Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 24, 2017

Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X ETF)
FAS latest price $50.7790 (0.9%) ($50.2409 - $50.9320) on Mon. Jul. 24, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.65% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $50.7790(0.9%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAS advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAS advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(95%)    IVE(94%)    XLF(91%)    SDY(90%)    IWN(89%)
Factors Impacting FAS price   FAS will decline at least -0.825% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    VIXM(-22%)    UUP(-20%)    IGOV(-7%)    GDXJ(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.825% (StdDev 1.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $50.33(0.89%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.07(1.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.53(2.52%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   23.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0%

$. FAS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0% a day on average for holding it.$. FAS price fluctuates within 2.12% (three month std-dev: 1.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 15 Average positive next day return: 0.7%(53%) Average negative next day return: -1.34%(47%) Sample size 15 Average positive next three day return: 1.56%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -1.17%(60%) Sample size 15 Average positive next weekly return: 2.5%(47%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.06%(53%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170824

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_24_2017	45.52	49.53	50.07	50.33	50.33	50.36	50.78(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	0	10	27	1.44	69%	0.04	75.5	1.65%	0	1.2	53	0
2	Jul_21_2017	45.5	49.3	49.95	50.17	50.11	50.36	50.32(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	7	20	2	22	1.34	69%	0.04	55.2	1.71%	0	0.8	62	0
3	Jul_20_2017	45.48	49.11	49.89	50.13	50.05	50.3	50.31(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	30	14	30	1.84	72%	0.02	44.8	1.74%	0	0.9	60	0
4	Jul_19_2017	45.47	48.95	49.75	50.12	49.86	49.92	50.35(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	-10	8	28	1.51	72%	0.07	40.3	1.79%	0	1	62	0
5	Jul_18_2017	45.44	48.82	49.73	49.96	49.8	49.79	49.9(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	15	-10	6	43	2.47	72%	0.04	37.8	1.79%	0	0.8	69	0

6	Jul_17_2017	45.42	48.75	49.76	49.76	49.69	49.8	49.98(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	10	5	57	1.7	74%	0.07	40.1	1.8%	0	0.9	71	0
7	Jul_14_2017	45.39	48.63	49.65	49.68	49.47	49.81	50.12(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	40	8	70	2.56	74%	0.07	41.7	1.87%	0	1.1	74	0
8	Jul_13_2017	45.36	48.5	49.53	49.6	49.46	49.59	50.27(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	10	20	89	1.92	70%	0.07	50.7	1.88%	0	1.4	73	0
9	Jul_12_2017	45.33	48.38	49.38	49.32	49.37	49.13	49.53(1.25%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	12	-30	-10	78	1.75	67%	0.04	61.3	1.92%	0	0.9	65	0
10	Jul_11_2017	45.31	48.3	49.14	49.49	49.45	49.33	48.92(-1.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	6	-20	-18	78	2.08	67%	0.09	84.1	1.94%	0	0.5	57	0

11	Jul_10_2017	45.27	48.21	48.96	49.76	49.79	49.61	49.53(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	24	-20	3	88	1.9	67%	0.07	103.2	1.93%	0	1.1	54	0
12	Jul_7_2017	45.24	48.08	48.63	49.61	49.87	49.56	49.74(1.76%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	14	-30	-5	72	2.08	67%	0.07	112.7	1.93%	0	1.4	60	0
13	Jul_6_2017	45.21	47.85	48.3	49.44	49.76	49.97	48.88(-2.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	11	50	-5	60	3.25	67%	0.07	107.4	1.92%	0	0.8	56	0
14	Jul_5_2017	45.18	47.64	48.11	49.41	49.8	50.18	50.34(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	48	80	40	73	2.83	71%	0.11	99.4	1.89%	0	1.8	61	0
15	Jul_3_2017	45.13	47.3	47.83	48.74	49.26	49.54	50.3(3.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	33	70	29	43	2.89	71%	0.16	76.5	1.89%	0	1.8	62	0

16	Jun_30_2017	45.06	46.98	47.62	48.04	48.58	49.42	48.76(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	150	34	29	3.21	71%	0.13	66.4	1.85%	0	1.1	60	0
17	Jun_29_2017	45	46.75	47.5	47.51	47.99	48.97	48.9(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	49	170	58	23	6.44	71%	0.16	55.7	1.88%	0	1.3	62	0
18	Jun_28_2017	44.93	46.51	47.36	46.99	47.15	47.74	48.75(3.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	29	100	35	10	3.29	73%	0.16	45.2	1.88%	0	1.3	70	0
19	Jun_27_2017	44.86	46.22	47.27	46.64	46.71	47	47(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	8	50	8	8	2.98	71%	0.11	37.5	1.87%	0	0.4	69	0
20	Jun_26_2017	44.81	46.04	47.35	46.79	46.73	46.56	46.81(1.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	1	-30	-10	34	2.04	71%	0.09	40.8	1.88%	0	0.4	72	0

21	Jun_23_2017	44.77	45.91	47.39	47.16	47.08	46.42	46.08(-0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-6	-100	-28	62	1.82	71%	0.11	50.9	1.87%	0	0.1	65	0
22	Jun_22_2017	44.72	45.83	47.5	47.47	47.6	46.9	46.34(-1.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-1	-90	-33	94	2.03	71%	0.13	62.7	1.87%	0	0.3	67	0
23	Jun_21_2017	44.66	45.72	47.42	47.75	47.91	47.73	46.96(-1.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	15	-20	-21	121	2.28	62%	0.13	73.7	1.86%	0	0.6	70	0
24	Jun_20_2017	44.6	45.56	47.19	47.97	47.93	48.3	47.75(-1.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	41	50	7	141	1.87	60%	0.16	76.4	2.05%	0	1.1	80	0
25	Jun_19_2017	44.53	45.31	46.79	47.99	47.8	48.09	48.66(2.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	55	30	22	153	3.49	60%		74.9	2.05%	0	1.7	80	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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