Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 11, 2017

Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X ETF)
FAS latest price $58.3223 (0.17%) ($57.7496 - $58.3914) on Wed. Oct. 11, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.67% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $58.3223(0.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAS advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAS advances 4.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(95%)    IVE(94%)    XLF(91%)    SDY(90%)    IWN(89%)
Factors Impacting FAS price   FAS will decline at least -0.835% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    VIXM(-22%)    UUP(-21%)    IGOV(-7%)    GDXJ(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.835% (StdDev 1.67%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $57.99(0.57%)
10 Day Moving Average   $57.01(2.3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $54.95(6.14%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   24%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0%

$. FAS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0% a day on average for holding it.$. FAS price fluctuates within 4.57% (three month std-dev: 1.67%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 12 Average positive next day return: 1.93%(33%) Average negative next day return: -1.17%(67%) Sample size 12 Average positive next three day return: 4.48%(42%) Average negative next three day return: -1.65%(58%) Sample size 12 Average positive next weekly return: 3.37%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.74%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171111

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_11_2017	50.06	54.95	57.01	57.99	58	58.08	58.32(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	51	10	16	156	1.24	62%	0.3	89.9	1.67%	0	1.3	81	0
2	Oct_10_2017	49.91	54.58	56.61	57.62	57.78	57.95	58.22(1.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	48	30	14	151	1.48	62%	0.32	92.5	1.68%	0	1.5	82	0
3	Oct_9_2017	49.75	54.21	56.1	57.32	57.39	57.92	57.54(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	53	70	21	149	1.36	62%	0.3	96.1	1.67%	0	1.3	82	0
4	Oct_6_2017	49.6	53.83	55.65	57.07	57.05	57.61	57.91(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	72	70	43	158	1.27	58%	0.34	86.3	1.68%	0	1.5	87	0
5	Oct_5_2017	49.43	53.33	55.19	56.54	56.52	56.87	57.98(2.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	64	40	35	149	1.83	58%	0.35	73.6	1.73%	0	1.7	90	0

6	Oct_4_2017	49.26	52.78	54.73	55.88	55.93	56.49	56.44(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	57	70	28	145	1.28	55%	0.26	64.3	1.7%	0	1.4	88	0
7	Oct_3_2017	49.13	52.38	54.4	55.44	55.42	56.16	56.74(0.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	76	90	50	155	1.4	58%	0.27	58.4	1.71%	0	1.6	89	0
8	Oct_2_2017	49	51.93	53.98	54.68	54.84	55.36	56.28(1.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	69	80	46	137	1.8	58%	0.27	50.5	1.74%	0	1.7	87	0
9	Sep_29_2017	48.87	51.62	53.54	54.01	54.15	54.68	55.26(1.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	50	80	26	120	1.33	56%	0.25	47.7	1.73%	0	1.5	88	0
10	Sep_28_2017	48.75	51.35	53.12	53.64	53.67	54.33	54.7(0.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	56	90	31	132	1.23	60%	0.23	47	1.73%	0	1.5	91	0

11	Sep_27_2017	48.64	51.1	52.72	53.41	53.36	53.62	54.23(2.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	55	30	25	143	2.15	60%	0.23	46.9	1.78%	0	1.5	91	0
12	Sep_26_2017	48.53	50.84	52.38	53.21	53.16	53.01	52.91(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	36	-20	-1	148	1.08	57%	0.19	45.5	1.76%	0	1.1	76	0
13	Sep_25_2017	48.44	50.67	52.19	53.16	53.14	53.09	52.96(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	42	-10	0	168	1.54	57%	0.17	48.5	1.77%	0	1.2	77	0
14	Sep_22_2017	48.36	50.52	51.9	52.97	53.01	53.3	53.39(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	57	40	19	170	1.11	57%	0.19	51.6	1.77%	0	1.6	61	0
15	Sep_21_2017	48.27	50.33	51.35	52.5	52.65	53.19	53.54(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	65	80	37	147	1.24	57%	0.21	50.6	1.78%	0	1.9	63	0

16	Sep_20_2017	48.17	50.14	50.72	51.92	51.99	52.73	53.27(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	56	100	38	110	2.3	57%	0.19	42	1.79%	0	2	63	0
17	Sep_19_2017	48.08	49.96	50.2	51.43	51.41	52.11	52.66(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	51	90	39	88	1.58	59%	0.19	33.3	1.8%	0	2	64	0
18	Sep_18_2017	47.99	49.76	49.72	51.09	50.97	51.24	52.01(1.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	37	30	29	61	1.84	59%	0.17	21	1.82%	0	1.9	59	0
19	Sep_15_2017	47.91	49.59	49.53	50.67	50.67	50.71	51.01(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	10	20	44	1.3	58%	0.15	11.6	1.8%	0	1.3	52	0
20	Sep_14_2017	47.84	49.49	49.42	50.01	50.37	50.7	50.67(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	70	32	25	1.08	58%	0.1	-7.9	1.8%	0	1.1	53	0

21	Sep_13_2017	47.79	49.5	49.32	49.28	49.53	50.63	50.82(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.4	31	170	41	1	1.42	58%	0.13	-28.6	1.8%	0	1.2	53	0
22	Sep_12_2017	47.73	49.51	49.14	48.77	48.77	50.04	50.94(2.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	48	180	68	-12	1.86	58%	0.15	-43.5	1.81%	0	1.2	53	0
23	Sep_11_2017	47.66	49.5	48.99	48.17	48.22	48.42	49.93(4.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	8	30	26	-48	2.26	56%	0.17	-64.1	1.8%	0	0.4	56	0
24	Sep_8_2017	47.58	49.46	49	48.28	48.03	47.5	47.69(1.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-45	-90	-39	-63	1.8	57%	0.08	-75.7	1.76%	0	-1.5	46	0
25	Sep_7_2017	47.54	49.57	49.23	48.76	48.83	48.01	47.05(-2.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-40	-110	-40	-40	2.32	57%		-79.4	1.77%	0	-2.3	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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