Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 7, 2017

Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X ETF)
FAS latest price $66.0828 (1.1%) ($64.6511 - $66.6258) on Thu. Dec. 7, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.35% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $66.0828(1.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAS advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAS advances 5.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(95%)    IVE(94%)    XLF(91%)    SDY(90%)    IWN(89%)
Factors Impacting FAS price   FAS will decline at least -0.675% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    VIXM(-22%)    UUP(-21%)    IGOV(-6%)    GDXJ(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.675% (StdDev 1.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $65.72(0.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $64.01(3.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $61.61(7.26%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   40.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0%

$. FAS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0% a day on average for holding it.$. FAS price fluctuates within 4.9% (three month std-dev: 1.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 3.57%(30%) Average negative next day return: -1.63%(70%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 3.93%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -3.4%(50%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 2.84%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.94%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180107

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_7_2017	55.34	61.61	64.01	65.72	66.14	65.44	66.08(1.1%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	58	-50	-1	236	0.91	87%	0.29	49.8	1.35%	0	1.5	80	0
2	Dec_6_2017	55.18	61.25	63.36	65.52	66.14	65.76	65.36(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	31	0	-32	220	1.14	87%	0.27	50.1	1.4%	0	1.4	80	0
3	Dec_5_2017	55.03	60.95	62.83	65.23	65.87	66.84	65.48(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	109	130	58	260	1.71	76%	0.29	50.6	1.4%	0	1.7	78	0
4	Dec_4_2017	54.87	60.71	62.21	64.61	65.26	65.98	66.38(1.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	132	110	96	239	2.59	76%	0.29	51	1.54%	0	2.3	83	0
5	Dec_1_2017	54.71	60.39	61.42	63.18	63.63	64.9	65.31(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	89	160	60	176	2.35	75%	0.27	42.2	1.55%	0	2.3	83	0

6	Nov_30_2017	54.56	60.15	60.77	62.02	62.39	64.54	65.06(1.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.7	134	260	123	165	2.71	75%	0.29	34.4	1.53%	0	2.8	79	0
7	Nov_29_2017	54.4	59.86	60.09	60.88	60.98	62.36	63.92(2.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	107	160	105	114	2.23	74%	0.28	22.9	1.53%	0	3	72	0
8	Nov_28_2017	54.25	59.62	59.55	60.11	60	60.24	62.36(5.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	44	20	40	56	2.49	72%	0.24	7.9	1.52%	0	2.8	64	0
9	Nov_27_2017	54.12	59.47	59.17	59.49	59.74	59.6	59.25(-0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	0	-0	-1	4	0.79	67%	0.19	-10.2	1.4%	0	-0.3	34	0
10	Nov_24_2017	54.02	59.52	59.1	59.38	59.64	59.76	59.5(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-1	30	3	-13	0.23	67%	0.26	-11.6	1.4%	0	-0	40	0

11	Nov_22_2017	53.88	59.54	59.02	59.29	59.39	59.88	59.38(-1.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	9	60	20	-26	0.83	70%	0.11	-3.9	1.39%	0	-0.2	36	0
12	Nov_21_2017	53.82	59.55	59.01	59.13	59.24	59.52	60.08(1.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	21	40	38	-29	0.92	70%	0.19	-1.6	1.4%	0	0.7	51	0
13	Nov_20_2017	53.72	59.54	58.94	58.89	58.81	58.89	59.26(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-11	10	3	-54	0.71	70%	0.19	4.7	1.39%	0	-0.4	48	0
14	Nov_17_2017	53.62	59.55	59.11	58.81	58.64	58.96	58.68(-0.65%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-3	30	11	-46	0.6	61%	0.19	8.6	1.39%	0	-1.1	43	0
15	Nov_16_2017	53.52	59.6	59.3	58.77	58.55	58.73	59.06(0.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	10	18	-38	1.04	61%	0.19	18.8	1.51%	0	-0.7	42	0

16	Nov_15_2017	53.42	59.57	59.49	58.72	58.4	58.32	58.59(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-16	-30	-6	-45	1.15	61%	0.23	18.9	1.51%	0	-1.2	40	0
17	Nov_14_2017	53.3	59.56	59.62	58.85	58.44	58.38	58.87(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-19	-30	-11	-41	0.74	65%	0.23	20.5	1.51%	0	-0.7	47	0
18	Nov_13_2017	53.18	59.51	59.71	59.01	58.65	58.48	58.84(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-40	-20	-40	0.66	65%	0.25	20.9	1.58%	0	-0.7	43	0
19	Nov_10_2017	53.05	59.48	59.8	59.47	59.18	58.5	58.49(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-28	-100	-29	-26	0.92	58%	0.25	35.3	1.59%	0	-1	47	0
20	Nov_9_2017	52.92	59.46	59.99	59.91	59.73	58.81	58.8(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-41	-120	-49	-16	2.01	58%	0.21	44.5	1.7%	0	-0.6	46	0

21	Nov_8_2017	52.81	59.41	60.14	60.38	60.28	59.85	59.27(-0.65%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1	-19	-50	-31	17	1.16	58%	0.23	55.7	1.69%	0	-0.1	59	0
22	Nov_7_2017	52.69	59.37	60.17	60.49	60.58	60.65	59.66(-2.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	10	10	0	41	1.71	58%	0.21	65.1	1.7%	0	0.3	62	0
23	Nov_6_2017	52.58	59.3	60.22	60.47	60.48	60.72	61.15(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	30	17	64	0.99	62%	0.27	68.5	1.66%	0	1.6	75	0
24	Nov_3_2017	52.44	59.12	60.03	60.19	60.18	60.51	60.7(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	25	40	13	60	1.56	62%	0.25	70.7	1.67%	0	1.4	66	0
25	Nov_2_2017	52.31	58.98	59.93	60.1	59.98	60.25	61.11(2.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	31	30	18	71	1.45	62%		83.9	1.67%	0	2	71	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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