Trading Signals: FAST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. May. 16, 2014

Trading Signals: FAST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Fastenal Co)
FAST latest price $42.2877 (0.17%) ($41.5249 - $42.3859) on Fri. May. 16, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.04% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $42.2877(0.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Weekly Trend   FAST declines -1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(56%)    XLI(53%)    IWM(51%)    VT(51%)    QQQ(50%)
Factors Impacting FAST price   FAST will decline at least -0.52% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    SHY(-8%)    IGOV(-6%)    TIP(-5%)    VIXM(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.52% (StdDev 1.04%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $39.75(-6%)
Resistance Level   $42.97
5 Day Moving Average   $42.39(-0.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.44(-0.36%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.97(-1.59%)
To recent high   -5.3%
To recent low   0.4%
Market Cap   $24.255b

Fastenal Co. engages in the provision of fasteners, tools, and supplies which can help in the manufacture of products, build structures, protect personnel, and maintain facilities and equipment. It products include cutting tools & metalworking, fasteners, material handling, storage & packaging power, transmission & motors, tools & equipment, electricals, abrasives, hydraulics & pneumatics, plumbing, lifting & rigging, raw materials, fleet & automotive, welding, office products & furniture, janitorial and lighting. The company was founded by Robert A. Kierlin, Michael M. Gostomski, Henry K. McCannon, John D. Remick, and Stephen M. Slaggie in November 1967 and is headquartered in Winona, MN.

$. FAST price fluctuates within 1.47% (three month std-dev: 1.04%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.59%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.15%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.32%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140616

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_16_2014	43.29	42.97	42.44	42.39	42.25	42.1	42.29(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-30	-9	-73	1.47	51%	-0.07	-53.7	1.04%	0	-1.1	37	INF
2	May_15_2014	43.32	43.04	42.54	42.4	42.43	42.18	42.22(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	-40	-12	-71	1.64	51%	-0.05	-58.2	1.06%	0	-1.3	41	INF
3	May_14_2014	43.34	43.12	42.65	42.42	42.44	42.41	42.2(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-32	-0	-17	-77	1.25	51%	-0.07	-64.5	1.07%	0	-1.5	34	INF
4	May_13_2014	43.37	43.2	42.82	42.49	42.5	42.67	42.14(-2.3%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-12	30	5	-61	2.19	51%	-0.07	-70.1	1.08%	0	-1.8	34	INF
5	May_12_2014	43.4	43.29	42.94	42.58	42.52	42.47	43.13(1.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-7	-10	12	-65	1.31	58%	-0.02	-70.1	1.03%	0	-0.3	38	INF

6	May_9_2014	43.41	43.31	42.96	42.5	42.47	42.32	42.31(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-45	-30	-28	-94	2.05	52%	-0.07	-82.7	1%	0	-1.8	35	NAN
7	May_8_2014	43.44	43.41	43.04	42.71	42.68	42.56	42.31(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-36	-20	-20	-84	1.35	52%	-0.07	-79.5	1.01%	0	-2.1	34	NAN
8	May_7_2014	43.47	43.52	43.19	42.93	42.93	42.62	42.57(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-40	-50	-29	-71	1.18	52%	-0.05	-68.7	1.02%	0	-1.9	36	NAN
9	May_6_2014	43.49	43.61	43.31	43.2	43.19	42.8	42.59(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-39	-60	-34	-53	1.5	52%	-0.05	-49.1	1.03%	0	-2.1	37	NAN
10	May_5_2014	43.51	43.68	43.46	43.35	43.42	43.23	42.72(-1.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-29	-30	-26	-38	1.8	52%	-0.07	-36.5	1.05%	0	-2.3	35	NAN

11	May_2_2014	43.54	43.77	43.56	43.47	43.55	43.58	43.35(-0.16%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-2	10	3	-16	1.61	58%	0	-11.2	1.03%	0	-1.1	49	NAN
12	May_1_2014	43.54	43.84	43.6	43.42	43.49	43.6	43.42(-1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-5	20	3	-27	1.8	58%	-0.02	11.5	1.04%	0	-1	41	NAN
13	Apr_30_2014	43.55	43.87	43.63	43.49	43.42	43.52	43.91(1.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-3	10	6	-29	1.82	63%	0.05	34.4	1.04%	0	0.1	43	NAN
14	Apr_29_2014	43.53	43.85	43.61	43.46	43.5	43.38	43.34(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-16	-20	-6	-46	1.16	58%	-0.02	37.5	1.03%	0	-1.2	37	NAN
15	Apr_28_2014	43.54	43.84	43.67	43.61	43.57	43.32	43.35(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-26	-40	-21	-40	2.08	58%	-0.02	48	1.05%	0	-1.1	44	NAN

16	Apr_25_2014	43.55	43.82	43.69	43.66	43.72	43.63	43.06(-1.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-24	-10	-17	-46	1.18	58%	-0.02	45.5	1.06%	0	-1.6	35	NAN
17	Apr_24_2014	43.56	43.79	43.82	43.8	43.79	43.82	43.8(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-7	0	2	-35	1.17	69%	0	36.4	1.03%	0	0	39	NAN
18	Apr_23_2014	43.56	43.73	43.87	43.79	43.77	43.8	43.75(-0.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-7	0	1	-31	1.29	69%	0.02	24.8	1.05%	0	0	49	NAN
19	Apr_22_2014	43.55	43.69	43.93	43.78	43.82	43.76	44.09(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-3	-10	3	-22	1.8	69%	0.05	16.3	1.05%	0	0.6	57	NAN
20	Apr_21_2014	43.53	43.63	43.91	43.76	43.79	43.73	43.62(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-10	-8	-17	1.57	65%	0.02	11.4	1.06%	0	-0	59	NAN

21	Apr_17_2014	43.52	43.6	44	43.73	43.88	43.88	43.73(-0.06%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	0	-5	10	-7	2	2.43	65%	0	13.9	1.07%	0	0.2	62	NAN
22	Apr_16_2014	43.52	43.58	44.09	43.84	44	43.85	43.75(0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	-10	-10	35	3.08	65%	0.02	0	1.1%	0	0.2	67	NAN
23	Apr_15_2014	43.51	43.57	44.12	43.98	44.1	43.88	43.69(-0.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-3	-30	-23	57	2.57	65%	0.02	0	1.12%	0	0.2	64	NAN
24	Apr_14_2014	43.5	43.58	44.11	44.11	44.33	44.15	43.99(1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	14	-10	-8	79	2.74	65%	0.07	0	1.13%	0	0.6	60	NAN
25	Apr_11_2014	43.47	43.55	44.02	44.1	44.37	44.31	43.5(-1.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	8	10	-16	78	6.79	65%		0	1.14%	0	-0.1	57	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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