Trading Signals: FAST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 10, 2014

Trading Signals: FAST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Fastenal Co)
FAST latest price $44.3920 (0.08%) ($44.0413 - $44.3920) on Tue. Jun. 10, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.98% (three month average)
RSI   89
Latest Price   $44.3920(0.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAST advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAST advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(56%)    XLI(53%)    IWM(51%)    VT(51%)    QQQ(50%)
Factors Impacting FAST price   FAST will decline at least -0.49% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    TLT(-19%)    SHY(-8%)    IGOV(-6%)    TIP(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.49% (StdDev 0.98%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $43.88(1.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.39(2.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.87(3.55%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   5.9%
Market Cap   $25.462b

Fastenal Co. engages in the provision of fasteners, tools, and supplies which can help in the manufacture of products, build structures, protect personnel, and maintain facilities and equipment. It products include cutting tools & metalworking, fasteners, material handling, storage & packaging power, transmission & motors, tools & equipment, electricals, abrasives, hydraulics & pneumatics, plumbing, lifting & rigging, raw materials, fleet & automotive, welding, office products & furniture, janitorial and lighting. The company was founded by Robert A. Kierlin, Michael M. Gostomski, Henry K. McCannon, John D. Remick, and Stephen M. Slaggie in November 1967 and is headquartered in Winona, MN.

$. FAST price fluctuates within 1.66% (three month std-dev: 0.98%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 13 Average positive next day return: 0.57%(62%) Average negative next day return: -0.38%(38%) Sample size 13 Average positive next three day return: 1.28%(54%) Average negative next three day return: -0.85%(46%) Sample size 13 Average positive next weekly return: 1.59%(54%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.88%(46%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140710

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_10_2014	43.21	42.87	43.39	43.88	43.89	44.21	44.39(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	56	50	32	129	0.8	49%	0.05	50.6	0.98%	0	2.1	89	0
2	Jun_9_2014	43.19	42.79	43.22	43.6	43.66	43.97	44.36(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	59	50	41	112	1.36	49%	0.05	49.7	0.99%	0	2.6	68	0
3	Jun_6_2014	43.17	42.69	43.02	43.34	43.36	43.58	43.8(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	43	40	27	91	1.02	46%	0.02	36.8	0.98%	0	2.2	68	0
4	Jun_5_2014	43.16	42.61	42.86	43.13	43.17	43.36	43.53(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	35	30	22	73	1.23	46%	0	17.8	0.99%	0	2.1	67	0
5	Jun_4_2014	43.16	42.55	42.72	42.99	43.03	43.15	43.31(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	31	20	21	62	1.67	46%	0.02	-5.6	0.99%	0	2	66	0

6	Jun_3_2014	43.15	42.51	42.58	42.83	42.86	42.98	43(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	20	9	43	1.61	46%	-0.02	-29.5	1%	0	1.5	64	0
7	Jun_2_2014	43.16	42.49	42.55	42.77	42.78	42.91	43.05(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	22	20	17	37	1.7	46%	0	-45.3	1.01%	0	1.7	47	0
8	May_30_2014	43.16	42.5	42.47	42.66	42.68	42.74	42.74(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	10	13	27	1.19	46%	-0.02	-47.6	1.01%	0	0.7	55	0
9	May_29_2014	43.17	42.53	42.41	42.55	42.58	42.65	42.83(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	12	10	10	16	0.93	46%	0	-53.2	1.02%	0	0.7	56	0
10	May_28_2014	43.17	42.57	42.35	42.42	42.48	42.63	42.52(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	30	17	4	0.85	46%	-0.05	-49.6	1.03%	0	-0.1	49	0

11	May_27_2014	43.19	42.61	42.31	42.42	42.33	42.5	42.72(0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	6	30	12	-13	0.99	46%	0	-60.7	1.04%	0	0.2	51	0
12	May_23_2014	43.19	42.64	42.34	42.29	42.21	42.33	42.49(0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	5	10	10	-10	0.97	46%	-0.05	-61.4	1.04%	0	-0.3	47	0
13	May_22_2014	43.21	42.67	42.32	42.25	42.22	42.16	42.19(0.06%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-4	-10	4	-28	1.09	46%	-0.05	-64.7	1.05%	0	-0.8	36	0
14	May_21_2014	43.23	42.74	42.33	42.25	42.18	42.09	42.17(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-18	-20	-9	-46	0.96	46%	-0.05	-61.5	1.06%	0	-0.9	35	0
15	May_20_2014	43.25	42.82	42.37	42.26	42.19	42.28	41.91(-1.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-17	10	-3	-60	1.28	46%	-0.07	-57.9	1.07%	0	-1.4	28	0

16	May_19_2014	43.28	42.93	42.37	42.31	42.23	42.27	42.71(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-13	0	4	-65	1.44	51%	-0.02	-59	1.04%	0	-0.4	42	0
17	May_16_2014	43.29	42.97	42.44	42.39	42.25	42.1	42.29(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-30	-9	-73	1.47	51%	-0.07	-53.7	1.04%	0	-1.1	37	0
18	May_15_2014	43.32	43.04	42.54	42.4	42.43	42.18	42.22(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	-40	-12	-71	1.64	51%	-0.05	-58.2	1.06%	0	-1.3	41	0
19	May_14_2014	43.34	43.12	42.65	42.42	42.44	42.41	42.2(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-32	-0	-17	-77	1.25	51%	-0.07	-64.5	1.07%	0	-1.5	34	0
20	May_13_2014	43.37	43.2	42.82	42.49	42.5	42.67	42.14(-2.3%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-12	30	5	-61	2.19	51%	-0.07	-70.1	1.08%	0	-1.8	34	0

21	May_12_2014	43.4	43.29	42.94	42.58	42.52	42.47	43.13(1.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-7	-10	12	-65	1.31	58%	-0.02	-70.1	1.03%	0	-0.3	38	0
22	May_9_2014	43.41	43.31	42.96	42.5	42.47	42.32	42.31(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-45	-30	-28	-94	2.05	52%	-0.07	-82.7	1%	0	-1.8	35	0
23	May_8_2014	43.44	43.41	43.04	42.71	42.68	42.56	42.31(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-36	-20	-20	-84	1.35	52%	-0.07	-79.5	1.01%	0	-2.1	34	0
24	May_7_2014	43.47	43.52	43.19	42.93	42.93	42.62	42.57(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-40	-50	-29	-71	1.18	52%	-0.05	-68.7	1.02%	0	-1.9	36	0
25	May_6_2014	43.49	43.61	43.31	43.2	43.19	42.8	42.59(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-39	-60	-34	-53	1.5	52%		-49.1	1.03%	0	-2.1	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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