Trading Signals: FAST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 29, 2015

Trading Signals: FAST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Fastenal Co)
FAST latest price $33.0110 (1%) ($32.5586 - $33.0743) on Tue. Sep. 29, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.55% (three month average)
RSI   32
Latest Price   $33.0110(1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAST declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAST declines -2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(55%)    SPY(55%)    IWD(54%)    SDY(54%)    IWF(52%)
Factors Impacting FAST price   FAST will decline at least -0.775% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    VIXM(-15%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)    UUP(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.775% (StdDev 1.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $28.57(-13.45%)
Resistance Level   $34.03
5 Day Moving Average   $33.02(-0.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33.5(-1.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.03(-2.99%)
To recent high   -14.2%
To recent low   1%
Market Cap   $18.934b

Fastenal Co. engages in the provision of fasteners, tools, and supplies which can help in the manufacture of products, build structures, protect personnel, and maintain facilities and equipment. It products include cutting tools & metalworking, fasteners, material handling, storage & packaging power, transmission & motors, tools & equipment, electricals, abrasives, hydraulics & pneumatics, plumbing, lifting & rigging, raw materials, fleet & automotive, welding, office products & furniture, janitorial and lighting. The company was founded by Robert A. Kierlin, Michael M. Gostomski, Henry K. McCannon, John D. Remick, and Stephen M. Slaggie in November 1967 and is headquartered in Winona, MN.

$. FAST price fluctuates within 2.41% (three month std-dev: 1.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 0.9%(20%) Average negative next day return: -0.96%(80%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 0.64%(30%) Average negative next three day return: -1.49%(70%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 0.79%(30%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.77%(70%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151029

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_29_2015	36.67	34.03	33.5	33.02	32.98	32.87	33.01(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-33	-30	-8	-107	3.21	39%	-0.16	-51	1.55%	0	-1.2	32	INF
2	Sep_28_2015	36.73	34.12	33.69	33.04	33.03	33.05	32.69(-1.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-36	0	-11	-109	3.52	39%	-0.14	-46.6	1.56%	0	-1.8	25	INF
3	Sep_25_2015	36.78	34.24	33.88	33.23	33.13	33.09	33.21(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-25	-20	-3	-89	1.59	40%	-0.14	-46.8	1.56%	0	-1.4	46	INF
4	Sep_24_2015	36.83	34.34	34.05	33.31	33.26	33.01	33.18(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-38	-60	-22	-84	1.93	40%	-0.11	-46.5	1.56%	0	-1.6	45	INF
5	Sep_23_2015	36.87	34.41	34.23	33.62	33.51	33.17	32.99(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-45	-80	-36	-70	1.42	40%	-0.14	-51.5	1.56%	0	-2.1	38	INF

6	Sep_22_2015	36.92	34.45	34.42	34.06	33.98	33.51	33.12(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-33	-100	-33	-34	1.85	40%	-0.16	-60.7	1.56%	0	-2.1	47	INF
7	Sep_21_2015	36.98	34.5	34.63	34.43	34.41	33.84	33.64(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1.4	-26	-120	-32	-8	2.01	40%	-0.14	-70.3	1.55%	0	-1.5	43	INF
8	Sep_18_2015	37.03	34.59	34.67	34.62	34.69	34.45	33.64(-3.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-25	-40	-31	-7	6.5	42%	-0.11	-69.1	1.56%	0	-1.7	42	INF
9	Sep_17_2015	37.07	34.69	34.74	34.89	34.88	34.98	34.71(-1.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	4	20	1	11	2.27	46%	-0.11	-62.2	1.53%	0	0	46	INF
10	Sep_16_2015	37.11	34.77	34.73	34.93	34.84	34.92	35.19(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	10	9	20	2.27	46%	-0.11	-51	1.53%	0	0.6	56	INF

11	Sep_15_2015	37.15	34.84	34.6	34.84	34.79	34.77	34.99(1.23%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	2	-10	-2	14	1.8	46%	-0.08	-41.7	1.53%	0	0.2	61	INF
12	Sep_14_2015	37.18	34.9	34.58	34.87	34.85	34.76	34.57(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	10	-20	3	29	1.27	46%	-0.08	-38.8	1.52%	0	-0.4	56	INF
13	Sep_11_2015	37.21	34.99	34.62	34.74	34.87	34.81	34.98(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	-0	8	18	1.43	46%	-0.05	-39.7	1.52%	0	-0	47	INF
14	Sep_10_2015	37.23	35.05	34.64	34.55	34.62	34.94	34.94(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	4	70	5	2	1.97	46%	-0.05	-44.3	1.52%	0	-0.1	46	INF
15	Sep_9_2015	37.25	35.12	34.59	34.5	34.49	34.92	34.7(-1.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	19	90	29	-13	1.99	46%	-0.08	-45.3	1.53%	0	-0.4	40	INF

16	Sep_8_2015	37.28	35.18	34.48	34.33	34.37	34.31	35.14(3.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-6	-10	13	-64	2.75	46%	0	-55.7	1.52%	0	-0	40	INF
17	Sep_4_2015	37.28	35.25	34.34	34.28	34.2	34.07	33.92(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-50	-30	-27	-117	1.96	42%	-0.08	-59.2	1.44%	0	-1.2	35	INF
18	Sep_3_2015	37.31	35.37	34.49	34.49	34.45	34.44	34.05(-1.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-35	-10	-10	-108	2.77	42%	-0.05	-62.6	1.45%	0	-1.3	36	INF
19	Sep_2_2015	37.33	35.49	34.64	34.74	34.64	34.33	34.68(2.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-28	-70	-4	-99	2.27	44%	-0.08	-60.1	1.44%	0	-0.8	40	INF
20	Sep_1_2015	37.36	35.6	34.8	34.69	34.73	34.46	33.88(-2.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-39	-50	-15	-111	2.69	41%	-0.05	-60.8	1.41%	0	-1.6	32	INF

21	Aug_31_2015	37.38	35.78	35.09	34.61	34.79	34.94	34.87(-0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-16	50	12	-101	1.94	44%	-0.03	-62.9	1.37%	0	-0.9	43	INF
22	Aug_28_2015	37.39	35.9	35.25	34.4	34.51	35.01	35(-0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-17	110	15	-114	2.01	41%	-0.03	-61.2	1.4%	0	-0.8	39	INF
23	Aug_27_2015	37.4	36.04	35.38	34.49	34.28	34.63	35.26(2.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-15	50	16	-108	2.71	41%	-0.03	-53.9	1.4%	0	-0.7	45	INF
24	Aug_26_2015	37.41	36.13	35.47	34.57	34.43	34.01	34.45(2.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-49	-100	-23	-125	3.7	38%	-0.03	-49.4	1.37%	0	-1.5	39	INF
25	Aug_25_2015	37.42	36.28	35.69	34.97	34.84	33.93	33.47(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-92	-190	-79	-129	7.23	33%		-39.4	1.32%	0	-2.7	27	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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