Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 25, 2018

Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X ETF)
FAS latest price $79.3510 (-0.25%) ($78.6286 - $80.2020) on Thu. Jan. 25, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.4% (three month average)
RSI   91
Latest Price   $79.3510(-0.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAS advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAS advances 5.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(95%)    IVE(94%)    XLF(91%)    SDY(90%)    IWN(89%)
Factors Impacting FAS price   FAS will decline at least -0.7% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    VIXM(-22%)    UUP(-21%)    IGOV(-6%)    GDXJ(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.7% (StdDev 1.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

5 Day Moving Average   $78.32(1.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $76.23(4.09%)
20 Day Moving Average   $72.88(8.88%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   35.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0%

$. FAS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0% a day on average for holding it.$. FAS price fluctuates within 5.42% (three month std-dev: 1.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 1.42%(44%) Average negative next day return: -1.73%(56%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 3.76%(28%) Average negative next three day return: -2.33%(72%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 3.3%(42%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.1%(58%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180225

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_25_2018	62.05	72.88	76.23	78.32	78.48	79.45	79.35(-0.25%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.3	115	90	66	260	1.94	83%	0.52	74.2	1.4%	0	1.6	91	137.4
2	Jan_24_2018	61.73	72.27	75.48	77.36	77.45	78.71	79.55(1.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	127	120	83	260	2.67	83%	0.52	68.3	1.41%	0	1.9	93	-1.4
3	Jan_23_2018	61.41	71.65	74.62	76.47	76.34	77.5	78.65(0.88%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	130	100	87	260	2.59	83%	0.29	67	1.41%	0	2	93	0.1
4	Jan_22_2018	61.23	71.09	73.77	75.39	75.37	76.19	77.97(2.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	108	80	66	235	2	83%	0.48	67.5	1.42%	0	2.1	89	0.9
5	Jan_19_2018	60.94	70.51	72.98	74.55	74.7	75.18	76.09(2.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	89	50	47	214	1.61	83%	0.45	68.1	1.42%	0	1.9	80	1

6	Jan_18_2018	60.67	70.06	72.28	73.84	74.15	74.55	74.54(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	78	50	36	202	1.47	82%	0.43	65.8	1.4%	0	1.7	80	-INF
7	Jan_17_2018	60.41	69.76	71.66	73.28	73.52	74.22	75.09(2.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	85	80	48	197	2.22	82%	0.43	67	1.4%	0	2.1	83	INF
8	Jan_16_2018	60.15	69.36	70.87	72.47	72.81	73.75	73.29(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	91	100	62	177	2.71	81%	0.59	67.4	1.39%	0	1.8	78	INF
9	Jan_12_2018	59.8	68.98	70.31	71.88	72.03	72.81	73.73(1.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	90	80	66	163	2.23	81%	0.42	66.5	1.37%	0	2.4	80	INF
10	Jan_11_2018	59.55	68.61	69.76	71.17	71.23	71.87	72.56(1.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	74	70	50	144	1.88	80%	0.39	67.1	1.38%	0	2.3	80	INF

11	Jan_10_2018	59.32	68.38	69.26	70.49	70.62	71.25	71.74(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	68	70	50	123	2.34	80%	0.37	73.7	1.38%	0	2.2	71	INF
12	Jan_9_2018	59.1	68.12	68.81	69.77	70.1	70.59	71.04(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	65	60	56	93	1.66	80%	0.39	73.8	1.38%	0	2.2	58	INF
13	Jan_8_2018	58.87	67.91	68.45	69.01	69.26	69.99	70.31(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	44	80	38	61	1.49	80%	0.38	73.5	1.38%	0	2.1	62	INF
14	Jan_5_2018	58.65	67.7	68.18	68.48	68.66	69.61	70.2(1.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	57	100	55	61	1.76	82%	0.38	74.7	1.38%	0	2.5	68	INF
15	Jan_4_2018	58.43	67.45	67.83	68.15	68.25	68.52	69.19(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	42	30	41	44	2.63	81%	0.31	82.2	1.41%	0	2	60	INF

16	Jan_3_2018	58.25	67.27	67.65	67.85	67.97	67.71	68.14(1.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-1	-20	-5	10	1.27	80%	0.31	86.6	1.4%	0	1	48	INF
17	Jan_2_2018	58.07	67.18	67.71	67.7	67.92	67.97	67.23(-0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-4	10	-10	15	1.65	81%	0.43	111.1	1.4%	0	0.1	52	INF
18	Dec_29_2017	57.82	67.09	67.74	67.79	67.87	68.23	67.66(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	40	16	32	0.99	81%	0.33	132.9	1.41%	0	0.5	53	INF
19	Dec_28_2017	57.63	66.97	67.58	67.81	67.7	67.86	68.54(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	25	10	22	34	0.63	81%	0.3	150.6	1.39%	0	1.4	60	INF
20	Dec_27_2017	57.46	66.74	67.38	67.46	67.61	67.5	67.67(0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	4	-0	-1	20	0.65	82%	0.26	144	1.39%	0	0.8	60	INF

21	Dec_26_2017	57.31	66.5	67.45	67.43	67.64	67.53	67.39(-0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-6	-0	-18	30	0.88	82%	0.35	126.6	1.42%	0	0.6	59	INF
22	Dec_22_2017	57.11	66.12	67.41	67.73	67.89	67.72	67.66(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	5	-10	-9	48	0.99	82%	0.28	81.7	1.41%	0	0.6	55	INF
23	Dec_21_2017	56.95	65.74	67.35	67.7	68.27	67.75	67.76(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	16	-30	0	62	1.13	82%	0.26	82.5	1.41%	0	0.8	59	INF
24	Dec_20_2017	56.8	65.34	67.19	67.3	68.13	68.06	66.79(-1.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	30	-19	48	1.3	82%	0.25	72.5	1.4%	0	0.5	58	INF
25	Dec_19_2017	56.66	65.02	67.07	67.27	67.84	68.78	67.54(-1.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	120	21	73	1.31	82%		70.6	1.4%	0	0.8	65	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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