Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FAS: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Oct. 18, 2021

Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X ETF)
FAS latest price $135.4100 (0.14%) ($133.4300 - $137.4500) on Mon. Oct. 18, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.26% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $135.4100(0.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAS advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAS advances 4.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from value to growth for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(93%)    IVE(91%)    DIA(90%)    SPY(87%)    SDY(86%)
Factors Impacting FAS price   FAS will decline at least -1.63% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-46%)    UUP(-29%)    VXX(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.63% (StdDev 3.26%)
Hourly BBV 0.5 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $129.91(4.23%)
10 Day Moving Average   $128.39(5.47%)
20 Day Moving Average   $123.11(9.99%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   42.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. FAS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. FAS price fluctuates within 6.05% (three month std-dev: 3.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 2.83%(46%) Average negative next day return: -2%(54%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 5.64%(42%) Average negative next three day return: -5.72%(58%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 6.38%(52%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.62%(48%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_18_2021	115.95	123.11	128.39	129.91	130.33	134.89	135.41(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	92	250	85	114	1.24	66%	0.12	43.3	3.26%	0.5	1.7	66	2.1
2	Oct_15_2021	115.81	122.13	126.65	128.05	127.95	131.34	135.22(4.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	100	180	102	95	2.94	63%	0.13	38.8	3.3%	1.4	1.9	57	2
3	Oct_14_2021	115.66	121.23	125.14	126.95	126.54	125.77	129.96(5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	-50	20	54	1.96	61%	0.11	37.7	3.27%	1.6	1.4	58	1.9
4	Oct_13_2021	115.53	120.64	123.74	126.46	126.64	124.56	123.77(-1.14%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-36	-110	-56	26	2.09	57%	0.07	38.3	3.22%	-0.8	0.5	63	1.5
5	Oct_12_2021	115.45	120.24	123.49	126.7	127.9	127.3	125.2(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	7	-0	-13	65	1.7	57%	0.05	36.8	3.25%	-1.3	0.8	68	1.4

6	Oct_11_2021	115.39	119.97	123.02	126.5	127.06	128.72	126.09(-2.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	45	100	27	98	2	57%	0.07	35.6	3.27%	-1.6	1	68	1.3
7	Oct_8_2021	115.31	119.49	122.98	124.85	125.38	128.49	129.73(1.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	84	190	74	115	1.98	57%	0.12	22.9	3.39%	0.8	1.8	61	1.9
8	Oct_7_2021	115.17	118.91	122.11	123.03	123.19	125.4	127.52(2.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	85	130	78	106	2.75	57%	0.11	13.2	3.48%	0.8	1.7	57	1.4
9	Oct_6_2021	115.04	118.41	120.62	120.65	120.75	122.26	124.97(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	37	90	29	60	2.31	55%	0.07	-5.3	3.48%	0.9	1.4	55	0.7
10	Oct_5_2021	114.96	118.09	118.96	119.87	119.96	120.98	124.2(5.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	34	60	31	44	2.01	55%	0.02	-15.2	3.53%	1.5	1.4	58	0.5

11	Oct_4_2021	114.94	117.93	117.42	119.12	119.66	119.23	117.82(-2.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-8	-10	-12	6	2.11	52%	-0.03	-27.8	3.5%	-0.5	-0	48	-0.2
12	Oct_1_2021	114.97	118.19	117.29	120.84	120.59	118.94	120.65(4.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-21	-100	-32	12	2.16	52%	0.03	-17.6	3.48%	1.1	0.5	54	-0
13	Sep_30_2021	114.93	118.24	117.01	121.07	122.29	120.08	115.6(-4.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-21	-100	-32	13	1.82	50%	0.05	-19.6	3.46%	-1.8	-0.6	48	-0.8
14	Sep_29_2021	114.87	118.66	117.34	120.4	122.69	122.24	121.1(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	30	-0	22	1.05	52%	0.05	-21.8	3.41%	-0.4	0.5	53	-1.1
15	Sep_28_2021	114.81	118.78	116.78	117.72	120.47	124.49	120.41(-4.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	53	300	64	20	2.19	52%	0	-32.2	3.41%	-0	0.3	51	-1.1

16	Sep_27_2021	114.81	119.16	116.7	115.32	116.78	123.15	126.44(3.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	121	420	150	32	2.14	55%	0.04	-33.9	3.37%	1.3	1.5	53	1.3
17	Sep_24_2021	114.76	118.99	115.62	113.34	112.29	116.45	121.8(8.5%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.6	72	230	101	-14	1.83	57%	0.02	-34.3	3.37%	0	0.5	47	1.8
18	Sep_22_2021	114.74	119.15	115.27	112.65	111.47	110.41	112.26(4.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-8	-100	11	-64	1.63	53%	0	-29.6	3.2%	1.3	-1.3	37	-0.6
19	Sep_21_2021	114.74	119.68	115.91	114.01	113.26	108.13	107.67(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-101	-340	-99	-106	1.26	54%	-0.02	-23	3.16%	-0.2	-2.3	27	-2.3
20	Sep_20_2021	114.76	120.36	117.16	115.63	115.46	112.53	108.41(-7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-124	-180	-128	-110	3.83	54%	0	-22	3.27%	-1.5	-2.7	28	-1.6

21	Sep_17_2021	114.76	120.87	118.59	118.04	118.24	112.53	116.57(-1.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-16	10	-5	-50	1.24	49%	0.05	-19	3.28%	-1.6	-1.2	29	0.2
22	Sep_16_2021	114.7	120.81	119.27	118.09	118.24	118.4	118.36(-0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-9	-0	3	-46	1.31	49%	0.1	-33.8	3.46%	0.9	-0.7	42	1.3
23	Sep_15_2021	114.58	120.79	119.65	118.3	118.78	118.09	119.03(2.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-30	-30	-20	-59	0.99	49%	0.12	-43.4	3.46%	0.8	-0.5	40	1.3
24	Sep_14_2021	114.44	120.9	120.14	118.21	119.3	119.17	115.77(-3.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-20	20	-8	-54	2.62	48%	0.11	-46.9	3.44%	-1.9	-1.4	43	0.7
25	Sep_13_2021	114.31	121.33	121.02	118.94	119.27	119.48	120.48(3.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-14	20	-4	-42	1.49	49%		-37.6	3.43%	0.1	-0.2	53	0.9
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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