Trading Signals: FAST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 18, 2015

Trading Signals: FAST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Fastenal Co)
FAST latest price $35.6220 (-2.25%) ($35.5673 - $36.3875) on Fri. Dec. 18, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.48% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $35.6220(-2.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAST declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAST declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(55%)    IVE(54%)    SDY(54%)    IWD(53%)    IVW(52%)
Factors Impacting FAST price   FAST will decline at least -0.74% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    VIXM(-14%)    SHY(-7%)    UUP(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.74% (StdDev 1.48%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.7%

Resistance Level   $36.48
5 Day Moving Average   $36.29(-1.84%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.43(-2.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.48(-2.35%)
To recent high   -5.2%
To recent low   10.9%
Market Cap   $20.432b

Fastenal Co. engages in the provision of fasteners, tools, and supplies which can help in the manufacture of products, build structures, protect personnel, and maintain facilities and equipment. It products include cutting tools & metalworking, fasteners, material handling, storage & packaging power, transmission & motors, tools & equipment, electricals, abrasives, hydraulics & pneumatics, plumbing, lifting & rigging, raw materials, fleet & automotive, welding, office products & furniture, janitorial and lighting. The company was founded by Robert A. Kierlin, Michael M. Gostomski, Henry K. McCannon, John D. Remick, and Stephen M. Slaggie in November 1967 and is headquartered in Winona, MN.

$. FAST price fluctuates within 1.1% (three month std-dev: 1.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.21%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.33%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.44%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0.6%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160118

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_18_2015	35.37	36.48	36.43	36.29	36.39	36.27	35.62(-2.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-17	-10	-14	-27	5.39	50%	-0.03	31.8	1.48%	0	-2.2	40	INF
2	Dec_17_2015	35.38	36.51	36.54	36.36	36.43	36.59	36.44(-0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-2	40	4	-18	3.02	53%	-0.03	49.5	1.5%	0	-0.2	48	INF
3	Dec_16_2015	35.39	36.5	36.49	36.39	36.31	36.51	36.72(1.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	1	30	8	-21	2.07	53%	0	45.2	1.51%	0	0.6	52	INF
4	Dec_15_2015	35.39	36.44	36.48	36.37	36.32	36.28	36.3(-0.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-4	-10	2	-21	2.14	53%	0	23.1	1.51%	0	-0.3	52	INF
5	Dec_14_2015	35.39	36.41	36.57	36.44	36.38	36.11	36.36(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-17	-60	-17	-15	1.86	53%	0	14	1.51%	0	-0.1	53	INF

6	Dec_11_2015	35.39	36.36	36.63	36.61	36.51	36.35	35.97(-1.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-13	-40	-18	3	2.35	53%	0	2	1.51%	0	-0.7	50	INF
7	Dec_10_2015	35.39	36.36	36.72	36.73	36.7	36.65	36.59(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	12	-10	6	28	1.61	54%	0	-9.9	1.5%	0	0.4	59	INF
8	Dec_9_2015	35.39	36.36	36.71	36.6	36.63	36.67	36.65(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	10	-0	22	2.18	54%	-0.03	-16.7	1.5%	0	0.5	56	INF
9	Dec_8_2015	35.4	36.33	36.68	36.59	36.52	36.75	36.63(-1.54%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	7	40	-1	30	2.31	58%	-0.03	-17.6	1.51%	0	0.5	63	INF
10	Dec_7_2015	35.41	36.33	36.64	36.72	36.58	36.6	37.21(1.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	19	-10	10	47	2.99	60%	-0.03	-9.5	1.56%	0	1.4	65	INF

11	Dec_4_2015	35.42	36.35	36.54	36.67	36.67	36.3	36.58(1.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-70	-13	46	2.4	58%	-0.03	1.2	1.56%	0	0.4	66	INF
12	Dec_3_2015	35.43	36.39	36.48	36.71	36.81	36.57	35.94(-1.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-2	-40	-21	54	3.02	54%	-0.03	15.5	1.54%	0	-0.7	61	INF
13	Dec_2_2015	35.44	36.42	36.51	36.82	36.9	36.57	36.58(-1.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	20	30	4	67	2.22	59%	0	27.8	1.54%	0	0.2	49	INF
14	Dec_1_2015	35.44	36.44	36.4	36.76	36.8	37.05	37.29(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	31	50	22	58	2.92	57%	-0.06	39	1.55%	0	1.3	52	INF
15	Nov_30_2015	35.46	36.4	36.24	36.54	36.53	36.76	36.98(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	19	40	15	30	2.43	57%	-0.03	42.5	1.58%	0	0.9	48	INF

16	Nov_27_2015	35.47	36.34	36.06	36.39	36.35	36.55	36.75(0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	11	40	15	-0	0.77	59%	-0.08	38.5	1.58%	0	0.6	41	INF
17	Nov_25_2015	35.5	36.28	35.91	36.23	36.25	36.3	36.52(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	10	9	-34	1.52	62%	-0.06	36.4	1.63%	0	0.4	37	INF
18	Nov_24_2015	35.52	36.24	35.9	36.16	36.12	36.16	36.28(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-6	0	6	-40	2.19	57%	-0.03	45.3	1.63%	0	0.1	47	INF
19	Nov_23_2015	35.53	36.17	35.95	35.98	36.04	36.2	36.2(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-4	40	10	-46	1.96	57%	0	45.1	1.73%	0	0	43	INF
20	Nov_20_2015	35.53	36.12	36.01	35.88	35.84	36.08	36.19(0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	0	40	16	-48	1.72	55%	-0.03	49.8	1.73%	0	0.1	46	INF

21	Nov_19_2015	35.54	36.08	36.12	35.68	35.63	35.87	35.96(-0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	0	40	15	-44	2.23	55%	-0.06	48.7	1.76%	0	-0.1	54	INF
22	Nov_18_2015	35.56	36.04	36.27	35.53	35.47	35.6	36.17(2.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-9	20	2	-41	1.86	55%	-0.06	38.6	1.76%	0	0.1	56	INF
23	Nov_17_2015	35.58	35.91	36.32	35.63	35.5	35.4	35.4(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	-30	-14	-35	1.45	53%	-0.06	33.7	1.74%	0	-0.5	52	INF
24	Nov_16_2015	35.6	35.83	36.48	35.92	35.85	35.34	35.69(1.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-18	-110	-22	-6	1.74	53%	-0.11	35.3	1.74%	0	-0.1	60	INF
25	Nov_13_2015	35.64	35.73	36.59	36.18	36.22	35.61	35.18(-0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-30	-110	-44	13	2.28	53%		34.4	1.73%	0	-0.4	55	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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