Trading Signals: FAST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 24, 2014

Trading Signals: FAST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Fastenal Co)
FAST latest price $43.7958 (0.1%) ($43.5328 - $44.1465) on Thu. Apr. 24, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.03% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $43.7958(0.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Weekly Trend   FAST declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(56%)    XLI(53%)    IWM(51%)    VT(51%)    QQQ(50%)
Factors Impacting FAST price   FAST will decline at least -0.515% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    SHY(-8%)    IGOV(-6%)    TIP(-5%)    UUP(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.515% (StdDev 1.03%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $43.8(-0.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.82(-0.06%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.79(0.01%)
To recent high   -2%
To recent low   3.7%
Market Cap   $25.12b

Fastenal Co. engages in the provision of fasteners, tools, and supplies which can help in the manufacture of products, build structures, protect personnel, and maintain facilities and equipment. It products include cutting tools & metalworking, fasteners, material handling, storage & packaging power, transmission & motors, tools & equipment, electricals, abrasives, hydraulics & pneumatics, plumbing, lifting & rigging, raw materials, fleet & automotive, welding, office products & furniture, janitorial and lighting. The company was founded by Robert A. Kierlin, Michael M. Gostomski, Henry K. McCannon, John D. Remick, and Stephen M. Slaggie in November 1967 and is headquartered in Winona, MN.

$. FAST price fluctuates within 1.32% (three month std-dev: 1.03%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140524

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_24_2014	43.56	43.79	43.82	43.8	43.79	43.82	43.8(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-7	0	2	-35	1.17	69%	0	36.4	1.03%	0	0	39	0
2	Apr_23_2014	43.56	43.73	43.87	43.79	43.77	43.8	43.75(-0.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-7	0	1	-31	1.29	69%	0.02	24.8	1.05%	0	0	49	0
3	Apr_22_2014	43.55	43.69	43.93	43.78	43.82	43.76	44.09(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-3	-10	3	-22	1.8	69%	0.05	16.3	1.05%	0	0.6	57	0
4	Apr_21_2014	43.53	43.63	43.91	43.76	43.79	43.73	43.62(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-10	-8	-17	1.57	65%	0.02	11.4	1.06%	0	-0	59	0
5	Apr_17_2014	43.52	43.6	44	43.73	43.88	43.88	43.73(-0.06%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	0	-5	10	-7	2	2.43	65%	0	13.9	1.07%	0	0.2	62	0

6	Apr_16_2014	43.52	43.58	44.09	43.84	44	43.85	43.75(0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	-10	-10	35	3.08	65%	0.02	0	1.1%	0	0.2	67	0
7	Apr_15_2014	43.51	43.57	44.12	43.98	44.1	43.88	43.69(-0.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-3	-30	-23	57	2.57	65%	0.02	0	1.12%	0	0.2	64	0
8	Apr_14_2014	43.5	43.58	44.11	44.11	44.33	44.15	43.99(1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	14	-10	-8	79	2.74	65%	0.07	0	1.13%	0	0.6	60	0
9	Apr_11_2014	43.47	43.55	44.02	44.1	44.37	44.31	43.5(-1.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	8	10	-16	78	6.79	65%	0	0	1.14%	0	-0.1	57	0
10	Apr_10_2014	43.47	43.5	43.96	44.29	44.35	44.51	44.26(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	23	30	-3	102	3.35	81%	0.09	0	1.09%	0	1	65	0

11	Apr_9_2014	43.43	43.5	43.77	44.38	44.46	44.43	44.44(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	0	16	6	3.24	81%	0.12	0	1.1%	0	59.3	59	0
12	Apr_8_2014	43.38	43.5	43.58	44.28	44.43	44.18	44.36(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-4	-30	-4	-2	2.93	81%	0.14	0	1.14%	0	60.8	56	0
13	Apr_7_2014	43.32	43.5	43.43	44.11	44.34	44.49	43.92(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	3	40	3	1	2	81%	0.09	0	1.16%	0	61.9	47	0
14	Apr_4_2014	43.28	43.5	43.33	43.92	44.17	44.69	44.5(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	42	100	49	20	2.8	100%	0.19	0	1.12%	0	62.7	57	0
15	Apr_3_2014	43.2	43.5	43.15	43.57	43.69	44.19	44.67(1.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	48	90	56	22	2.7	100%	0.26	0	1.15%	0	67.7	68	0

16	Apr_2_2014	43.09	43.5	43	43.08	43.21	43.64	43.95(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	36	80	42	17	2.09	100%	0.14	0	1.13%	0	79.9	50	0
17	Apr_1_2014	43.03	43.5	42.94	42.78	42.82	43.2	43.49(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	23	60	27	11	2.84	100%	0.09	0	1.16%	0	85.3	50	0
18	Mar_31_2014	42.99	43.5	42.98	42.67	42.66	42.77	43.01(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	12	20	14	6	1.44	100%	0	0	1.18%	0	82.7	50	0
19	Mar_28_2014	42.99	43.5	43.02	42.64	42.7	42.45	42.73(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-7	-40	-8	-3	1.47	100%	-0.05	0	1.22%	0	79.1	50	0
20	Mar_27_2014	43.01	43.5	42.99	42.67	42.81	42.56	42.23(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-26	-30	-30	-12	1.81	100%	-0.21	0	1.23%	0	75.4	50	0

21	Mar_26_2014	43.1	43.5	42.99	42.9	43.06	42.94	42.44(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-14	-10	-16	-6	3.24	100%	-0.19	0	1.29%	0	81.6	50	0
22	Mar_25_2014	43.18	43.5	42.99	43.12	43.18	43.07	42.95(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-14	-10	-16	-6	2.26	100%	-0.09	0	1.29%	0	87.7	50	0
23	Mar_24_2014	43.22	43.5	42.99	43.33	43.35	43.18	42.86(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-10	-30	-12	-5	2	100%	-0.12	0	1.39%	0	82.4	50	0
24	Mar_21_2014	43.27	43.5	42.99	43.46	43.52	43.3	42.86(-1.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-3	-30	-3	-1	4.21	100%	-0.21	0	1.52%	0	79.4	50	0
25	Mar_20_2014	43.36	43.5	42.99	43.36	43.48	43.51	43.37(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	281	10	331	132	1.11	100%		0	1.5%	0	78.9	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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