Trading Signals: FAST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 20, 2014

Trading Signals: FAST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Fastenal Co)
FAST latest price $39.9551 (0.83%) ($39.3254 - $40.0437) on Thu. Nov. 20, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.38% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $39.9551(0.83%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAST advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAST advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(56%)    XLI(53%)    IWM(51%)    QQQ(50%)    VT(50%)
Factors Impacting FAST price   FAST will decline at least -0.69% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    VIXM(-17%)    SHY(-8%)    IGOV(-6%)    TIP(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.69% (StdDev 1.38%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.61(0.87%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.53(1.08%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.15(2.06%)
To recent high   -3.9%
To recent low   11.1%
Market Cap   $22.917b

Fastenal Co. engages in the provision of fasteners, tools, and supplies which can help in the manufacture of products, build structures, protect personnel, and maintain facilities and equipment. It products include cutting tools & metalworking, fasteners, material handling, storage & packaging power, transmission & motors, tools & equipment, electricals, abrasives, hydraulics & pneumatics, plumbing, lifting & rigging, raw materials, fleet & automotive, welding, office products & furniture, janitorial and lighting. The company was founded by Robert A. Kierlin, Michael M. Gostomski, Henry K. McCannon, John D. Remick, and Stephen M. Slaggie in November 1967 and is headquartered in Winona, MN.

$. FAST price fluctuates within 1.84% (three month std-dev: 1.38%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 0.73%(67%) Average negative next day return: -0.78%(33%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 1.12%(78%) Average negative next three day return: -1.75%(22%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 1.67%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.71%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141220

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_20_2014	39.58	39.15	39.53	39.61	39.5	39.55	39.96(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	0	11	20	1.72	52%	-0.1	90.8	1.38%	0	1.1	64	INF
2	Nov_19_2014	39.62	39.03	39.51	39.48	39.5	39.42	39.63(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	6	-10	-0	23	1.37	52%	-0.08	83.6	1.38%	0	0.7	70	INF
3	Nov_18_2014	39.65	38.9	39.49	39.47	39.5	39.44	39.33(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	8	-0	-2	36	1.33	54%	-0.1	85.5	1.37%	0	0.5	70	INF
4	Nov_17_2014	39.69	38.81	39.48	39.47	39.45	39.48	39.38(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	0	2	46	1.78	54%	-0.13	82.2	1.4%	0	0.6	63	INF
5	Nov_14_2014	39.74	38.68	39.45	39.49	39.42	39.45	39.73(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	0	3	60	1.25	52%	-0.08	75.5	1.43%	0	1	75	INF

6	Nov_13_2014	39.77	38.51	39.39	39.45	39.41	39.42	39.32(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	16	-0	-2	68	1.34	51%	-0.1	64.7	1.43%	0	0.7	71	INF
7	Nov_12_2014	39.81	38.35	39.3	39.55	39.42	39.38	39.6(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	21	-20	-0	85	1.6	52%	-0.1	51.2	1.44%	0	1	78	INF
8	Nov_11_2014	39.85	38.18	39.16	39.51	39.48	39.39	39.41(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	23	-20	-2	98	1.25	52%	-0.1	34.5	1.44%	0	1	81	INF
9	Nov_10_2014	39.89	38.02	39.07	39.47	39.56	39.45	39.41(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	27	-10	0	108	2.05	52%	-0.1	22.2	1.44%	0	1.1	68	INF
10	Nov_7_2014	39.93	37.87	38.91	39.4	39.48	39.57	39.49(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	20	2	119	2.44	53%	-0.1	6.2	1.45%	0	1.3	75	INF

11	Nov_6_2014	39.97	37.76	38.75	39.31	39.37	39.67	39.83(1.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	54	60	24	142	1.72	53%	-0.1	-6.2	1.45%	0	1.7	79	INF
12	Nov_5_2014	40.01	37.72	38.51	39.01	39.2	39.38	39.41(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	56	50	27	143	2.59	51%	-0.1	-15.1	1.45%	0	1.3	79	INF
13	Nov_4_2014	40.05	37.72	38.25	38.76	38.83	39.07	39.22(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	42	50	12	131	1.14	51%	-0.1	-16.8	1.46%	0	1.2	76	INF
14	Nov_3_2014	40.09	37.74	38.08	38.61	38.6	39.02	39.03(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	58	80	29	145	1.1	51%	-0.12	-18.9	1.46%	0	0.9	74	INF
15	Oct_31_2014	40.14	37.79	37.83	38.35	38.38	38.58	39.06(1.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	55	40	29	133	1.6	50%	-0.1	-21.1	1.47%	0	0.9	72	INF

16	Oct_30_2014	40.18	37.84	37.55	38.11	38.03	38.19	38.32(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	33	20	10	102	0.99	48%	-0.17	-24.3	1.45%	0	0.3	55	INF
17	Oct_29_2014	40.25	37.91	37.32	37.93	37.91	38.17	38.15(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	50	24	63	1.24	48%	-0.15	-26.2	1.45%	0	0.2	40	INF
18	Oct_28_2014	40.31	37.96	37.12	37.66	37.72	37.88	38.5(2.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	30	19	2	1.51	48%	-0.15	-34.3	1.45%	0	0.3	36	INF
19	Oct_27_2014	40.37	38	36.88	37.48	37.5	37.64	37.73(-0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-0	30	15	-46	1	46%	-0.15	-38.2	1.43%	0	-0.2	39	INF
20	Oct_24_2014	40.43	38.1	36.74	37.23	37.38	37.56	37.84(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-5	50	26	-99	1.08	46%	-0.15	-42.4	1.43%	0	-0.2	35	INF

21	Oct_23_2014	40.49	38.21	36.69	36.91	37.04	37.36	37.45(1.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-19	70	24	-149	1.29	46%	-0.15	-49.3	1.43%	0	-0.5	34	INF
22	Oct_22_2014	40.55	38.32	36.85	36.61	36.71	37.19	36.81(-1.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-22	100	30	-177	1.62	44%	-0.15	-55.5	1.41%	0	-0.9	32	INF
23	Oct_21_2014	40.61	38.51	37.17	36.47	36.35	36.71	37.55(2.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-18	60	35	-177	2.02	46%	-0.12	-57.9	1.39%	0	-0.6	41	INF
24	Oct_20_2014	40.66	38.63	37.34	36.21	36.04	36.22	36.5(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-47	20	9	-214	1.5	42%	-0.17	-62.9	1.34%	0	-1.2	33	INF
25	Oct_17_2014	40.73	38.82	37.72	36.18	36.07	35.98	36.23(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-63	-30	-11	-220	3.73	41%		-65.5	1.34%	0	-1.5	30	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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