	0
24	Dec_14_2015	35.39	36.41	36.57	36.44	36.38	36.11	36.36(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-17	-60	-17	-15	1.86	53%	0	14	1.51%	0	-0.1	53	0
25	Dec_11_2015	35.39	36.36	36.63	36.61	36.51	36.35	35.97(-1.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-13	-40	-18	3	2.35	53%		2	1.51%	0	-0.7	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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