Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 8, 2016

Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X ETF)
FAS latest price $41.7152 (2.47%) ($40.6489 - $42.2878) on Thu. Dec. 8, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.5% (three month average)
RSI   83
Latest Price   $41.7152(2.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAS advances 2.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAS advances 4.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(95%)    IVE(94%)    XLF(91%)    SDY(90%)    IWN(89%)
Factors Impacting FAS price   FAS will decline at least -1.25% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    VIXM(-23%)    UUP(-18%)    IGOV(-8%)    IPO(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.25% (StdDev 2.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.18(6.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.91(10.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.57(14.07%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   52.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. FAS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. FAS price fluctuates within 5.55% (three month std-dev: 2.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170108

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_8_2016	30.35	36.57	37.91	39.18	39.33	40.6	41.72(2.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	83	240	63	141	7.87	59%	0.46	132.1	2.5%	0	2.5	83	0
2	Dec_7_2016	30.21	36.06	37.36	38.27	38.16	39.1	40.71(4.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	64	160	47	116	5.71	59%	0.43	135.3	2.49%	0	2.4	84	0
3	Dec_6_2016	30.08	35.5	36.87	37.44	37.49	38.05	38.8(2.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	49	110	35	90	3.4	57%	0.4	116.3	2.43%	0	1.6	71	0
4	Dec_5_2016	29.96	35.03	36.56	36.88	37.06	37.23	37.95(3.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	34	50	22	69	3.82	57%	0.33	98.1	2.42%	0	1.2	67	0
5	Dec_2_2016	29.86	34.52	36.31	36.88	36.63	36.92	36.7(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	70	3	58	2.91	54%	0.34	76.8	2.41%	0	0.8	72	0

6	Dec_1_2016	29.76	34.08	36.17	36.44	36.45	36.9	37.18(1.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	32	90	16	78	3.88	54%	0.34	67.5	2.4%	0	1	77	0
7	Nov_30_2016	29.66	33.61	35.9	36.29	36.33	36.35	36.54(1.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	32	10	11	93	3.6	54%	0.34	60.4	2.38%	0	0.9	81	0
8	Nov_29_2016	29.56	33.2	35.77	36.22	36.19	35.99	36.02(0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	27	-40	-6	125	2.53	54%	0.34	57.3	2.39%	0	0.8	85	0
9	Nov_28_2016	29.46	32.85	35.69	36.18	36.22	36.31	35.74(-2.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	43	20	0	172	3.05	54%	0.37	56.7	2.4%	0	0.8	85	0
10	Nov_25_2016	29.35	32.51	35.5	36.13	36.16	36.39	36.71(0.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	70	50	16	231	1.12	57%	0.58	56.2	2.38%	0	1.2	93	0

11	Nov_23_2016	29.18	32.1	35.17	35.85	35.87	36.13	36.46(0.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	82	50	18	273	3.53	57%	0.45	55.7	2.36%	0	1.3	92	0
12	Nov_22_2016	29.05	31.73	34.68	35.44	35.56	35.93	36.15(0.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	86	80	16	294	2.89	57%	0.24	54.8	2.36%	0	1.4	91	0
13	Nov_21_2016	28.98	31.36	34.04	35.26	35.14	35.62	35.82(0.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	87	90	14	307	3.63	57%	0.38	57.3	2.36%	0	1.5	83	0
14	Nov_18_2016	28.87	31.02	33.4	35.15	34.92	35.2	35.53(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	97	40	23	320	2.97	57%	0.38	62.4	2.36%	0	1.5	77	0
15	Nov_17_2016	28.76	30.68	32.6	34.77	34.74	34.67	35.3(2.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	87	-20	16	300	3.72	57%	0.38	64.4	2.36%	0	1.7	77	0

16	Nov_16_2016	28.65	30.34	31.84	34.37	34.3	34.64	34.42(-2.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	84	60	17	283	3.68	55%	0.42	67.5	2.35%	0	1.6	75	0
17	Nov_15_2016	28.53	30.06	31.15	33.77	33.91	34.8	35.21(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	114	200	62	268	5.12	55%	0.49	66.5	2.33%	0	2.2	76	0
18	Nov_14_2016	28.39	29.7	30.43	32.61	32.86	33.97	35.3(4.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	108	260	73	212	8.07	55%	0.42	60.1	2.33%	0	2.7	76	0
19	Nov_11_2016	28.27	29.31	29.75	31.37	31.46	33.01	33.62(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	99	350	80	157	5.84	51%	0.25	51.4	2.26%	0	2.7	71	0
20	Nov_10_2016	28.2	29.02	29.22	30.11	30.37	31.74	33.29(5.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	94	340	94	95	11.23	51%	0.28	34.6	2.26%	0	3.3	71	0

21	Nov_9_2016	28.12	28.73	28.73	28.94	29.03	29.91	31.43(6.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.9	48	220	57	20	11.12	45%	0.21	10.2	2.16%	0	3.1	65	0
22	Nov_8_2016	28.06	28.57	28.47	28.16	28.27	29	29.39(0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	18	190	35	-35	3.57	37%	0.14	-22.1	1.99%	0	1.3	52	0
23	Nov_7_2016	28.02	28.51	28.47	27.94	27.91	28.15	29.13(6.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	0	60	17	-50	3.96	37%	0.14	-33.8	1.99%	0	1	56	0
24	Nov_4_2016	27.98	28.5	28.42	27.91	27.85	27.54	27.31(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-29	-80	-20	-57	2.55	34%	0.07	-29.5	1.91%	0	-2	46	0
25	Nov_3_2016	27.96	28.57	28.61	28.19	28.24	27.68	27.47(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-29	-130	-27	-36	2.26	34%		-19.4	1.91%	0	-2.1	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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